Ferro vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2020

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 75-73

27-17 14-18 13-15 21-23

Position#18

Record4-6

FormWLWLL

Points / game74.6

Allowed / game76.9

Ferro 🏆

Libertad

Position#13

Record4-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game79.5

Allowed / game83.8

Liga A

Other2020-21

Meetings · Ferro v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hispano Americano

#12

77-85

-8

H06/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#20

101-56

101

+45

A07/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

60-76

-16

H11/11

Liga A

Platense

#10

79-112

112

-33

A11/11

Liga A

Argentino

#15

75-74

A04/12

Liga A

Atenas

#19

74-72

A07/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#17

66-72

-6

H08/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

86-68

+18

A10/12

Liga A

Regatas

59-77

-18

H12/12

Liga A

San Martin

69-77

-8

A14/12

Liga A

16-25

16-14

21-19

24-27

24-16

32-20

26-5

19-15

10-14

15-27

20-15

15-20

22-27

26-30

14-25

17-30

16-21

15-19

24-15

20-19

22-18

10-17

26-17

16-20

17-9

22-21

15-21

12-21

23-15

25-15

18-13

20-25

14-15

9-17

21-21

15-24

6-17

19-23

17-18

27-19

151.5Avg total

74.6Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	74.6	76.9	151.5	-2.3	40%
Season at home (4)	65.5	77.5	143.0	-12.0	0%
Season away (6)	80.7	76.5	157.2	+4.2	67%
Last 10 (10)	74.6	76.9	151.5	-2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	73.2	144.0	-2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	72.3	84.3	156.7	-12.0	17%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	77.1	77.4	154.5	-0.3	53%
vs Weaker (9)	85.3	67.9	153.2	+17.4	78%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

65-74

-9

A09/11

Liga A

Regatas

66-84

-18

H12/11

Liga A

San Martin

76-82

-6

A13/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#11

93-79

+14

H18/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

81-96

-15

A18/11

Liga A

Quimsa

79-98

-19

H04/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

84-83

H06/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

76-81

-5

H10/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

73-78

-5

A11/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#20

92-78

+14

H15/12

Liga A

17-17

14-14

13-21

21-22

18-27

16-15

16-14

16-28

19-21

17-25

21-14

19-22

24-14

22-17

23-24

24-24

21-26

16-20

24-28

20-22

17-32

17-33

28-24

17-9

21-13

19-27

27-20

17-23

13-21

18-14

23-19

22-27

18-12

18-26

14-23

23-17

27-15

18-19

23-21

24-23

161.8Avg total

78.5Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	79.5	83.8	163.3	-4.2	31%
Season at home (8)	82.5	83.9	166.4	-1.4	50%
Season away (5)	74.8	83.6	158.4	-8.8	0%
Last 10 (10)	78.5	83.3	161.8	-4.8	30%
Last 5 (5)	80.8	83.6	164.4	-2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	72.5	82.8	155.3	-10.2	23%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	80.6	83.7	164.3	-3.1	29%
vs Weaker (1)	92.0	78.0	170.0	+14.0	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	17.1	36.8	+2.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	17.7	34.7	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	14.8	31.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.3	18.5	34.8	-2.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.3	18.5	37.9	+0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	15.4	36.0	+5.1	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.7	19.3	36.0	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.0	18.8	35.8	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.6	37.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	15.7	19.3	35.0	-3.6	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	15.0	42.0	+12.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	18.2	36.8	+0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.5	19.1	37.6	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.3	39.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	23.5	41.8	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	16.9	17.7	34.6	-0.9	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	21.4	17.0	38.4	+4.4	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.5	38.1	-2.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.6	21.7	39.3	-4.1	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	23.8	41.8	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	17.1	21.3	38.4	-4.1	32%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	19.3	18.1	37.4	+1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	0%	-

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Hispano Americano

#12

32-39

-7

H06/11

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#20

56-36

+20

A07/11

Liga A

Boca Juniors

25-41

-16

H11/11

Liga A

Platense

#10

48-57

-9

A11/11

Liga A

Argentino

#15

31-40

-9

A04/12

Liga A

Atenas

#19

32-35

-3

A07/12

Liga A

Obera TC

#17

39-30

H08/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

48-30

+18

A10/12

Liga A

Regatas

23-32

-9

H12/12

Liga A

San Martin

25-40

-15

A14/12

Liga A

73.9Avg total

35.9Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	36.3	73.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.3	35.3	73.6	+3.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.9	37.4	74.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	38.0	73.9	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	33.4	66.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.7	42.0	76.7	-7.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	36.2	36.3	72.5	-0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (9)	42.0	32.4	74.4	+9.6	89%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

