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Ferro vs Obera TC Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#17
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game81.2
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ferro v Obera TC
15 Dec 2026
FERR v OBER
upcoming
08 Apr 2026
FERR75
OBER76
07 Jan 2025
FERR88
OBER81
19 Oct 2023
FERR96
OBER89
20 Dec 2022
FERR97
OBER77
22 Apr 2022
FERR90
OBER91
05 Nov 2021
FERR99
OBER85
08 Dec 2020
FERR66
OBER72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Obera TC win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H28/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
97-92
97
92
+5
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A29/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
19-24
20-14
17-21
22-21
23-14
11-25
18-10
10-19
26-17
26-20
19-17
19-21
14-30
13-20
8-17
17-21
20-23
22-14
9-21
33-28
14-23
27-23
23-18
17-12
22-20
12-22
22-19
20-16
28-24
18-24
20-27
30-20
20-17
19-14
17-30
14-23
19-22
15-11
13-17
159.8Avg total
77.5Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.085.5167.5-3.533%
Season at home (1)86.081.0167.0+5.0100%
Season away (5)81.286.4167.6-5.220%
Last 10 (10)77.582.3159.8-4.840%
Last 5 (5)84.886.8171.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.286.4167.6-5.220%
vs Similar (24)78.280.3158.5-2.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)100.074.0174.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Obera TC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obera TCArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H17/04
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H20/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H09/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
80-102
80
102
-22
H11/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A15/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#9
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A08/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H14/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A16/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#16
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A18/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
21-17
15-21
22-25
20-25
15-26
21-13
22-18
11-20
18-20
20-17
17-13
16-22
19-19
21-32
24-29
23-25
14-23
18-13
23-25
21-26
11-30
21-21
20-19
14-12
15-25
14-12
15-18
23-17
22-27
18-19
15-21
17-21
24-20
25-24
14-21
21-18
25-26
17-14
15-15
158.0Avg total
75.3Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.481.2154.6-7.820%
Season at home (1)78.084.0162.0-6.00%
Season away (4)72.280.5152.8-8.225%
Last 10 (10)75.382.7158.0-7.420%
Last 5 (5)73.481.2154.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.283.2155.5-11.00%
vs Similar (17)79.680.6160.3-1.053%
vs Weaker (9)83.877.2161.0+6.667%
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
FerroObera TC
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/10
Liga A
82.0Avg total
40.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.083.1+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (10)45.338.683.9+6.770%-
Last 30 away (20)40.542.282.8-1.745%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.582.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.084.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.483.2-1.640%-
vs Similar (24)41.740.982.6+0.854%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)59.036.095.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Obera TC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Obera TCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H17/04
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H20/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H09/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H11/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/05
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#9
L
32-56
32
56
-24
A08/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A09/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#11
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H14/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A16/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#16
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A18/10
Liga A
81.3Avg total
37.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.480.6-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.939.179.0+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)40.641.582.1-0.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.781.3-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.644.483.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.844.581.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (17)39.540.680.1-1.241%-
vs Weaker (9)43.338.081.3+5.378%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.5
25.5%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.2
75.8%
72.7%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Obera TCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obera TC: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.6
51.0%
54.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.8
27.9%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws17.312.6
72.8%
72.7%12.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro
LWLLWLLWWL
Obera TC
WLLLLLLLLW
#14
League position
#17
-4.4
Net rating
-9.7
107.2
Offensive rating
101.7
111.6
Defensive rating
111.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
47.1%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
25.5%
3-point %
27.9%
51.9%
Assist %
51.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 101.7Defence111.6 · 111.5Shooting47.6% · 47.1%3-point %25.5% · 27.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Ferro   ■ Obera TC
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ferro wins
5
Obera TC wins
DateGameScore
08/04/26Ferro v Obera TC75-76
18/03/26Obera TC v Ferro84-80
12/02/25Obera TC v Ferro89-93
08/01/25Ferro v Obera TC88-81
08/02/24Obera TC v Ferro62-80
19/10/23Ferro v Obera TC96-89
11/04/23Obera TC v Ferro97-63
20/12/22Ferro v Obera TC97-77
26/04/22Obera TC v Ferro97-77
23/04/22Ferro v Obera TC90-91
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AGimnasia61-73
21/10/26HPlatense86-81
13/10/26AAtenas86-91
10/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba94-97 OT
09/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva97-92
01/10/26AArgentino68-79
03/06/26AGimnasia54-88
30/05/26HGimnasia81-73
28/05/26HGimnasia74-70
25/05/26AGimnasia74-79
Obera TClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/26ASan Lorenzo78-73
16/10/26APlatense80-86
14/10/26HRacing de Chivilcoy78-84
09/10/26ALanus58-67
08/10/26ABoca Juniors73-96
15/05/26ABoca Juniors78-86
11/05/26HBoca Juniors80-102
09/05/26HBoca Juniors66-70
20/04/26HAtenas78-82
17/04/26HPenarol84-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games615
Win %33%100%20%
Points / game82.086.081.2
Allowed / game85.581.086.4
Point differential-3.5+5.0-5.2
Avg total167.5167.0167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %17%0%20%
Obera TC
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%0%25%
Points / game73.478.072.2
Allowed / game81.284.080.5
Point differential-7.8-6.0-8.2
Avg total154.6162.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa550100%85.674.0+11.6
2 Penarol440100%83.273.8+9.5
3 Atenas43175%84.881.2+3.5
4 Instituto de Cordoba43175%79.078.2+0.8
5 Gimnasia75271%78.975.1+3.7
6 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
7 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy63350%80.382.5-2.2
12 Lanus83538%75.879.0-3.2
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Ferro62433%82.085.5-3.5
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin6060%84.895.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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