Riachuelo vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 73-86

15-33 18-20 24-14 16-19

Position#14

Record14-16

FormLLWWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game81.7

Riachuelo

Ferro 🏆

Position#13

Record11-19

FormLLLWL

Points / game76.2

Allowed / game80.0

Liga A

Other2023-24

Meetings · Riachuelo v Ferro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Riachuelo winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Riachuelo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormRiachuelo

Date

Competition

Olimpico

71-72

-1

64avg 74

A10/02

Liga A

Zarate

#15

89-74

+15

86avg 74

H15/02

Liga A

San Martin

67-81

-14

57avg 74

A01/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

90-88 OT

no box

A03/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

77-81

-4

71avg 74

H08/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

101-108

101

108

-7

90avg 74

H09/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

72-94

-22

65avg 74

A26/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

80-76

80avg 74

A28/03

Liga A

Penarol

#11

93-78

+15

86avg 74

H06/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

82-77

74avg 74

H07/04

Liga A

23-22

16-19

19-16

13-15

19-12

16-20

26-22

28-20

19-27

18-15

9-19

21-20

14-23

21-17

26-13

7-15

12-21

20-22

23-20

22-18

24-29

29-25

25-29

23-25

24-17

11-28

23-23

14-26

24-23

16-20

13-16

27-17

21-19

19-17

27-25

26-17

29-18

16-21

23-18

14-20

165.1Avg total

82.2Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	81.5	81.7	163.2	-0.2	47%
Season at home (14)	87.1	83.6	170.7	+3.4	50%
Season away (16)	76.7	80.0	156.7	-3.3	44%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	82.9	165.1	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	86.6	172.2	-1.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	78.8	86.0	164.8	-7.2	25%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	81.2	77.2	158.4	+3.9	58%
vs Weaker (3)	91.3	98.7	190.0	-7.3	33%

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFerro

Date

Competition

Regatas

#10

47-93

-46

25avg 67

A10/02

Liga A

San Martin

81-79

81avg 67

A12/02

Liga A

Olimpico

93-94

-1

83avg 67

H02/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

75-88

-13

66avg 67

H05/03

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

82-96

-14

70avg 67

A11/03

Liga A

Argentino

#17

71-79

-8

62avg 67

A13/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

83-87

-4

69avg 67

A31/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

69-70

-1

64avg 67

H04/04

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

76-71

70avg 67

H06/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

78-80

-2

71avg 67

A17/04

Liga A

7-14

6-20

15-26

19-33

17-13

21-27

19-15

24-24

33-26

15-30

25-22

20-16

19-26

22-19

16-17

18-26

22-27

18-27

19-23

23-19

20-19

9-24

22-22

20-14

20-25

17-16

22-25

24-21

16-15

21-18

20-15

12-22

18-15

24-23

17-20

17-13

17-20

20-30

14-11

27-19

159.2Avg total

75.5Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (30)	76.2	80.0	156.3	-3.8	37%
Season at home (14)	78.9	78.7	157.6	+0.2	50%
Season away (16)	73.9	81.2	155.1	-7.3	25%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	83.7	159.2	-8.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	75.4	77.4	152.8	-2.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	76.7	81.5	158.2	-4.7	27%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	75.2	79.2	154.4	-4.1	35%
vs Weaker (2)	82.5	79.0	161.5	+3.5	100%

This opponent (Riachuelo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

RiachueloFerro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.1	40.4	+0.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	20.2	39.9	-0.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.1	42.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	21.2	45.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	22.6	20.9	43.5	+1.8	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.1	68%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	28.0	45.7	-10.3	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.4	38.4	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.1	19.6	36.8	-2.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.6	21.4	39.0	-3.7	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.8	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.3	38.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.4	36.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.2	20.2	37.5	-3.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.0	19.7	47.7	+8.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	20.3	38.7	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	21.8	38.7	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	23.4	40.7	-6.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	22.2	40.4	-4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.4	41%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	23.5	48.5	+1.5	100%	-

RiachueloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpico

39-41

-2

A10/02

Liga A

Zarate

#15

35-32

H15/02

Liga A

San Martin

37-42

-5

A01/03

Liga A

Regatas

#10

35-40

-5

A03/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

32-43

-11

H08/03

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

53-54

-1

H09/03

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

35-45

-10

A26/03

Liga A

Independiente de Oliva

#18

40-43

-3

A28/03

Liga A

Penarol

#11

40-36

H06/04

Liga A

Boca Juniors

45-39

H07/04

Liga A

80.6Avg total

39.1Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.4	79.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	40.4	81.9	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	38.6	76.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	41.5	80.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	43.4	86.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	39.9	41.1	81.0	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	38.8	37.4	76.2	+1.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.7	47.7	93.3	-2.0	33%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