31-31

A09/11

Liga A

Regatas

34-42

-8

H12/11

Liga A

San Martin

36-46

-10

A13/11

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#11

46-31

+15

H18/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

37-46

-9

A18/11

Liga A

Quimsa

34-65

-31

H04/12

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-40

H06/12

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

31-35

-4

H10/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

36-38

-2

A11/12

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#20

45-34

+11

H15/12

Liga A

77.8Avg total

37.0Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.4	39.8	74.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	34.7	38.4	73.1	-3.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	33.9	41.7	75.6	-7.8	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	40.8	77.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	42.4	79.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	32.9	40.6	73.5	-7.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	37.6	38.1	75.7	-0.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	34.0	79.0	+11.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.7	39.7	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.7	19.1	39.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.9	37.1	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+2.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.4	17.4	39.9	+5.0	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	18.4	20.3	38.7	-2.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.7	21.3	43.0	+0.4	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	21.0	44.0	+2.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	20.9	41.8	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	22.0	40.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	23.3	43.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.9	18.0	38.9	+2.9	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	21.7	44.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	23.5	43.3	-3.6	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.8	40.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	21.3	21.9	43.2	-0.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	21.3	24.3	45.6	-3.0	14%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	39.7	80.7	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	40.2	80.1	-0.3	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	39.1	81.4	+3.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	38.9	77.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	39.8	77.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.7	42.3	80.0	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	40.9	41.1	82.1	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (9)	43.3	35.4	78.8	+7.9	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	43.0	83.7	-2.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.8	41.9	84.7	+0.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.9	44.5	82.5	-6.6	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	42.5	84.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.2	84.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	39.7	42.2	81.9	-2.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	43.0	45.6	88.6	-2.6	14%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	44.0	91.0	+3.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
15/02/20	Ferro v Libertad	106-58
22/03/19	Libertad v Ferro	71-69
25/01/19	Ferro v Libertad	84-68
28/04/17	Libertad v Ferro	80-68
13/12/16	Ferro v Libertad	92-86
13/02/16	Libertad v Ferro	95-77
09/12/15	Ferro v Libertad	82-60

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/20	A	San Martin	69-77
12/12/20	H	Regatas	59-77
10/12/20	A	La Union	86-68
08/12/20	H	Obera TC	66-72
07/12/20	A	Atenas	74-72
04/12/20	A	Argentino	75-74
11/11/20	A	Platense	79-112
11/11/20	H	Boca Juniors	60-76
07/11/20	A	Weber Bahia	101-56
06/11/20	H	Hispano Americano	77-85

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/20	H	Weber Bahia	92-78
11/12/20	A	San Lorenzo	73-78
10/12/20	H	Obras Sanitarias	76-81
06/12/20	H	Gimnasia	84-83
04/12/20	H	Quimsa	79-98
18/11/20	A	Instituto de Cordoba	81-96
18/11/20	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	93-79
13/11/20	A	San Martin	76-82
12/11/20	H	Regatas	66-84
09/11/20	A	Olimpico	65-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	40%
Home	LLLL	0%
Away	LWWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	40%	0%	67%
Points / game	74.6	65.5	80.7
Allowed / game	76.9	77.5	76.5
Point differential	-2.3	-12.0	+4.2
Avg total	151.5	143.0	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2020-21

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	31%
Home	WLWLW	50%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	8	5
Win %	31%	50%	0%
Points / game	79.5	82.5	74.8
Allowed / game	83.8	83.9	83.6
Point differential	-4.2	-1.4	-8.8
Avg total	163.3	166.4	158.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	25%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	14	12	2	86%	83.9	71.9	+12.0
2	San Martin	14	11	3	79%	76.4	69.3	+7.1
3	Boca Juniors	12	9	3	75%	81.4	75.2	+6.2
4	Instituto de Cordoba	14	9	5	64%	79.0	79.6	-0.6
5	San Lorenzo	11	7	4	64%	83.5	76.3	+7.2
6	Obras Sanitarias	11	7	4	64%	75.3	74.5	+0.7
7	Gimnasia	10	6	4	60%	79.5	71.7	+7.8
8	Regatas	14	8	6	57%	81.4	76.3	+5.1
9	Platense	9	5	4	56%	79.1	76.4	+2.7
10	Olimpico	14	7	7	50%	80.4	75.2	+5.2
11	Hispano Americano	12	5	7	42%	79.8	81.2	-1.4
12	Ferro	10	4	6	40%	74.6	76.9	-2.3
13	Penarol	8	3	5	38%	74.9	79.5	-4.6
14	Argentino	11	4	7	36%	78.8	82.5	-3.7
15	Comunicaciones Mercedes	14	5	9	36%	74.4	75.9	-1.6
16	Obera TC	14	5	9	36%	72.4	77.1	-4.6
17	La Union	15	5	10	33%	75.7	82.0	-6.3
18	Libertad	13	4	9	31%	79.5	83.8	-4.2
19	Atenas	14	4	10	29%	71.1	83.6	-12.5
20	Weber Bahia	10	2	8	20%	77.7	91.4	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferro	27	14	13	21	75
Libertad	17	18	15	23	73

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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