Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 84-96

15-23 31-19 16-23 22-31

Position#17

Record20-24

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game81.0

Quilmes

Ferro 🏆

Position#15

Record20-26

FormLLLLW

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game79.3

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Quilmes v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

56-76

-20

A16/02

Liga A

Lanus

#13

94-68

+26

H23/02

Liga A

Libertad

101-89

101

+12

H26/02

Liga A

Quimsa

96-82

+14

H27/02

Liga A

La Union

65-88

-23

A03/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

92-88

A05/03

Liga A

Regatas

70-63

A07/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

82-72

+10

H12/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

93-92

H13/03

Liga A

Olimpico

89-74

+15

H18/03

Liga A

9-20

15-19

21-15

11-22

20-24

26-11

23-16

25-17

21-15

30-30

21-26

29-18

23-25

25-17

27-13

21-27

12-26

14-16

21-24

18-22

17-27

21-19

33-16

21-26

14-15

15-8

14-13

27-27

22-16

15-15

18-18

27-23

20-23

24-22

21-18

28-29

24-16

22-20

16-17

27-21

163.0Avg total

83.8Scored

79.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (44)	80.0	81.0	161.0	-1.0	45%
Season at home (23)	84.4	80.9	165.3	+3.6	65%
Season away (21)	75.1	81.2	156.4	-6.1	24%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	79.2	163.0	+4.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	77.8	163.0	+7.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	80.0	82.2	162.2	-2.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	82.5	78.8	161.3	+3.7	61%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	72.0	154.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#11

84-78

A17/02

Liga A

Olimpico

80-70

+10

H21/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

86-76

+10

H24/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

70-85

-15

H28/02

Liga A

Penarol

78-90

-12

H04/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

65-71

-6

H06/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

85-96

-11

A11/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

78-90

-12

A13/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

64-71

-7

H16/03

Liga A

Penarol

75-70

A19/03

Liga A

12-19

19-14

25-25

28-20

16-21

22-17

27-13

15-19

16-17

15-19

26-15

29-25

20-19

13-23

15-19

22-24

25-20

24-19

12-23

17-28

13-18

16-10

10-22

26-21

20-27

21-19

27-34

17-16

26-20

11-23

19-18

22-29

17-24

10-12

22-16

15-19

15-18

20-20

20-17

20-15

156.2Avg total

76.5Scored

79.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (46)	76.6	79.3	155.8	-2.7	43%
Season at home (22)	75.9	76.2	152.1	-0.3	50%
Season away (24)	77.2	82.1	159.2	-4.9	38%
Last 10 (10)	76.5	79.7	156.2	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	79.6	153.0	-6.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	72.8	81.7	154.5	-8.8	33%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	78.7	80.8	159.5	-2.1	42%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.1	37.7	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	17.6	38.6	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.7	20.9	36.6	-5.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.7	38.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.4	38.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.8	18.9	37.7	-0.1	48%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	20.8	38.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	22.2	40.3	-4.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.9	21.5	39.3	-3.6	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	17.9	35.4	-0.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.0	18.8	39.8	+2.2	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.4	18.2	38.7	+2.2	65%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	15.0	30.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	18.8	36.2	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.3	19.6	36.9	-2.4	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	16.8	32.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.5	20.3	36.8	-3.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.5	18.5	36.0	-0.9	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

24-39

-15

A16/02

Liga A

Lanus

#13

46-35

+11

H23/02

Liga A

Libertad

51-45

H26/02

Liga A

Quimsa

48-42

H27/02

Liga A

La Union

26-42

-16

A03/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

38-46

-8

A05/03

Liga A

Regatas

29-23

A07/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

37-31

H12/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

44-45

-1

H13/03

Liga A

Olimpico

46-36

+10

H18/03

Liga A

77.3Avg total

38.9Scored

38.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.4	76.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	36.1	79.9	+7.7	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.3	38.8	72.1	-5.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	38.4	77.3	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.2	75.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.0	39.5	77.5	-1.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	39.2	37.1	76.3	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	31.0	68.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#11

