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Obera TC vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 May 2026
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 66-70
11-20 18-20 20-17 17-13
Position#5
Record23-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#2
Record25-14
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.8
ArgentinaLiga ALiga A - Quarter-finals· Estadio Dr.Luis Augusto Derna
Other2025-26
Meetings · Obera TC v Boca Juniors
10 Apr 2027
OBER v BOCA
upcoming
11 May 2026
OBER80
BOCA102
09 May 2026
OBER66
BOCA70
25 Mar 2026
OBER78
BOCA62
05 Nov 2024
OBER81
BOCA83
28 Nov 2023
OBER66
BOCA85
08 May 2023
OBER59
BOCA68
06 May 2023
OBER62
BOCA80
07 Dec 2022
OBER88
BOCA87
30 Nov 2022
OBER72
BOCA68
26 Mar 2022
OBER89
BOCA87
17 Mar 2021
OBER94
BOCA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Obera TC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Obera TCArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A14/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
104-96 OT
104
96
+8
H21/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
H28/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A08/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A10/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A13/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H17/04
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
78-82
78
82
-4
H20/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
20-20
20-20
22-14
18-21
17-25
28-19
21-15
34-27
13-20
23-20
17-20
20-18
19-21
19-13
20-10
22-16
11-16
21-32
23-13
14-22
24-16
14-19
24-18
17-21
23-21
21-19
23-30
15-20
27-18
18-19
17-13
26-18
21-17
15-21
22-25
20-25
15-26
21-13
22-18
162.5Avg total
82.7Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.277.0158.2+4.164%
Season at home (18)81.276.4157.6+4.861%
Season away (18)81.177.7158.8+3.467%
Last 10 (10)82.779.8162.5+2.970%
Last 5 (5)79.879.8159.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.576.5156.1+3.065%
vs Weaker (10)83.277.7160.9+5.560%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#17
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A04/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H06/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
81-90
81
90
-9
H11/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H13/04
Liga A
Flamengo
#7
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H18/04
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A19/04
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H22/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H25/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H28/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A01/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
23-22
14-19
20-18
5-17
21-22
34-11
14-18
21-23
21-25
29-20
10-22
19-20
26-28
26-24
21-14
19-9
25-18
17-14
20-17
31-28
16-10
19-15
20-19
25-22
19-14
23-20
20-19
21-21
25-23
26-14
26-37
28-16
17-27
16-24
22-14
18-28
25-20
26-22
32-27
166.5Avg total
86.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)82.478.8161.2+3.664%
Season at home (20)82.776.7159.4+6.075%
Season away (19)82.280.9163.1+1.253%
Last 10 (10)86.679.9166.5+6.790%
Last 5 (5)91.084.0175.0+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)77.877.0154.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (18)86.676.0162.6+10.689%
This opponent (Obera TC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
Obera TCBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Obera TCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A14/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H18/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H21/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H28/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A08/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A13/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H17/04
Liga A
Atenas
#18
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H20/04
Liga A
80.4Avg total
39.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.279.0+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.137.477.6+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)41.438.880.2+2.669%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.180.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.881.2-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.038.478.4+1.760%-
vs Weaker (10)42.337.880.1+4.570%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Lorenzo
#17
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A04/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H11/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H13/04
Liga A
Flamengo
#7
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H18/04
Champions League Americas
Franca
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A19/04
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H22/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H25/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H28/04
Liga A
San Martin
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A01/05
Liga A
84.2Avg total
43.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.138.480.6+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.938.879.7+2.159%-
Last 30 away (13)43.837.981.7+5.869%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.184.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.886.8+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.438.678.0+0.850%-
vs Weaker (18)43.938.382.3+5.672%-
This opponent (Obera TC) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Obera TCtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Obera TC: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.2
50.8%
53.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
32.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.012.8
71.1%
71.5%12.8
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boca Juniors: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.6
55.4%
53.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.1
33.7%
32.9%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.718.1
79.7%
71.5%18.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Obera TC
LWWLWLWWWW
Boca Juniors
WWWWWWWLWW
#5
League position
#2
+3.9
Net rating
+8.8
110.8
Offensive rating
113.2
106.9
Defensive rating
104.5
52.4%
Effective FG%
53.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
2.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.3%
3-point %
33.7%
56.6%
Assist %
52.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 113.2Defence106.9 · 104.5Shooting52.4% · 53.3%3-point %36.3% · 33.7%Ball care0.0% · 2.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Obera TC   ■ Boca Juniors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Obera TC wins
7
Boca Juniors wins
Obera TClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/26HAtenas78-82
17/04/26HPenarol84-81
13/04/26AArgentino77-70
10/04/26ARacing de Chivilcoy84-91
08/04/26AFerro76-75
28/03/26HGimnasia83-84 OT
26/03/26HBoca Juniors78-62
21/03/26HIndependiente de Oliva104-96 OT
18/03/26HFerro84-80
14/03/26AOlimpico79-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/05/26ASan Martin101-97
28/04/26HSan Martin83-81
25/04/26HSan Martin98-95
22/04/26HObras Sanitarias87-75
19/04/26AFranca86-72
18/04/26HFlamengo81-58
13/04/26HIndependiente de Oliva92-86
11/04/26HFerro81-90
06/04/26HUnion De Santa Fe74-68
04/04/26ASan Lorenzo83-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Obera TC
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL64%
HomeWWLWL61%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %64%61%67%
Points / game81.281.281.1
Allowed / game77.076.477.7
Point differential+4.1+4.8+3.4
Avg total158.2157.6158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%28%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)43% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %8%11%6%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayWLWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %64%75%53%
Points / game82.482.782.2
Allowed / game78.876.780.9
Point differential+3.6+6.0+1.2
Avg total161.2159.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%25%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)86% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia37251268%81.676.2+5.4
2 Quimsa36241267%83.376.4+6.9
3 Boca Juniors39251464%82.478.8+3.6
4 Obera TC36231364%81.277.0+4.1
5 Regatas37231462%79.976.7+3.2
6 Ferro41251661%84.082.0+2.0
7 Independiente de Oliva41231856%86.984.7+2.2
8 Obras Sanitarias41231856%80.779.0+1.7
9 Instituto de Cordoba41231856%77.675.9+1.7
10 La Union40211952%81.880.8+1.0
11 Penarol40202050%81.481.7-0.2
12 San Martin39172244%76.577.8-1.3
13 Olimpico36152142%79.280.0-0.9
14 Racing de Chivilcoy36142239%79.481.8-2.4
15 Atenas38142437%77.581.9-4.4
16 Union De Santa Fe36132336%81.583.8-2.3
17 Platense36132336%82.385.2-2.9
18 San Lorenzo36132336%78.782.3-3.7
19 Argentino3883021%74.788.8-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Obera TC1118201766
Boca Juniors2020171370
← all games of the day
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