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Obera TC vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 84-81
26-18 21-17 15-21 22-25
Position#5
Record22-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game76.8
Obera TC 🏆
Argentina
vs
Penarol
Argentina
Position#11
Record18-16
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game81.4
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Dr.Luis Augusto Derna
Other2025-26
Meetings · Obera TC v Penarol
16 Apr 2026
OBER84
PENA81
04 May 2025
OBER86
PENA71
09 Oct 2023
OBER105
PENA71
21 Mar 2023
OBER90
PENA81
09 Mar 2022
OBER83
PENA71
11 Feb 2021
OBER104
PENA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Obera TC winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Obera TCArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martin
#12
W
73-62
73
62
+11
H06/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
A12/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A14/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
104-96 OT
104
96
+8
H21/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
H28/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A10/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A13/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-8
17-19
23-15
16-20
20-18
23-24
18-23
15-15
17-23
20-20
20-20
22-14
18-21
17-25
28-19
21-15
34-27
13-20
23-20
17-20
20-18
19-21
19-13
20-10
22-16
11-16
21-32
23-13
14-22
24-16
14-19
24-18
17-21
23-21
21-19
23-30
15-20
27-18
18-19
17-13
159.1Avg total
81.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.276.8157.9+4.465%
Season at home (16)81.275.8157.0+5.562%
Season away (18)81.177.7158.8+3.467%
Last 10 (10)81.477.7159.1+3.770%
Last 5 (5)79.676.4156.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.576.6156.1+3.065%
vs Weaker (10)83.376.0159.3+7.370%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
W
86-67
86
67
+19
A22/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H07/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
92-64
92
64
+28
H13/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H15/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
107-102
107
102
+5
A28/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A29/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A01/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
85-83
85
83
+2
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
A15/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
17-17
29-20
17-16
23-24
20-12
19-15
17-21
17-19
14-20
31-10
30-15
18-19
20-17
12-27
21-16
25-19
10-25
12-23
23-19
31-22
26-31
27-20
23-29
13-19
31-14
18-14
21-21
22-31
14-23
27-17
22-24
15-6
14-26
29-17
27-34
22-22
20-22
29-27
14-20
165.0Avg total
84.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.381.4162.6-0.153%
Season at home (17)79.777.6157.3+2.165%
Season away (17)82.985.1168.0-2.241%
Last 10 (10)84.380.7165.0+3.660%
Last 5 (5)89.087.8176.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.085.0155.0-15.033%
vs Similar ◀ (23)82.880.1162.9+2.765%
vs Weaker (4)81.080.0161.0+1.025%
This opponent (Obera TC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.0+0.0
Obera TCPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Obera TCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martin
#12
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H06/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A12/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A14/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H28/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/04
Liga A
78.2Avg total
38.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.179.1+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.036.576.5+3.558%-
Last 30 away (18)41.639.280.8+2.467%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.478.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.138.878.9+1.460%-
vs Weaker (10)42.636.879.4+5.870%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A22/02
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/03
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H13/03
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A28/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A29/03
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A01/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H05/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A15/04
Liga A
79.7Avg total
39.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.682.0-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.439.877.2-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.486.7-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)39.540.279.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.284.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.045.789.7-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)40.741.181.8-0.352%-
vs Weaker (4)35.541.577.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Obera TC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Obera TCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obera TC: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.719.3
49.9%
53.7%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.1
36.1%
32.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.812.5
70.2%
71.5%12.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.0
53.9%
53.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.710.3
35.9%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
71.5%17.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Obera TC
WLWLWWWWLW
Penarol
LWLWWLLWWW
#5
League position
#11
+5.0
Net rating
+4.9
109.2
Offensive rating
114.2
104.2
Defensive rating
109.3
51.6%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.1%
3-point %
35.9%
59.5%
Assist %
55.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 114.2Defence104.2 · 109.3Shooting51.6% · 53.9%3-point %36.1% · 35.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Obera TC   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Obera TC wins
1
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
23/11/25Penarol v Obera TC71-87
04/05/25Obera TC v Penarol86-71
15/10/24Penarol v Obera TC78-97
11/04/24Penarol v Obera TC74-57
09/10/23Obera TC v Penarol105-71
22/03/23Obera TC v Penarol90-81
19/12/22Penarol v Obera TC68-71
10/03/22Obera TC v Penarol83-71
04/11/21Penarol v Obera TC68-86
11/02/21Obera TC v Penarol104-86
Obera TClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/26AArgentino77-70
10/04/26ARacing de Chivilcoy84-91
08/04/26AFerro76-75
28/03/26HGimnasia83-84 OT
26/03/26HBoca Juniors78-62
21/03/26HIndependiente de Oliva104-96 OT
18/03/26HFerro84-80
14/03/26AOlimpico79-77
12/03/26AQuimsa76-80
06/03/26HSan Martin73-62
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/26ALa Union85-91
05/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe85-83
01/04/26AAtenas85-95
29/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba83-68
28/03/26AIndependiente de Oliva107-102
18/03/26ABoca Juniors70-86
15/03/26HSan Lorenzo71-79
13/03/26HRacing de Chivilcoy92-64
07/03/26HPlatense79-72
22/02/26ARegatas86-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Obera TC
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW65%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %65%62%67%
Points / game81.281.281.1
Allowed / game76.875.877.7
Point differential+4.4+5.5+3.4
Avg total157.9157.0158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%31%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Penarol
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeLWWLW65%
AwayLWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %53%65%41%
Points / game81.379.782.9
Allowed / game81.477.685.1
Point differential-0.1+2.1-2.2
Avg total162.6157.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%18%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)75% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa35231266%82.675.7+6.9
2 Gimnasia35231266%81.576.6+4.9
3 Obera TC34221265%81.276.8+4.4
4 Regatas34211362%78.976.4+2.4
5 Boca Juniors35211460%81.377.8+3.5
6 Ferro35211460%83.881.8+2.0
7 Obras Sanitarias34201459%81.479.1+2.4
8 Independiente de Oliva35201557%87.284.0+3.2
9 La Union35201557%81.280.1+1.1
10 Instituto de Cordoba36201656%77.475.6+1.8
11 Penarol34181653%81.381.4-0.1
12 San Martin34161847%75.476.1-0.7
13 Olimpico36152142%79.280.0-0.9
14 Racing de Chivilcoy35142140%79.581.5-2.0
15 Platense35132237%82.485.4-2.9
16 San Lorenzo35132237%78.982.5-3.6
17 Union De Santa Fe35122334%81.384.3-3.0
18 Atenas34112332%76.681.6-5.0
19 Argentino3472721%74.088.8-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Obera TC2621152284
Penarol1817212581
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