Ferro vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Apr 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 68-75

17-21 15-21 24-19 12-14

Position#15

Record23-27

FormWWWWL

Points / game77.1

Allowed / game79.0

Ferro

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#11

Record24-25

FormWLLLW

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game79.1

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Ferro v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

78-90

-12

H04/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

65-71

-6

H06/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

85-96

-11

A11/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

78-90

-12

A13/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

64-71

-7

H16/03

Liga A

Penarol

75-70

A19/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

96-84

+12

A20/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

80-78 OT

H25/03

Liga A

Quimsa

75-57

+18

H27/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

81-84

-3

A02/04

Liga A

25-20

24-19

12-23

17-28

13-18

16-10

10-22

26-21

20-27

21-19

27-34

17-16

26-20

11-23

19-18

22-29

17-24

10-12

22-16

15-19

15-18

20-20

20-17

20-15

23-15

19-31

23-16

31-22

15-17

20-6

13-20

19-24

12-15

24-8

22-17

17-17

17-15

22-14

14-28

28-27

156.8Avg total

77.7Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (50)	77.1	79.0	156.1	-1.9	46%
Season at home (24)	76.0	75.5	151.5	+0.5	54%
Season away (26)	78.0	82.2	160.3	-4.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	79.1	156.8	-1.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	74.6	156.0	+6.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	72.5	77.5	150.0	-5.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	79.8	80.0	159.9	-0.2	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

82-70

+12

A14/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

66-72

-6

H20/03

Liga A

Valencia

68-62

A20/03

ACB

Weber Bahia

94-67

+27

H26/03

Liga A

Tenerife

#10

80-84

-4

H27/03

ACB

Argentino

#16

78-64

+14

H01/04

Liga A

Quimsa

78-114

114

-36

H03/04

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

62-81

-19

A03/04

ACB

Gimnasia

70-87

-17

A06/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

81-77

A08/04

Liga A

17-12

20-17

26-23

19-18

13-17

19-13

13-23

21-19

24-17

13-20

17-11

14-14

28-18

26-12

19-14

21-23

23-19

18-20

20-25

19-20

23-15

18-22

19-15

18-12

14-29

24-32

20-31

20-22

15-21

12-20

19-19

16-21

23-25

17-16

21-22

9-24

21-24

18-16

22-19

20-18

153.7Avg total

75.9Scored

77.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (49)	74.8	79.1	153.8	-4.3	49%
Season at home (24)	78.2	75.8	154.0	+2.4	67%
Season away (25)	71.4	82.2	153.7	-10.8	32%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	77.8	153.7	-1.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	84.6	158.4	-10.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	75.8	82.2	158.1	-6.4	41%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	74.2	69.5	143.6	+4.7	46%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	18.3	35.2	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	16.0	32.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	16.8	33.0	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	18.1	36.8	+0.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.8	42.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.2	21.5	39.7	-3.2	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.1	15.9	35.0	+3.2	69%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	18.3	35.9	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	16.4	34.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	16.2	34.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	15.8	36.8	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.7	18.1	35.8	-0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.1	35.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	16.7	35.2	+1.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.5	19.2	35.7	-2.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.8	37.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.0	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.4	16.8	33.2	-0.4	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

49-39

+10

H04/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

29-28

H06/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

41-46

-5

A11/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

37-43

-6

A13/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

27-36

-9

H16/03

Liga A

Penarol

35-38

-3

A19/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

42-46

-4

A20/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

35-23

+12

H25/03

Liga A

Quimsa

36-23

+13

H27/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

39-29

+10

A02/04

Liga A

72.1Avg total

37.0Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.1	37.8	72.9	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.0	34.6	69.6	+0.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.2	40.6	75.8	-5.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	35.1	72.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	31.8	69.2	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.3	35.8	69.2	-2.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	35.5	38.3	73.8	-2.8	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

