Libertad vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 95-77

27-9 21-19 24-25 23-24

Position#6

Record21-15

FormWWLLW

Points / game81.7

Allowed / game77.8

Libertad 🏆

Ferro

Position#15

Record16-18

FormLWLWW

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game78.7

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Libertad v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

88-96

-8

A09/01

Liga A

Regatas

101-89

101

+12

A11/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

87-82

H14/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

79-91

-12

H16/01

Liga A

Penarol

87-68

+19

H23/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

86-60

+26

H28/01

Liga A

Olimpico

85-81

H30/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

70-79

-9

A02/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

80-93

-13

A04/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

85-67

+18

H10/02

Liga A

20-23

23-23

28-20

17-30

25-17

28-22

26-20

22-30

25-13

21-20

20-19

21-30

19-20

24-21

15-25

21-25

27-17

11-27

20-10

29-14

19-14

27-11

19-13

21-22

11-18

24-20

21-12

29-31

16-19

15-16

25-19

14-25

15-26

27-25

23-20

15-22

14-10

36-15

20-20

165.4Avg total

84.8Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	81.7	77.8	159.5	+3.9	58%
Season at home (19)	86.5	73.4	159.9	+13.1	84%
Season away (17)	76.4	82.7	159.1	-6.3	29%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	80.6	165.4	+4.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	76.0	157.2	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	87.0	82.0	169.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (25)	81.2	80.6	161.7	+0.6	44%
vs Weaker (3)	87.7	67.3	155.0	+20.3	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

74-70

A07/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

80-85 OT

-5

A10/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

85-73

+12

H13/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

81-79

H21/01

Liga A

La Union

72-70

A27/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

93-97

-4

A29/01

Liga A

Regatas

83-76

A31/01

Liga A

La Union

79-83

-4

H03/02

Liga A

Regatas

78-75

H07/02

Liga A

Sionista

#20

74-69

H09/02

Liga A

15-13

12-15

19-22

28-20

23-20

13-15

21-23

16-15

16-20

20-18

23-12

26-23

16-17

15-19

19-15

31-28

21-19

14-17

18-14

19-20

20-35

22-21

21-22

30-19

16-21

17-23

27-12

23-20

18-20

16-17

22-22

23-24

17-24

26-19

17-16

18-16

22-13

12-23

23-16

17-17

157.6Avg total

79.9Scored

77.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	76.6	78.7	155.3	-2.2	47%
Season at home (16)	76.7	75.9	152.6	+0.8	56%
Season away (18)	76.4	81.3	157.7	-4.8	39%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	77.7	157.6	+2.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	80.0	161.4	+1.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.5	82.5	157.0	-8.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	78.0	78.4	156.4	-0.4	54%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LibertadFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.8	37.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.9	16.9	37.8	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.8	35.0	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	13.0	38.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	18.5	18.4	37.0	+0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	15.7	37.0	+5.7	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	18.7	36.8	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	22.6	41.2	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.8	17.7	35.5	+0.2	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	18.2	19.0	37.1	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.9	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.4	37.8	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	15.7	40.7	+9.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	18.7	36.3	-1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.7	19.8	37.4	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	18.7	35.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	19.7	36.2	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.2	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Martin

#10

43-46

-3

A09/01

Liga A

Regatas

53-39

+14

A11/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

46-33

+13

H14/01

Liga A

San Lorenzo

43-41

H16/01

Liga A

Penarol

38-44

-6

H23/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

46-25

+21

H28/01

Liga A

Olimpico

35-38

-3

H30/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

31-35

-4

A02/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

42-51

-9

A04/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

29-32

-3

H10/02

Liga A

79.0Avg total

40.6Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	36.5	76.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.2	35.3	77.5	+6.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.7	38.2	74.8	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	38.4	79.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.2	72.8	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	33.0	79.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	38.6	37.4	76.1	+1.2	52%	-
vs Weaker (3)	46.3	31.3	77.7	+15.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

27-28

-1

A07/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

36-35

A10/01

Liga A

Weber Bahia

36-38

-2

H13/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

31-36

-5

H21/01

Liga A

La Union

35-36

-1

A27/01

Liga A

San Martin

#10

42-56

-14

A29/01

Liga A

Regatas

33-44

-11

A31/01

Liga A

La Union

34-37

-3

H03/02

Liga A

Regatas

43-43

H07/02

Liga A

Sionista

#20

34-36

-2

H09/02

Liga A

74.0Avg total

35.1Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	38.0	73.7	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.7	36.6	72.3	-0.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.8	39.2	74.9	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	38.9	74.0	-3.8	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	43.2	80.4	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.3	37.3	71.7	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	36.1	38.1	74.2	-2.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.1	41.2	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.4	17.5	40.8	+5.9	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	17.3	40.6	+6.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	15.8	40.6	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	64%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.7	15.0	40.7	+10.7	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.6	39.1	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	16.9	35.1	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.4	38.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.7	22.0	37.7	-6.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.3	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	23.5	44.6	-2.3	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	23.9	41.5	-6.4	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	24.9	45.8	-4.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	30.0	51.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	20.2	23.7	43.9	-3.4	24%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.7	21.0	36.7	-5.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	22.4	44.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	20.2	43.3	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.2	41.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.2	20.5	42.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	42.8	84.5	-1.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.5	40.9	85.5	+3.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.0	45.2	83.2	-7.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	42.2	86.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	39.8	84.4	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	49.0	90.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (25)	42.2	42.8	85.0	-0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.3	36.0	77.3	+5.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	40.3	81.2	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	39.3	79.9	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	41.2	82.3	-0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	37.6	81.7	+6.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	36.8	81.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.8	42.5	80.3	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	41.6	39.8	81.4	+1.8	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Libertad wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
09/12/15	Ferro v Libertad	82-60

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/02/16	H	San Martin	85-67
04/02/16	A	Atenas	80-93
02/02/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	70-79
30/01/16	H	Olimpico	85-81
28/01/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-60
23/01/16	H	Penarol	87-68
16/01/16	H	San Lorenzo	79-91
14/01/16	H	Gimnasia	87-82
11/01/16	A	Regatas	101-89
09/01/16	A	San Martin	88-96

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/16	H	Sionista	74-69
07/02/16	H	Regatas	78-75
03/02/16	H	La Union	79-83
31/01/16	A	Regatas	83-76
29/01/16	A	San Martin	93-97
27/01/16	A	La Union	72-70
21/01/16	H	San Martin	81-79
13/01/16	H	Weber Bahia	85-73
10/01/16	A	Argentino	80-85 OT
07/01/16	A	San Lorenzo	74-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	58%
Home	LWWWW	84%
Away	LLWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	19	17
Win %	58%	84%	29%
Points / game	81.7	86.5	76.4
Allowed / game	77.8	73.4	82.7
Point differential	+3.9	+13.1	-6.3
Avg total	159.5	159.9	159.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	58%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	80% (5)	100% (2)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

Ferro

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	47%
Home	WWLWW	56%
Away	WLWLW	39%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	16	18
Win %	47%	56%	39%
Points / game	76.6	76.7	76.4
Allowed / game	78.7	75.9	81.3
Point differential	-2.2	+0.8	-4.8
Avg total	155.3	152.6	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	31%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (15)	57% (7)	50% (8)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	34	23	11	68%	82.6	77.6	+5.0
2	Libertad	36	21	15	58%	81.7	77.8	+3.9
3	Gimnasia	31	18	13	58%	81.8	75.9	+5.9
4	Quimsa	31	18	13	58%	80.7	77.1	+3.6
5	Obras Sanitarias	33	19	14	58%	84.2	83.1	+1.1
6	San Lorenzo	37	21	16	57%	85.2	80.0	+5.1
7	Penarol	34	19	15	56%	81.4	81.2	+0.1
8	La Union	35	19	16	54%	80.7	79.8	+0.9
9	San Martin	32	17	15	53%	87.0	84.3	+2.7
10	Regatas	33	17	16	52%	80.8	79.6	+1.1
11	Estudiantes	33	17	16	52%	74.7	81.1	-6.5
12	Ferro	34	16	18	47%	76.6	78.7	-2.2
13	Boca Juniors	35	16	19	46%	80.1	80.1	-0.0
14	Instituto de Cordoba	35	16	19	46%	74.6	75.4	-0.8
15	Weber Bahia	34	15	19	44%	73.8	78.5	-4.7
16	Argentino	32	13	19	41%	77.9	81.8	-3.8
17	Lanus	33	13	20	39%	79.3	81.5	-2.2
18	Sionista	33	13	20	39%	77.5	81.5	-4.1
19	Atenas	36	14	22	39%	76.6	79.2	-2.6
20	Quilmes	33	12	21	36%	78.8	81.5	-2.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Libertad	27	21	24	23	95
Ferro	9	19	25	24	77

← all games of the day

Libertad vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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