#10

13-34

-21

A10/02

Liga A

San Martin

38-40

-2

A12/02

Liga A

Olimpico

48-56

-8

H02/03

Liga A

La Union

#16

41-45

-4

H05/03

Liga A

Union De Santa Fe

#19

40-54

-14

A11/03

Liga A

Argentino

#17

29-43

-14

A13/03

Liga A

Gimnasia

37-41

-4

A31/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

37-33

H04/04

Liga A

Comunicaciones Mercedes

#20

42-38

H06/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

37-50

-13

A17/04

Liga A

79.6Avg total

36.2Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	40.8	77.1	-4.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.9	40.1	78.9	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.1	41.4	75.4	-7.3	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	43.4	79.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	41.0	77.4	-4.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.6	42.5	79.1	-5.8	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	35.2	39.3	74.5	-4.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	44.0	88.0	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Riachuelo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	20.7	42.8	+1.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	21.6	41.3	-1.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.1	41.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	22.2	44.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	28.3	53.3	-3.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	18.5	39.2	+2.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	18.5	36.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.6	37.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	64%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.9	59%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.6	39.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.9	18.1	34.9	-1.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.5	21.8	40.2	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	22.7	43.3	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.1	39.5	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	21.0	42.1	+0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	20.9	21.8	42.6	-0.9	41%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	15.5	32.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.6	40.8	81.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	42.1	87.1	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.6	39.6	76.2	-3.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	39.4	80.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	43.2	86.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.0	42.8	80.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	40.8	38.3	79.2	+2.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (3)	45.7	51.0	96.7	-5.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	39.1	78.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.1	38.6	78.7	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	39.5	78.9	-0.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	40.3	79.6	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.4	75.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.1	39.0	79.1	+1.1	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (17)	40.0	39.9	79.9	+0.1	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	32.5	67.5	+2.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Riachuelo wins

Ferro wins

Date	Game	Score
19/01/24	Ferro v Riachuelo	70-76
19/02/23	Ferro v Riachuelo	79-83
06/11/22	Riachuelo v Ferro	85-79
19/01/22	Riachuelo v Ferro	100-80
07/01/22	Ferro v Riachuelo	76-60

Riachuelolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/04/24	H	Boca Juniors	82-77
06/04/24	H	Penarol	93-78
28/03/24	A	Independiente de Oliva	80-76
26/03/24	A	Instituto de Cordoba	72-94
09/03/24	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	101-108
08/03/24	H	San Lorenzo	77-81
03/03/24	A	Regatas	90-88 OT
01/03/24	A	San Martin	67-81
15/02/24	H	Zarate	89-74
10/02/24	A	Olimpico	71-72

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/04/24	A	Instituto de Cordoba	78-80
06/04/24	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	76-71
04/04/24	H	Boca Juniors	69-70
31/03/24	A	Gimnasia	83-87
13/03/24	A	Argentino	71-79
11/03/24	A	Union De Santa Fe	82-96
05/03/24	H	La Union	75-88
02/03/24	H	Olimpico	93-94
12/02/24	A	San Martin	81-79
10/02/24	A	Regatas	47-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Riachuelo

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	47%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	LLWLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	47%	50%	44%
Points / game	81.5	87.1	76.7
Allowed / game	81.7	83.6	80.0
Point differential	-0.2	+3.4	-3.3
Avg total	163.2	170.7	156.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	36%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	40% (5)	50% (6)
Overtime %	10%	7%	12%

Ferro

Liga A 2023-24

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	37%
Home	WLLLW	50%
Away	WLLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	30	14	16
Win %	37%	50%	25%
Points / game	76.2	78.9	73.9
Allowed / game	80.0	78.7	81.2
Point differential	-3.8	+0.2	-7.3
Avg total	156.3	157.6	155.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	14%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	36% (11)	50% (4)	29% (7)
Overtime %	3%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	30	25	5	83%	85.2	78.9	+6.3
2	Instituto de Cordoba	33	24	9	73%	80.9	75.7	+5.2
3	Olimpico	30	21	9	70%	83.6	76.2	+7.3
4	Platense	29	19	10	66%	79.8	76.9	+2.9
5	San Lorenzo	30	19	11	63%	75.5	72.0	+3.6
6	Obras Sanitarias	29	18	11	62%	84.9	84.7	+0.3
7	San Martin	32	19	13	59%	76.8	72.8	+4.0
8	Boca Juniors	29	17	12	59%	81.0	75.7	+5.3
9	Gimnasia	29	17	12	59%	82.8	80.9	+1.8
10	Obera TC	31	16	15	52%	80.1	80.4	-0.3
11	Regatas	32	15	17	47%	78.2	76.8	+1.4
12	Riachuelo	30	14	16	47%	81.5	81.7	-0.2
13	Zarate	32	13	19	41%	72.0	76.9	-4.9
14	Penarol	30	12	18	40%	77.2	81.0	-3.9
15	Independiente de Oliva	31	12	19	39%	78.9	81.6	-2.6
16	Ferro	30	11	19	37%	76.2	80.0	-3.8
17	La Union	31	9	22	29%	77.0	80.6	-3.6
18	Comunicaciones Mercedes	31	9	22	29%	79.9	83.7	-3.7
19	Argentino	31	8	23	26%	73.5	80.5	-7.0
20	Union De Santa Fe	32	8	24	25%	79.0	86.2	-7.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Riachuelo	15	18	24	16	73
Ferro	33	20	14	19	86

← all games of the day

Riachuelo vs Ferro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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