37-29

A14/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

32-30

H20/03

Liga A

Valencia

37-37

A20/03

ACB

Weber Bahia

54-30

+24

H26/03

Liga A

Tenerife

#10

41-39

H27/03

ACB

Argentino

#16

41-37

H01/04

Liga A

Quimsa

38-61

-23

H03/04

Liga A

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#12

27-41

-14

A03/04

ACB

Gimnasia

40-41

-1

A06/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

39-40

-1

A08/04

Liga A

77.1Avg total

38.6Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.0	37.2	73.1	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.2	34.8	72.0	+2.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.0	39.0	74.0	-4.0	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	38.5	77.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	44.0	81.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	36.4	40.6	76.9	-4.2	24%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	35.5	32.7	68.2	+2.8	69%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	21.1	39.3	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.8	20.5	39.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	18.2	38.9	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.8	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	21.2	41.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.9	17.8	36.8	+1.1	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.3	43.6	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	21.3	42.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.0	21.2	44.2	+1.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.1	36.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.8	19.5	38.4	-0.7	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.8	18.9	38.7	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.0	83.6	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	38.6	79.6	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.0	43.0	87.0	+1.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	42.9	82.3	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.6	82.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.2	41.7	80.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	43.5	40.8	84.2	+2.7	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.3	78.0	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.5	37.0	78.5	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.7	41.0	77.7	-4.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.3	39.3	76.6	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	40.6	77.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	38.8	41.2	80.0	-2.4	47%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.7	36.8	75.5	+1.9	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
17/02/16	Estudiantes v Ferro	78-84

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/04/16	A	Weber Bahia	81-84
27/03/16	H	Quimsa	75-57
25/03/16	H	Quilmes	80-78 OT
20/03/16	A	Quilmes	96-84
19/03/16	A	Penarol	75-70
16/03/16	H	Boca Juniors	64-71
13/03/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	78-90
11/03/16	A	Atenas	85-96
06/03/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	65-71
04/03/16	H	Penarol	78-90

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/16	A	San Lorenzo	81-77
06/04/16	A	Gimnasia	70-87
03/04/16	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	62-81
03/04/16	H	Quimsa	78-114
01/04/16	H	Argentino	78-64
27/03/16	H	Tenerife	80-84
26/03/16	H	Weber Bahia	94-67
20/03/16	A	Valencia	68-62
20/03/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	66-72
14/03/16	A	San Martin	82-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	46%
Home	LLLWW	54%
Away	LLWWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	50	24	26
Win %	46%	54%	38%
Points / game	77.1	76.0	78.0
Allowed / game	79.0	75.5	82.2
Point differential	-1.9	+0.5	-4.2
Avg total	156.1	151.5	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (19)	62% (8)	45% (11)
Overtime %	6%	8%	4%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	49%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	LLWLW	32%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	49	24	25
Win %	49%	67%	32%
Points / game	74.8	78.2	71.4
Allowed / game	79.1	75.8	82.2
Point differential	-4.3	+2.4	-10.8
Avg total	153.8	154.0	153.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (14)	71% (7)	71% (7)
Overtime %	4%	4%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	48	32	16	67%	82.6	77.0	+5.6
2	Gimnasia	48	30	18	62%	83.2	76.5	+6.8
3	Quimsa	47	27	20	57%	81.1	77.2	+3.9
4	Penarol	49	28	21	57%	83.9	82.7	+1.2
5	Libertad	50	28	22	56%	82.3	79.7	+2.5
6	La Union	50	28	22	56%	80.3	78.4	+1.9
7	Obras Sanitarias	50	28	22	56%	84.2	83.8	+0.4
8	San Lorenzo	49	27	22	55%	84.3	79.9	+4.5
9	San Martin	49	25	24	51%	84.6	83.6	+1.0
10	Weber Bahia	49	25	24	51%	75.6	78.8	-3.3
11	Estudiantes	49	24	25	49%	74.8	79.1	-4.3
12	Ferro	50	23	27	46%	77.1	79.0	-1.9
13	Instituto de Cordoba	48	22	26	46%	76.0	77.2	-1.3
14	Regatas	49	22	27	45%	79.5	79.6	-0.1
15	Boca Juniors	49	21	28	43%	78.7	81.2	-2.5
16	Quilmes	50	21	29	42%	80.7	82.1	-1.3
17	Atenas	50	21	29	42%	76.6	79.0	-2.4
18	Lanus	48	20	28	42%	80.5	82.4	-1.9
19	Argentino	46	18	28	39%	76.8	80.3	-3.5
20	Sionista	48	18	30	38%	76.8	82.1	-5.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferro	17	15	24	12	68
Estudiantes	21	21	19	14	75

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature