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Libertad vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 71-69
22-19 10-23 26-8 13-19
Position#14
Record10-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#3
Record15-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game78.1
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2018-19
Meetings · Libertad v Ferro
11 Feb 2021
LIBE64
FERR58
13 Apr 2020
LIBE v FERR
upcoming
21 Mar 2019
LIBE71
FERR69
27 Apr 2017
LIBE80
FERR68
12 Feb 2016
LIBE95
FERR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#3
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A25/01
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
73-51
73
51
+22
H31/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H06/02
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
89-79
89
79
+10
H12/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
96-91 OT
96
91
+5
H14/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H02/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A09/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A11/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A17/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
88-95
88
95
-7
A19/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-27
13-10
19-22
25-25
18-8
16-11
16-13
23-19
22-20
20-18
12-20
25-24
18-23
25-13
19-21
27-22
15-16
20-17
21-20
24-27
16-29
25-22
21-22
19-20
26-13
13-21
23-29
17-21
14-28
27-14
25-19
12-21
16-24
16-24
20-14
23-22
25-25
7-24
23-22
33-24
163.1Avg total
80.6Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.480.5159.9-1.145%
Season at home (12)83.378.2161.5+5.267%
Season away (10)74.783.3158.0-8.620%
Last 10 (10)80.682.5163.1-1.930%
Last 5 (5)80.287.6167.8-7.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)79.585.5165.0-5.918%
vs Similar (13)82.182.7164.8-0.654%
vs Weaker (6)75.868.2144.0+7.783%
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#11
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H07/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H13/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H18/02
Liga A
Quilmes
#20
W
90-78
90
78
+12
A03/03
Liga A
Penarol
#16
W
88-66
88
66
+22
A05/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A07/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H09/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
91-80
91
80
+11
H15/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#19
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A20/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
12-17
26-21
24-25
23-20
21-21
18-24
26-13
20-27
20-13
26-25
22-19
23-20
24-17
20-23
23-18
26-12
17-21
22-15
23-18
10-12
20-21
15-24
27-17
24-14
10-20
23-28
32-33
18-19
23-18
32-23
18-20
15-14
18-15
26-18
18-32
27-25
20-21
9-17
20-14
163.1Avg total
84.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.278.1161.3+5.162%
Season at home (12)87.277.8164.9+9.483%
Season away (12)79.278.5157.8+0.842%
Last 10 (10)84.378.8163.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)81.081.0162.0+0.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)84.396.7181.0-12.30%
vs Similar (9)78.277.0155.2+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.876.2160.1+7.672%
This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.4+2.4
LibertadFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#3
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A25/01
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H31/01
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H06/02
Liga A
Argentino
#17
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H12/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H14/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#13
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H02/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#1
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A09/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/03
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A17/03
Liga A
Estudiantes
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A19/03
Liga A
75.0Avg total
36.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.376.1-2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.777.5+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)33.441.174.5-7.836%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.775.0-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.881.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.840.776.5-4.936%-
vs Similar (13)37.640.277.8-2.646%-
vs Weaker (6)36.834.771.5+2.267%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#11
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H07/02
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#12
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H18/02
Liga A
Quilmes
#20
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A03/03
Liga A
Penarol
#16
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A05/03
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#18
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A07/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H09/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H15/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A18/03
Liga A
Atenas
#19
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A20/03
Liga A
75.4Avg total
39.3Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.076.1+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.935.975.7+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)38.438.176.5+0.367%-
Last 10 (10)39.336.175.4+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.872.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.746.787.3-6.067%-
vs Similar (9)36.137.273.3-1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)40.435.375.7+5.172%-
This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Libertad wins
3
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
25/01/19Ferro v Libertad84-68
28/04/17Libertad v Ferro80-68
13/12/16Ferro v Libertad92-86
13/02/16Libertad v Ferro95-77
09/12/15Ferro v Libertad82-60
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/19AEstudiantes88-95
17/03/19AComunicaciones Mercedes75-84
11/03/19ABoca Juniors78-82
09/03/19ASan Lorenzo79-84
02/03/19HQuimsa81-93
14/02/19HObras Sanitarias96-91 OT
12/02/19HArgentino89-79
06/02/19HGimnasia79-82
31/01/19HWeber Bahia73-51
25/01/19AFerro68-84
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/19AAtenas76-77
18/03/19AInstituto de Cordoba77-79
15/03/19HRegatas91-80
09/03/19HGimnasia89-95
07/03/19AWeber Bahia72-74
05/03/19APenarol88-66
03/03/19AQuilmes90-78
18/02/19HOlimpico88-84
13/02/19HComunicaciones Mercedes88-78
07/02/19HLa Union84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL45%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game79.483.374.7
Allowed / game80.578.283.3
Point differential-1.1+5.2-8.6
Avg total159.9161.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL62%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %62%83%42%
Points / game83.287.279.2
Allowed / game78.177.878.5
Point differential+5.1+9.4+0.8
Avg total161.3164.9157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Lorenzo1918195%91.876.3+15.5
2 Instituto de Cordoba2115671%84.975.8+9.1
3 Gimnasia2214864%82.678.4+4.3
4 Ferro2415962%83.278.1+5.1
5 Obras Sanitarias2314961%81.782.3-0.5
6 Regatas25151060%83.681.9+1.7
7 Quimsa2213959%85.180.3+4.8
8 Comunicaciones Mercedes24131154%80.878.2+2.6
9 San Martin21111052%79.381.6-2.2
10 Boca Juniors23121152%74.975.6-0.7
11 Hispano Americano20101050%83.883.5+0.2
12 Estudiantes24121250%77.278.8-1.6
13 Olimpico22101245%77.977.1+0.8
14 La Union22101245%84.584.5+0.0
15 Libertad22101245%79.480.5-1.1
16 Weber Bahia2171433%71.180.0-8.9
17 Penarol2261627%77.184.3-7.2
18 Quilmes2261627%77.985.2-7.3
19 Argentino2361726%79.987.1-7.3
20 Atenas2041620%77.783.8-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertad2210261371
Ferro192381969
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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