PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ferro vs Riachuelo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 May 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 90-80
27-15 23-27 20-19 20-19
Position#8
Record17-18
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game83.0
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#6
Record22-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.6
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ferro v Riachuelo
15 May 2025
FERR90
RIAC80
19 Jan 2024
FERR70
RIAC76
19 Feb 2023
FERR79
RIAC83
07 Jan 2022
FERR76
RIAC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Riachuelo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
La Union
#18
L
86-99
86
99
-13
77avg 73
A30/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 73
A01/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 73
H05/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 73
A10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 73
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
90-67
90
67
+23
91avg 73
H19/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
63avg 73
H21/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
66avg 73
A24/04
Liga A
Penarol
#12
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
A27/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 73
H29/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
21-22
21-20
20-33
11-14
19-21
17-26
24-20
20-23
19-24
17-21
22-20
21-19
18-23
22-22
28-21
19-17
24-21
23-26
26-18
25-16
30-13
24-18
11-20
14-16
25-25
17-28
21-24
28-15
20-22
8-30
17-22
20-12
20-26
24-16
11-19
26-17
16-21
22-9
17-22
163.8Avg total
81.2Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.583.0164.5-1.549%
Season at home (18)83.681.3164.9+2.361%
Season away (17)79.284.8164.0-5.535%
Last 10 (10)81.282.6163.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)79.278.2157.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)80.486.3166.7-5.930%
vs Similar (16)82.784.9167.6-2.250%
vs Weaker (4)81.571.5153.0+10.075%
This opponent (Riachuelo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiachueloArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiachuelo
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
W
70-65
70
65
+5
62avg 76
A01/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
L
88-95
88
95
-7
77avg 76
H08/04
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 76
A12/04
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
67avg 76
A14/04
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
78-69
78
69
+9
71avg 76
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
63-90
63
90
-27
54avg 76
H19/04
Liga A
Atenas
#13
W
97-88
97
88
+9
94avg 76
H29/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
67-87
67
87
-20
55avg 76
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
W
77-73
77
73
+4
75avg 76
H10/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
97-99
97
99
-2
89avg 76
H12/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
17-24
17-5
20-16
21-14
21-32
18-26
28-23
21-16
15-15
20-15
12-28
20-22
18-14
22-27
17-18
13-17
16-18
23-23
26-11
17-18
14-24
16-28
16-20
13-18
32-28
23-24
29-18
21-17
16-25
14-25
16-20
19-20
20-30
17-20
21-3
26-34
24-22
28-25
19-18
160.3Avg total
78.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)82.277.6159.8+4.663%
Season at home (19)85.178.7163.7+6.468%
Season away (16)78.876.2155.1+2.656%
Last 10 (10)78.282.1160.3-3.940%
Last 5 (5)80.287.4167.6-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.590.0175.5-4.50%
vs Similar (12)75.177.7152.8-2.642%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.477.2163.7+9.281%
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
FerroRiachuelo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Union
#18
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A30/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A01/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H05/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H19/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A24/04
Liga A
Penarol
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A27/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H29/04
Liga A
81.1Avg total
42.0Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.883.3-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.141.086.1+4.171%-
Last 30 away (16)38.342.680.9-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)42.039.181.1+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.836.681.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.544.885.3-4.330%-
vs Similar (16)41.941.683.5+0.456%-
vs Weaker (4)42.235.577.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Riachuelo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RiachueloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Platense
#16
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A01/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#17
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H08/04
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A12/04
Liga A
Regatas
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A14/04
Liga A
La Union
#18
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H19/04
Liga A
Atenas
#13
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H29/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H10/05
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H12/05
Liga A
80.8Avg total
38.0Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.383.0+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.841.085.8+3.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.439.579.9+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.880.8-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.287.6-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.052.597.5-7.50%-
vs Similar (12)37.239.176.3-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.639.786.2+6.969%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ferro wins
5
Riachuelo wins
DateGameScore
12/12/24Riachuelo v Ferro91-81
19/04/24Riachuelo v Ferro73-86
19/01/24Ferro v Riachuelo70-76
19/02/23Ferro v Riachuelo79-83
06/11/22Riachuelo v Ferro85-79
19/01/22Riachuelo v Ferro100-80
07/01/22Ferro v Riachuelo76-60
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/25HOlimpico81-69
27/04/25APenarol75-73
24/04/25AObras Sanitarias73-89
21/04/25HQuimsa77-93
19/04/25HArgentino90-67
12/04/25HPlatense92-82
10/04/25AUnion De Santa Fe89-85
05/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba78-88
01/04/25ASan Martin71-81
30/03/25ALa Union86-99
Riachuelolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/25HQuimsa97-99
10/05/25HGimnasia77-73
03/05/25HInstituto de Cordoba67-87
29/04/25HAtenas97-88
19/04/25HObras Sanitarias63-90
15/04/25ALa Union78-69
14/04/25ARegatas77-81
12/04/25ASan Martin68-74
08/04/25HIndependiente de Oliva88-95
01/04/25APlatense70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW49%
HomeLWWLW61%
AwayLLWLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %49%61%35%
Points / game81.583.679.2
Allowed / game83.081.384.8
Point differential-1.5+2.3-5.5
Avg total164.5164.9164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%22%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)50% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Riachuelo
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL63%
HomeLWLWL68%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351916
Win %63%68%56%
Points / game82.285.178.8
Allowed / game77.678.776.2
Point differential+4.6+6.4+2.6
Avg total159.8163.7155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%42%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors3627975%80.675.6+5.0
2 Instituto de Cordoba35241169%81.173.2+7.9
3 Quimsa38251366%87.478.2+9.1
4 Obera TC35231266%81.877.3+4.6
5 Obras Sanitarias36231364%82.779.6+3.2
6 Riachuelo35221363%82.277.6+4.6
7 Gimnasia37201754%82.978.5+4.4
8 Regatas38201853%79.479.3+0.1
9 Atenas37191851%78.880.4-1.5
10 San Martin38191950%74.373.1+1.2
11 Union De Santa Fe37181949%81.985.3-3.4
12 Ferro35171849%81.583.0-1.5
13 San Lorenzo36171947%77.479.3-1.9
14 Penarol37172046%81.078.8+2.2
15 Olimpico38172145%80.783.4-2.7
16 Platense38152339%79.482.2-2.8
17 Independiente de Oliva37142338%85.288.0-2.8
18 La Union36132336%84.186.1-2.1
19 Zarate37102727%73.683.7-10.1
20 Argentino3663017%71.784.7-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro2723202090
Riachuelo1527191980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.