Ferro vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 01:10

Final 75-57

12-15 24-8 22-17 17-17

Position#15

Record22-26

FormLLWWW

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game79.4

Ferro 🏆

Quimsa

Position#8

Record25-18

FormLLWWW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game77.7

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Ferro v Quimsa

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Quimsa winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#12

86-76

+10

H24/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

70-85

-15

H28/02

Liga A

Penarol

78-90

-12

H04/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

65-71

-6

H06/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

85-96

-11

A11/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

78-90

-12

A13/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

64-71

-7

H16/03

Liga A

Penarol

75-70

A19/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

96-84

+12

A20/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

80-78 OT

H25/03

Liga A

16-17

15-19

26-15

29-25

20-19

13-23

15-19

22-24

25-20

24-19

12-23

17-28

13-18

16-10

10-22

26-21

20-27

21-19

27-34

17-16

26-20

11-23

19-18

22-29

17-24

10-12

22-16

15-19

15-18

20-20

20-17

20-15

23-15

19-31

23-16

31-22

15-17

20-6

13-20

19-24

158.8Avg total

77.7Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (48)	77.0	79.4	156.4	-2.3	46%
Season at home (23)	76.1	76.3	152.4	-0.2	52%
Season away (25)	77.9	82.2	160.1	-4.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	77.7	81.1	158.8	-3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	78.6	157.2	+0.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	72.8	81.7	154.5	-8.8	33%
vs Similar (24)	79.5	80.2	159.7	-0.7	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

95-89

A01/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

72-75 OT

-3

H04/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

86-76

+10

H06/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

78-71

H08/03

Liga A

La Union

72-76

-4

A12/03

Liga A

Regatas

74-86

-12

A14/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

95-99 OT

-4

A16/03

Liga A

Regatas

91-73

+18

H19/03

Liga A

Argentino

#16

76-70

A23/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

87-59

+28

A24/03

Liga A

18-22

15-18

33-22

29-27

10-16

16-9

19-18

19-21

30-19

17-14

18-17

21-26

19-18

15-18

26-15

18-20

14-19

25-16

14-26

19-15

16-18

15-17

22-27

21-24

29-17

17-19

19-28

20-21

19-14

17-13

28-19

27-27

20-15

21-17

15-24

20-14

16-9

21-10

26-19

24-21

160.0Avg total

82.6Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	81.2	77.7	158.9	+3.5	58%
Season at home (23)	85.6	76.9	162.5	+8.7	83%
Season away (20)	76.2	78.6	154.8	-2.4	30%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	77.4	160.0	+5.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	77.4	162.0	+7.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	79.2	78.7	157.9	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	80.5	70.5	150.9	+10.0	70%

This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroQuimsa

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	20.0	37.6	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.0	18.9	35.9	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	17.7	20.5	38.2	-2.8	29%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	17.1	36.3	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	16.5	35.8	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	17.9	36.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.7	35.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	14.6	34.6	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	18.2	17.6	35.8	+0.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.8	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.6	35.9	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.6	16.9	34.5	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	18.2	35.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	16.5	20.3	36.8	-3.8	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.7	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	16.5	34.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	16.7	34.4	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	15.1	33.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.2	33.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	17.0	17.1	34.1	-0.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.2	16.2	34.5	+2.0	55%	-

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#12

31-36

-5

H24/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-42

-9

H28/02

Liga A

Penarol

49-39

+10

H04/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

29-28

H06/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

41-46

-5

A11/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

37-43

-6

A13/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

27-36

-9

H16/03

Liga A

Penarol

35-38

-3

A19/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

42-46

-4

A20/03

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

35-23

+12

H25/03

Liga A

73.6Avg total

35.9Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	38.7	73.5	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.6	35.8	70.4	-1.2	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	35.1	41.2	76.2	-6.1	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	37.7	73.6	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	37.2	72.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	33.5	38.5	72.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (24)	35.2	38.7	73.9	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

