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Penarol vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 73-75
12-20 26-20 16-24 19-11
Position#12
Record15-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game78.6
vs
Ferro 🏆
Argentina
Position#8
Record15-18
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game83.7
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Islas Malvinas
Other2024-25
Meetings · Penarol v Ferro
12 Apr 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
10 Jan 2027
PENA v FERR
upcoming
02 May 2026
PENA68
FERR84
30 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR75
19 Apr 2026
PENA87
FERR80
27 Apr 2025
PENA73
FERR75
12 May 2024
PENA70
FERR86
26 Nov 2022
PENA69
FERR64
01 Dec 2021
PENA80
FERR89
10 Oct 2021
PENA97
FERR101
08 Jan 2021
PENA111
FERR101
18 Mar 2020
PENA v FERR
upcoming
04 Mar 2019
PENA66
FERR88
26 Mar 2018
PENA96
FERR73
01 Feb 2017
PENA73
FERR75
18 Oct 2016
PENA76
FERR75
18 Mar 2016
PENA70
FERR75
25 Nov 2015
PENA88
FERR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Regatas
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 68
A08/03
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
91-73
91
73
+18
88avg 68
A10/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
90-58
90
58
+32
93avg 68
H13/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
53avg 68
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 68
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
86-88
86
88
-2
71avg 68
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
93-85
93
85
+8
81avg 68
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
L
63-76
63
76
-13
50avg 68
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 68
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
63avg 68
H25/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
12-22
22-20
11-18
25-19
20-24
27-11
19-19
27-14
15-16
29-9
19-19
14-21
19-11
22-20
9-20
17-13
15-23
17-18
14-27
21-17
17-28
28-20
20-23
23-16
17-20
25-19
28-30
16-22
17-11
21-20
9-23
27-16
29-19
17-16
16-20
20-18
21-16
10-27
24-18
154.5Avg total
77.8Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.178.6158.7+1.647%
Season at home (15)82.574.8157.3+7.760%
Season away (17)78.081.9159.9-3.935%
Last 10 (10)77.876.7154.5+1.140%
Last 5 (5)81.279.8161.0+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.580.0153.5-6.550%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.479.1157.6-0.743%
vs Weaker (14)83.077.9160.9+5.150%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Zarate
#19
W
72-64
72
64
+8
61avg 74
H13/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
69avg 74
A28/03
Liga A
La Union
#18
L
86-99
86
99
-13
77avg 74
A30/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 74
A01/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
64avg 74
H05/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
W
89-85
89
85
+4
84avg 74
A10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
92-82
92
82
+10
89avg 74
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
90-67
90
67
+23
91avg 74
H19/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
63avg 74
H21/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
66avg 74
A24/04
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
16-19
18-13
14-13
17-10
12-23
22-20
29-31
24-24
21-22
21-20
20-33
11-14
19-21
17-26
24-20
20-23
19-24
17-21
22-20
21-19
18-23
22-22
28-21
19-17
24-21
23-26
26-18
25-16
30-13
24-18
11-20
14-16
25-25
17-28
21-24
28-15
20-22
8-30
17-22
164.0Avg total
80.8Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.783.7165.4-2.045%
Season at home (17)83.882.1165.8+1.759%
Season away (16)79.585.5165.0-6.031%
Last 10 (10)80.883.2164.0-2.440%
Last 5 (5)84.283.2167.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.486.3166.7-5.930%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.885.8168.6-2.944%
vs Weaker (4)81.571.5153.0+10.075%
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -1.0-1.0
PenarolFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#7
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A08/03
Liga A
La Union
#18
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#1
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H21/03
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H29/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A03/04
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A05/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H25/04
Liga A
76.1Avg total
39.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.280.7+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.738.180.7+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)38.342.380.7-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.076.1+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.678.2+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.072.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.939.579.4+0.457%-
vs Weaker (14)42.340.983.2+1.457%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zarate
#19
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H13/03
Liga A
Regatas
#7
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A28/03
Liga A
La Union
#18
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A30/03
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A01/04
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H05/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#11
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A10/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#20
W
55-29
55
29
+26
H19/04
Liga A
Quimsa
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A24/04
Liga A
79.3Avg total
40.7Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.783.2-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.840.885.6+4.071%-
Last 30 away (16)38.642.681.2-3.931%-
Last 10 (10)40.738.679.3+2.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.837.482.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.544.885.3-4.330%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.941.483.3+0.656%-
vs Weaker (4)42.235.577.8+6.875%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Penarol wins
6
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
09/10/24Ferro v Penarol84-82 OT
13/05/24Penarol v Ferro70-86
14/11/23Ferro v Penarol80-73
19/01/23Ferro v Penarol88-102
26/11/22Penarol v Ferro69-64
03/04/22Ferro v Penarol90-78
02/12/21Penarol v Ferro80-89
10/10/21Penarol v Ferro97-101 OT
20/01/21Ferro v Penarol90-98 OT
09/01/21Penarol v Ferro111-101 OT
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/25HPlatense75-79
10/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba89-71
05/04/25ASan Lorenzo63-76
03/04/25AObras Sanitarias93-85
02/04/25AGimnasia86-88
29/03/25HQuimsa63-81
21/03/25HBoca Juniors64-72
13/03/25HOlimpico90-58
10/03/25ALa Union91-73
08/03/25ARegatas64-84
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/25AObras Sanitarias73-89
21/04/25HQuimsa77-93
19/04/25HArgentino90-67
12/04/25HPlatense92-82
10/04/25AUnion De Santa Fe89-85
05/04/25HInstituto de Cordoba78-88
01/04/25ASan Martin71-81
30/03/25ALa Union86-99
28/03/25ARegatas80-84
13/03/25HZarate72-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWLLWL60%
AwayLWLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %47%60%35%
Points / game80.182.578.0
Allowed / game78.674.881.9
Point differential+1.6+7.7-3.9
Avg total158.7157.3159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%53%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)25% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Ferro
Liga A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeWLWWL59%
AwayLLLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %45%59%31%
Points / game81.783.879.5
Allowed / game83.782.185.5
Point differential-2.0+1.7-6.0
Avg total165.4165.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)50% (8)50% (6)
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boca Juniors3023777%80.875.2+5.5
2 Instituto de Cordoba3021970%81.072.1+8.9
3 Quimsa35231266%86.577.8+8.7
4 Riachuelo31201165%81.976.4+5.5
5 Obras Sanitarias33211264%82.979.5+3.3
6 Obera TC32201262%81.377.6+3.7
7 Gimnasia32181456%82.578.4+4.2
8 Regatas33181555%79.479.0+0.4
9 Atenas33171652%78.578.8-0.4
10 San Martin36181850%74.773.1+1.6
11 Union De Santa Fe35171849%81.985.5-3.6
12 Penarol32151747%80.178.6+1.6
13 Olimpico32151747%80.782.5-1.8
14 Ferro33151845%81.783.7-2.0
15 San Lorenzo32141844%76.579.7-3.2
16 Independiente de Oliva34142041%86.087.7-1.7
17 Platense35132237%78.582.4-3.9
18 La Union33112233%83.085.9-2.9
19 Zarate33102330%73.382.7-9.4
20 Argentino3252716%71.985.2-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1226161973
Ferro2020241175
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