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Ferro vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 78-90
25-20 24-19 12-23 17-28
Position#15
Record19-21
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Penarol 🏆
Argentina
Position#4
Record21-16
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game81.9
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2015-16
Meetings · Ferro v Penarol
13 Nov 2026
FERR v PENA
upcoming
26 Apr 2026
FERR80
PENA78
24 Apr 2026
FERR97
PENA91
28 Sep 2025
FERR97
PENA84
09 Oct 2024
FERR84
PENA82
13 Nov 2023
FERR80
PENA73
19 Jan 2023
FERR88
PENA102
02 Apr 2022
FERR90
PENA78
20 Jan 2021
FERR90
PENA98
16 Feb 2020
FERR80
PENA69
14 Dec 2018
FERR82
PENA77
30 Apr 2018
FERR77
PENA89
19 Apr 2017
FERR63
PENA80
05 Oct 2016
FERR78
PENA52
03 Mar 2016
FERR78
PENA90
15 Oct 2015
FERR97
PENA106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A31/01
Liga A
La Union
#7
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H03/02
Liga A
Regatas
#9
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H07/02
Liga A
Sionista
#20
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H09/02
Liga A
Libertad
#6
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A13/02
Liga A
Sionista
#20
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A15/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A17/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#1
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H21/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#12
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H24/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H28/02
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
17-23
27-12
23-20
18-20
16-17
22-22
23-24
17-24
26-19
17-16
18-16
22-13
12-23
23-16
17-17
9-27
19-21
25-24
24-23
25-25
17-14
19-18
16-21
12-19
19-14
25-25
28-20
16-21
22-17
27-13
15-19
16-17
15-19
26-15
29-25
20-19
13-23
15-19
22-24
157.3Avg total
78.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)76.979.0155.9-2.048%
Season at home (19)77.076.1153.1+0.958%
Season away (21)76.981.6158.5-4.838%
Last 10 (10)78.878.5157.3+0.360%
Last 5 (5)79.477.4156.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.683.4159.0-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (23)77.878.7156.6-0.952%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sionista
#20
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A22/01
Liga A
Libertad
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A23/01
Liga A
Atenas
#14
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H28/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#18
W
91-86
91
86
+5
H30/01
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H06/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A09/02
Liga A
Atenas
#14
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
A11/02
Liga A
Lanus
#13
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H25/02
Liga A
Libertad
#6
W
101-88
101
88
+13
H28/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#8
L
89-95
89
95
-6
H01/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
21-13
22-18
13-26
17-27
27-11
10-20
14-29
24-18
23-13
20-27
16-19
27-18
21-22
24-25
19-21
25-19
21-19
24-19
11-29
26-22
9-17
13-17
24-23
11-21
14-13
29-19
14-15
26-18
25-26
23-24
26-19
23-27
31-17
28-23
19-21
22-18
18-15
22-33
27-29
168.7Avg total
85.1Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)82.681.9164.6+0.757%
Season at home (20)86.880.8167.6+6.175%
Season away (17)77.683.4161.0-5.735%
Last 10 (10)85.183.6168.7+1.560%
Last 5 (5)89.285.4174.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)81.481.6163.0-0.256%
vs Weaker (3)81.381.3162.7+0.033%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -4.8-4.8
FerroPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A31/01
Liga A
La Union
#7
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H03/02
Liga A
Regatas
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H07/02
Liga A
Sionista
#20
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H09/02
Liga A
Libertad
#6
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A13/02
Liga A
Sionista
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A15/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A17/02
Liga A
Olimpico
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/02
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#12
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H24/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H28/02
Liga A
74.3Avg total
34.7Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.439.173.5-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.737.471.1-3.614%-
Last 30 away (16)35.040.775.7-5.731%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.674.3-4.910%-
Last 5 (5)35.037.672.6-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.339.173.4-4.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)34.439.173.6-4.730%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sionista
#20
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A22/01
Liga A
Libertad
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A23/01
Liga A
Atenas
#14
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H28/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#18
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/01
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H06/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A09/02
Liga A
Atenas
#14
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A11/02
Liga A
Lanus
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H25/02
Liga A
Libertad
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H28/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#8
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/03
Liga A
80.7Avg total
43.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.779.7+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.837.382.1+7.576%-
Last 30 away (13)38.238.376.5-0.154%-
Last 10 (10)43.737.080.7+6.780%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (27)41.538.079.4+3.563%-
vs Weaker (3)46.035.781.7+10.3100%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ferro wins
2
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
26/11/15Penarol v Ferro88-74
16/10/15Ferro v Penarol97-106
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/16HGimnasia70-85
24/02/16HObras Sanitarias86-76
21/02/16HOlimpico80-70
17/02/16AEstudiantes84-78
15/02/16ASionista77-78
13/02/16ALibertad77-95
09/02/16HSionista74-69
07/02/16HRegatas78-75
03/02/16HLa Union79-83
31/01/16ARegatas83-76
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/16HQuimsa89-95
28/02/16HLibertad101-88
25/02/16HLanus100-87
11/02/16AAtenas84-78 OT
09/02/16AInstituto de Cordoba72-79
06/02/16HEstudiantes81-86
30/01/16HBoca Juniors91-86
28/01/16HAtenas83-77
23/01/16ALibertad68-87
22/01/16ASionista82-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL48%
HomeWWWWL58%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %48%58%38%
Points / game76.977.076.9
Allowed / game79.076.181.6
Point differential-2.0+0.9-4.8
Avg total155.9153.1158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%37%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)57% (7)44% (9)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Penarol
Liga A 2015-16
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL57%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayLWLLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %57%75%35%
Points / game82.686.877.6
Allowed / game81.980.883.4
Point differential+0.7+6.1-5.7
Avg total164.6167.6161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%40%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %8%10%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpico39271269%82.076.5+5.5
2 Gimnasia37221559%82.276.5+5.7
3 Quimsa34201459%81.278.1+3.1
4 San Lorenzo41241759%84.379.4+4.9
5 Libertad42241857%82.478.9+3.5
6 Penarol37211657%82.681.9+0.7
7 San Martin39221756%85.883.6+2.2
8 Obras Sanitarias38211755%83.882.6+1.2
9 La Union41221954%79.979.0+0.9
10 Regatas39192049%80.779.6+1.1
11 Ferro40192148%76.979.0-2.0
12 Estudiantes38182047%74.180.2-6.1
13 Instituto de Cordoba40182245%75.876.4-0.7
14 Weber Bahia38172145%74.178.4-4.3
15 Boca Juniors41182344%80.180.4-0.3
16 Sionista36152142%76.880.5-3.8
17 Lanus39162341%79.782.5-2.8
18 Atenas43172640%76.078.9-2.9
19 Quilmes39152438%79.381.5-2.1
20 Argentino37142338%77.481.2-3.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro2524121778
Penarol2019232890
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