31-33

-2

A17/02

Liga A

Olimpico

38-38

H21/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

31-36

-5

H24/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-42

-9

H28/02

Liga A

Penarol

49-39

+10

H04/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

29-28

H06/03

Liga A

Atenas

#14

41-46

-5

A11/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

37-43

-6

A13/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

27-36

-9

H16/03

Liga A

Penarol

35-38

-3

A19/03

Liga A

73.0Avg total

35.1Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	39.6	74.7	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	34.5	36.8	71.3	-2.2	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.4	41.8	77.2	-6.4	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.1	37.9	73.0	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	38.2	72.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.5	38.5	72.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	35.4	39.9	75.3	-4.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	20.4	42.6	+1.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	17.6	39.1	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	19.2	38.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	22.1	20.5	42.7	+1.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	22.2	40.2	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.7	43.4	-0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	22.1	44.9	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	23.2	46.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	25.2	51.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	22.7	23.5	46.2	-0.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.2	21.2	42.3	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	23.0	50.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.1	42.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.1	22.2	44.3	-0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.6	42.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.9	21.2	43.1	+0.8	58%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	41.9	85.0	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	42.1	85.7	+1.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.5	41.6	84.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.9	40.8	85.7	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	41.6	88.0	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	42.0	42.7	84.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	43.3	41.7	85.0	+1.6	65%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	41.0	86.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	40.9	83.2	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.0	39.3	81.3	+2.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.5	42.2	84.6	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	41.8	83.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	41.4	81.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	39.3	43.2	82.5	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	43.0	40.4	83.4	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
28/11/15	Quilmes v Ferro	89-83
29/10/15	Ferro v Quilmes	79-67

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/03/16	H	Olimpico	89-74
13/03/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	93-92
12/03/16	H	Sionista	82-72
07/03/16	A	Regatas	70-63
05/03/16	A	San Martin	92-88
03/03/16	A	La Union	65-88
27/02/16	H	Quimsa	96-82
26/02/16	H	Libertad	101-89
23/02/16	H	Lanus	94-68
16/02/16	A	Olimpico	56-76

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/03/16	A	Penarol	75-70
16/03/16	H	Boca Juniors	64-71
13/03/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	78-90
11/03/16	A	Atenas	85-96
06/03/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	65-71
04/03/16	H	Penarol	78-90
28/02/16	H	Gimnasia	70-85
24/02/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-76
21/02/16	H	Olimpico	80-70
17/02/16	A	Estudiantes	84-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	45%
Home	WWWWW	65%
Away	LLLWW	24%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	44	23	21
Win %	45%	65%	24%
Points / game	80.0	84.4	75.1
Allowed / game	81.0	80.9	81.2
Point differential	-1.0	+3.6	-6.1
Avg total	161.0	165.3	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	35%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	67% (6)	33% (6)
Overtime %	2%	4%	0%

Ferro

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	43%
Home	WLLLL	50%
Away	LWLLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	46	22	24
Win %	43%	50%	38%
Points / game	76.6	75.9	77.2
Allowed / game	79.3	76.2	82.1
Point differential	-2.7	-0.3	-4.9
Avg total	155.8	152.1	159.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	32%	4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	53% (17)	57% (7)	50% (10)
Overtime %	4%	5%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	44	30	14	68%	82.7	76.6	+6.1
2	Gimnasia	42	26	16	62%	83.1	76.5	+6.6
3	Libertad	46	26	20	57%	82.6	79.9	+2.7
4	La Union	46	26	20	57%	79.9	78.4	+1.4
5	Quimsa	41	23	18	56%	81.2	78.3	+2.9
6	San Lorenzo	45	25	20	56%	84.2	80.1	+4.1
7	Penarol	44	24	20	55%	84.3	83.2	+1.1
8	San Martin	45	24	21	53%	85.6	84.0	+1.6
9	Obras Sanitarias	44	22	22	50%	83.8	84.2	-0.4
10	Weber Bahia	42	21	21	50%	75.1	78.0	-2.9
11	Instituto de Cordoba	45	22	23	49%	76.3	76.3	+0.0
12	Regatas	44	21	23	48%	79.9	79.4	+0.5
13	Estudiantes	44	21	23	48%	74.1	78.8	-4.6
14	Boca Juniors	46	21	25	46%	79.5	80.7	-1.2
15	Quilmes	44	20	24	45%	80.0	81.0	-1.0
16	Ferro	46	20	26	43%	76.6	79.3	-2.7
17	Lanus	42	17	25	40%	79.7	82.2	-2.5
18	Atenas	47	19	28	40%	76.1	79.1	-3.0
19	Argentino	41	16	25	39%	77.6	81.2	-3.6
20	Sionista	42	16	26	38%	76.8	82.2	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	15	31	16	22	84
Ferro	23	19	23	31	96

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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