Estudiantes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Apr 2018

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 87-82

14-20 16-27 27-22 30-13

Position#11

Record12-15

FormWWLWW

Points / game82.3

Allowed / game83.1

Estudiantes 🏆

Ferro

Position#16

Record9-20

FormWLWLL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game82.3

Liga A

Other2017-18

Meetings · Estudiantes v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

78-101

101

-23

no box

A25/03

Americas League

San Pablo Burgos

#14

100-76

100

+24

no box

H25/03

ACB

Regatas

59-60

-1

no box

H25/03

Americas League

La Union

77-55

+22

no box

H29/03

Liga A

San Martin

73-81

-8

no box

A31/03

Liga A

Barcelona

100-95

100

130avg 109

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

77-71

no box

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

79-82

-3

no box

A04/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

81-80

no box

H07/04

Liga A

Bilbao

#17

96-84

+12

131avg 109

H08/04

ACB

18-24

18-18

20-32

22-27

27-21

27-9

25-29

21-17

11-10

9-15

24-20

15-15

19-8

14-10

27-21

17-16

16-30

17-18

18-17

22-16

28-18

21-25

26-25

25-27

20-19

18-14

17-19

22-19

19-21

21-21

17-18

22-22

14-20

14-21

18-22

35-17

28-21

26-20

25-26

17-17

160.5Avg total

82.0Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	82.3	83.1	165.4	-0.8	44%
Season at home (12)	88.1	82.5	170.6	+5.6	75%
Season away (15)	77.7	83.6	161.3	-5.9	20%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	78.5	160.5	+3.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.6	82.4	169.0	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	76.3	84.0	160.3	-7.7	30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	81.1	83.1	164.2	-1.9	38%
vs Weaker (4)	89.0	74.2	163.2	+14.8	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFerro

Date

Competition

Quimsa

91-106

106

-15

no box

A09/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

82-95

-13

no box

A11/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

78-83

-5

no box

A15/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

81-86

-5

no box

H17/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

65-71

-6

no box

H22/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

86-82

no box

A25/03

Liga A

Penarol

#18

73-96

-23

no box

A27/03

Liga A

Argentino

74-63

+11

no box

A01/04

Liga A

Argentino

65-72

-7

no box

H05/04

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

89-95 OT

-6

no box

A08/04

Liga A

23-34

22-17

19-23

27-32

16-23

16-29

18-27

32-16

19-17

29-26

22-23

8-17

13-14

24-25

17-25

27-22

15-9

7-13

20-22

23-27

15-22

20-8

22-27

29-25

18-26

18-24

15-21

22-25

11-19

24-9

22-18

17-17

9-19

17-23

22-13

17-17

31-13

16-15

17-22

16-30

163.3Avg total

78.4Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	79.3	82.3	161.6	-3.0	31%
Season at home (14)	80.3	80.1	160.4	+0.2	43%
Season away (15)	78.4	84.4	162.8	-6.0	20%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	84.9	163.3	-6.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	81.6	159.0	-4.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	81.6	91.2	172.9	-9.6	0%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	76.9	80.2	157.1	-3.3	32%
vs Weaker (3)	88.7	73.7	162.3	+15.0	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.2	39.9	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.5	17.5	36.9	+2.0	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-1.9	32%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.8	20.3	38.1	-2.5	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.4	20.4	39.8	-0.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (4)	25.5	19.2	44.8	+6.2	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.8	39.0	-0.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	18.5	36.3	-0.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	21.4	39.8	-3.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.2	19.5	37.7	-1.3	26%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.3	17.0	45.3	+11.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.2	37.9	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.6	18.5	37.2	+0.1	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	18.7	19.5	38.3	-0.8	32%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.1	35.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.5	20.1	37.6	-2.6	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.4	19.3	37.7	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.0	16.2	39.2	+6.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.8	36.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+1.9	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.8	34.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.5	22.2	42.8	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.3	15.8	33.2	+1.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.3	18.3	41.7	+5.0	67%	-

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

36-42

-6

A25/03

Americas League

San Pablo Burgos

#14

54-30

+24

H25/03

ACB

Regatas

20-25

-5

H25/03

Americas League

La Union

33-18

+15

H29/03

Liga A

San Martin

33-48

-15

A31/03

Liga A

Barcelona

49-43

A01/04

ACB

Regatas

#15

38-33

A02/04

Liga A

La Union

40-42

-2

A04/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#14

28-41

-13

H07/04

Liga A

Bilbao

#17

54-41

+13

H08/04

ACB

74.8Avg total

38.5Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	39.4	77.8	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.1	36.0	74.1	+2.1	55%	-
Last 30 away (19)	38.6	41.3	79.9	-2.7	37%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	36.3	74.8	+2.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	40.0	81.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.3	40.4	75.7	-5.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	37.8	39.7	77.5	-1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.5	35.5	84.0	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

