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Independiente de Oliva vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 92-97
28-33 23-14 23-27 18-23
Position#8
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Independiente de Oliva
Argentina
vs
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
Position#14
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game79.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Independiente DSC
Other2026-27
Meetings · Independiente de Oliva v Ferro
08 Oct 2026
INDE92
FERR97
13 Nov 2025
INDE87
FERR75
16 Nov 2024
INDE87
FERR92
14 Dec 2023
INDE91
FERR84
25 Jan 2023
INDE86
FERR81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Independiente de Oliva winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Independiente de OlivaArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
L
102-110 OT
102
110
-8
H19/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
102-91
102
91
+11
A25/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
62-86
62
86
-24
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
97-92
97
92
+5
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A19/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
31-12
21-26
28-30
31-21
23-20
27-27
21-23
14-27
23-17
13-25
12-17
24-12
14-27
17-20
28-19
25-20
21-25
32-25
19-22
16-23
21-25
23-16
6-14
20-15
17-16
11-30
24-16
25-21
22-16
16-21
15-18
19-19
19-22
13-15
23-10
18-23
22-21
18-18
13-19
164.2Avg total
80.7Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.783.5164.2-2.850%
Last 5 (5)72.275.6147.8-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (22)82.684.1166.7-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.185.6177.7+6.671%
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
60-81
60
81
-21
A11/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H13/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H15/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
A19/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A23/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H28/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A01/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
16-20
10-14
13-24
24-16
16-17
30-25
20-17
21-20
21-21
15-20
14-18
24-31
17-23
19-13
27-18
14-23
21-18
20-18
22-22
18-20
19-24
20-14
17-21
22-21
23-14
11-25
18-10
10-19
26-17
26-20
19-17
19-21
14-30
13-20
8-17
17-21
20-23
22-14
9-21
152.6Avg total
73.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.079.0147.0-11.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.079.0147.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)73.679.0152.6-5.440%
Last 5 (5)70.277.8148.0-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.597.0167.5-26.50%
vs Similar (26)78.079.7157.7-1.750%
vs Weaker (2)95.075.5170.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
Independiente de OlivaFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Independiente de OlivaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
54-41
54
41
+13
A25/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/04
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/05
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A09/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A10/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H16/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A19/05
Liga A
82.5Avg total
41.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.943.187.0+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.242.888.1+2.454%-
Last 30 away (17)42.943.286.1-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.782.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.280.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.037.081.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (22)43.943.587.4+0.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.042.486.4+1.643%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A11/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A19/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A23/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A25/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H28/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#7
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/10
Liga A
80.5Avg total
38.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.984.0+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (12)45.139.284.3+5.875%-
Last 30 away (18)40.243.683.8-3.439%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.280.5-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.079.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)38.555.093.5-16.50%-
vs Similar (26)41.341.082.3+0.354%-
vs Weaker (2)56.540.096.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (Independiente de Oliva) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Independiente de Olivatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Independiente de Oliva: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.8
52.3%
54.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.7
29.1%
32.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.715.7
72.4%
72.7%15.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.9
52.5%
54.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.1
27.0%
32.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.213.6
74.7%
72.7%13.6
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Independiente de Oliva
LWWLLWWLWL
Ferro
LLWWLLWLWL
#8
League position
#14
-4.1
Net rating
-9.7
106.7
Offensive rating
102.3
110.8
Defensive rating
112.0
48.8%
Effective FG%
47.3%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.1%
3-point %
27.0%
43.5%
Assist %
47.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 102.3Defence110.8 · 112.0Shooting48.8% · 47.3%3-point %29.1% · 27.0%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Independiente de Oliva   ■ Ferro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Independiente de Oliva wins
4
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
11/02/26Ferro v Independiente de Oliva88-82
14/11/25Independiente de Oliva v Ferro87-75
08/02/25Ferro v Independiente de Oliva93-77
16/11/24Independiente de Oliva v Ferro87-92
15/05/24Ferro v Independiente de Oliva91-79
14/12/23Independiente de Oliva v Ferro91-84
26/01/23Independiente de Oliva v Ferro86-81
22/01/23Ferro v Independiente de Oliva75-79
Independiente de Olivalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/05/26AGimnasia71-81
16/05/26HGimnasia74-66
14/05/26HGimnasia78-76
10/05/26AGimnasia72-77
09/05/26AGimnasia66-78
03/05/26HLa Union97-92
01/05/26HLa Union83-78
27/04/26ALa Union62-86
25/04/26ALa Union102-91
19/04/26HQuimsa102-110 OT
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26AArgentino68-79
03/06/26AGimnasia54-88
30/05/26HGimnasia81-73
28/05/26HGimnasia74-70
25/05/26AGimnasia74-79
23/05/26AGimnasia77-81
19/05/26ARegatas87-85
15/05/26HRegatas71-79
13/05/26HRegatas90-75
11/05/26ARegatas60-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Independiente de Oliva
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Ferro
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential-11.0--11.0
Avg total147.0-147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors110100%96.073.0+23.0
2 Quimsa220100%88.572.0+16.5
3 Argentino110100%79.068.0+11.0
4 Regatas110100%73.063.0+10.0
5 Penarol110100%62.057.0+5.0
6 Racing de Chivilcoy110100%126.0123.0+3.0
7 Gimnasia32167%80.374.0+6.3
8 Atenas21150%84.085.0-1.0
9 Instituto de Cordoba21150%72.073.0-1.0
10 La Union21150%88.089.0-1.0
11 Platense31233%78.386.0-7.7
12 San Martin2020%98.0103.5-5.5
13 Olimpico2020%80.586.5-6.0
14 Ferro1010%68.079.0-11.0
15 Lanus1010%74.092.0-18.0
16 Obera TC1010%73.096.0-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Independiente de Oliva2823231892
Ferro3314272397
← all games of the day
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