33-40

-7

A01/03

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

26-25

H04/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

47-33

+14

H06/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

34-36

-2

H08/03

Liga A

La Union

39-35

A12/03

Liga A

Regatas

31-35

-4

A14/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

46-36

+10

A16/03

Liga A

Regatas

36-27

H19/03

Liga A

Argentino

#16

41-32

A23/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

37-19

+18

A24/03

Liga A

68.8Avg total

37.0Scored

31.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	33.7	70.7	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.3	32.9	70.2	+4.4	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.6	34.6	71.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.0	31.8	68.8	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	29.8	68.0	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	35.2	34.7	69.9	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	37.9	33.1	71.0	+4.8	70%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	17.3	36.7	+2.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar (24)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	18.3	41.2	+4.6	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	21.6	39.2	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.5	43.5	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.4	45.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	22.3	22.1	44.4	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	21.4	43.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	22.4	44.2	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	20.6	43.2	+2.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	22.3	44.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar (24)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	18.8	40.8	+3.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.4	43.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.6	18.1	40.7	+4.6	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	41.0	83.7	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.3	39.6	80.9	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.9	42.2	86.1	+1.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	42.3	82.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.2	80.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	39.3	43.2	82.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (24)	43.5	40.5	84.0	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	38.7	81.2	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.0	37.1	82.1	+7.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	40.6	80.1	-1.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	43.1	86.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	44.8	89.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (10)	43.0	42.6	85.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	42.1	36.8	78.9	+5.4	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Quimsa wins

Date	Game	Score
15/12/15	Quimsa v Ferro	101-61

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/03/16	H	Quilmes	80-78 OT
20/03/16	A	Quilmes	96-84
19/03/16	A	Penarol	75-70
16/03/16	H	Boca Juniors	64-71
13/03/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	78-90
11/03/16	A	Atenas	85-96
06/03/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	65-71
04/03/16	H	Penarol	78-90
28/02/16	H	Gimnasia	70-85
24/02/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-76

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/16	A	Boca Juniors	87-59
23/03/16	A	Argentino	76-70
19/03/16	H	Regatas	91-73
16/03/16	A	San Martin	95-99 OT
14/03/16	A	Regatas	74-86
12/03/16	A	La Union	72-76
08/03/16	H	San Martin	78-71
06/03/16	H	Sionista	86-76
04/03/16	H	Estudiantes	72-75 OT
01/03/16	A	Penarol	95-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	46%
Home	LLLLW	52%
Away	WLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	48	23	25
Win %	46%	52%	40%
Points / game	77.0	76.1	77.9
Allowed / game	79.4	76.3	82.2
Point differential	-2.3	-0.2	-4.2
Avg total	156.4	152.4	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	30%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	56% (18)	62% (8)	50% (10)
Overtime %	6%	9%	4%

Quimsa

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	58%
Home	WLWWW	83%
Away	LLLWW	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	23	20
Win %	58%	83%	30%
Points / game	81.2	85.6	76.2
Allowed / game	77.7	76.9	78.6
Point differential	+3.5	+8.7	-2.5
Avg total	158.9	162.5	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	39%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	31% (13)	50% (4)	22% (9)
Overtime %	5%	4%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	45	31	14	69%	82.9	76.6	+6.3
2	Gimnasia	44	26	18	59%	83.1	77.0	+6.1
3	Quimsa	43	25	18	58%	81.2	77.7	+3.5
4	La Union	48	27	21	56%	80.3	78.8	+1.5
5	Libertad	47	26	21	55%	82.7	80.1	+2.6
6	Penarol	47	26	21	55%	83.8	82.7	+1.0
7	San Lorenzo	46	25	21	54%	84.0	80.4	+3.6
8	Obras Sanitarias	47	25	22	53%	84.2	84.2	+0.0
9	San Martin	46	24	22	52%	85.1	83.9	+1.2
10	Weber Bahia	45	23	22	51%	75.6	78.4	-2.8
11	Estudiantes	45	22	23	49%	74.6	78.5	-3.9
12	Instituto de Cordoba	46	22	24	48%	76.4	76.5	-0.1
13	Ferro	48	22	26	46%	77.0	79.4	-2.3
14	Regatas	46	21	25	46%	79.7	79.5	+0.2
15	Boca Juniors	47	21	26	45%	79.0	80.8	-1.8
16	Quilmes	47	20	27	43%	80.2	81.6	-1.4
17	Lanus	43	18	25	42%	80.2	82.4	-2.2
18	Atenas	48	20	28	42%	76.5	79.1	-2.5
19	Sionista	45	18	27	40%	77.1	82.0	-4.9
20	Argentino	43	16	27	37%	77.3	81.1	-3.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferro	12	24	22	17	75
Quimsa	15	8	17	17	57

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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