45-51

-6

A09/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

32-52

-20

A11/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

48-43

A15/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

37-39

-2

H17/03

Liga A

Olimpico

#13

22-22

H22/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

35-30

A25/03

Liga A

Penarol

#18

36-50

-14

A27/03

Liga A

Argentino

35-28

A01/04

Liga A

Argentino

26-42

-16

H05/04

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#19

47-28

+19

A08/04

Liga A

74.8Avg total

36.3Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	37.6	75.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	35.5	36.5	72.0	-1.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.0	38.4	78.4	+1.6	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	38.5	74.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	35.6	71.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.9	43.6	82.5	-4.8	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	35.5	35.4	70.9	+0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	51.7	35.3	87.0	+16.3	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.0	42.0	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.4	55%	-
Last 30 away (19)	21.3	21.2	42.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.9	44.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.6	20.4	42.9	+2.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	22.2	43.5	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.1	41.5	-2.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.1	23.4	43.5	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.8	21.5	41.3	-1.7	26%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	15.7	35.0	+3.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	21.6	23.4	45.0	-1.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.3	41.1	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.4	44.6	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.3	21.7	44.0	+0.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.5	17.2	37.8	+3.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	22.1	42.6	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	20.9	40.3	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.4	22.9	44.4	-1.5	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	22.8	43.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.2	20.6	40.9	-0.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.1	22.6	43.7	-1.5	32%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	22.7	40.3	-5.0	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	42.8	85.0	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	41.0	39.7	80.7	+1.3	45%	-
Last 30 away (19)	42.8	44.6	87.5	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.5	42.2	85.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	42.4	87.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.0	43.6	84.6	-2.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	43.3	43.4	86.7	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.5	38.8	79.2	+1.8	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	43.5	83.8	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.7	43.1	83.8	-2.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.1	43.8	83.9	-3.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	44.9	86.1	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.0	82.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.4	44.0	84.4	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	40.9	44.1	84.9	-3.2	32%	-
vs Weaker (3)	37.0	38.3	75.3	-1.3	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 84.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	20.1	55.7%	53.8%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	9.2	32.5%	32.9%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	22.4	17.1	76.3%	71.7%	17.1

They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	22.6	51.1%	53.8%	45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.4	8.2	36.6%	32.9%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	21.2	14.9	70.3%	71.7%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	19.6	53.7%	53.8%	39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.1	30.7%	32.9%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	20.8	15.7	75.5%	71.7%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	22.2	50.1%	53.8%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.9	7.5	34.5%	32.9%	22.6
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.8	75.2%	71.7%	15.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
24/04/17	Estudiantes v Ferro	78-66
08/02/17	Ferro v Estudiantes	67-76
10/04/16	Ferro v Estudiantes	68-75
17/02/16	Estudiantes v Ferro	78-84

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/18	H	Bilbao	96-84
07/04/18	H	Boca Juniors	81-80
04/04/18	A	La Union	79-82
02/04/18	A	Regatas	77-71
01/04/18	A	Barcelona	100-95
31/03/18	A	San Martin	73-81
29/03/18	H	La Union	77-55
25/03/18	H	Regatas	59-60
25/03/18	H	San Pablo Burgos	100-76
25/03/18	A	San Lorenzo	78-101

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/04/18	A	Comunicaciones Mercedes	89-95 OT
05/04/18	H	Argentino	65-72
01/04/18	A	Argentino	74-63
27/03/18	A	Penarol	73-96
25/03/18	A	Quilmes	86-82
22/03/18	H	Olimpico	65-71
17/03/18	H	Obras Sanitarias	81-86
15/03/18	A	San Lorenzo	78-83
11/03/18	A	Olimpico	82-95
09/03/18	A	Quimsa	91-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	44%
Home	WWLWW	75%
Away	LLLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	12	15
Win %	44%	75%	20%
Points / game	82.3	88.1	77.7
Allowed / game	83.1	82.5	83.6
Point differential	-0.8	+5.6	-5.9
Avg total	165.4	170.6	161.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	33%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	60% (5)	0% (4)
Overtime %	7%	8%	7%

Ferro

Liga A 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	31%
Home	LLLLL	43%
Away	LWLWL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	31%	43%	20%
Points / game	79.3	80.3	78.4
Allowed / game	82.3	80.1	84.4
Point differential	-3.0	+0.2	-6.0
Avg total	161.6	160.4	162.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	21%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	22% (9)	0% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	10%	14%	7%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	28	21	7	75%	86.1	79.9	+6.3
2	San Martin	31	23	8	74%	85.6	79.4	+6.3
3	Instituto de Cordoba	32	22	10	69%	85.7	80.1	+5.5
4	Atenas	31	21	10	68%	87.5	85.0	+2.5
5	Quimsa	31	19	12	61%	81.1	78.0	+3.1
6	La Union	28	16	12	57%	80.8	79.4	+1.4
7	Gimnasia	30	16	14	53%	82.2	82.5	-0.3
8	Regatas	30	16	14	53%	82.9	83.5	-0.6
9	Weber Bahia	31	16	15	52%	77.6	80.2	-2.6
10	Obras Sanitarias	32	16	16	50%	84.7	84.8	-0.2
11	Olimpico	32	15	17	47%	84.0	84.4	-0.3
12	Argentino	32	15	17	47%	79.1	80.6	-1.5
13	Hispano Americano	30	14	16	47%	85.9	88.1	-2.2
14	Estudiantes	27	12	15	44%	82.3	83.1	-0.8
15	Comunicaciones Mercedes	29	11	18	38%	82.1	85.3	-3.2
16	Quilmes	33	12	21	36%	88.0	90.6	-2.7
17	Penarol	31	11	20	35%	83.3	84.1	-0.8
18	Boca Juniors	31	10	21	32%	78.5	81.1	-2.6
19	Salta	32	10	22	31%	75.3	79.3	-3.9
20	Ferro	29	9	20	31%	79.3	82.3	-3.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	14	16	27	30	87
Ferro	20	27	22	13	82

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Estudiantes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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