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Ferrol W vs Valencia W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game75.7
Ferrol W
Spain
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.2/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Valencia W
Spain
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game64.9
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 20· Pavillón da Malata
Women2026-27
Meetings · Ferrol W v Valencia W
30 Jan 2027
FERR v VALE
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
FERR71
VALE65
01 Mar 2025
FERR54
VALE74
25 Nov 2023
FERR55
VALE66
29 Mar 2022
FERR63
VALE76
30 Dec 2018
FERR46
VALE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrol W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
53avg 65
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
72avg 65
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
L
68-96
68
96
-28
59avg 65
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
50-87
50
87
-37
36avg 65
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#3
L
45-87
45
87
-42
27avg 65
H21/10
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
69avg 65
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#44
W
87-65
87
65
+22
86avg 65
A28/10
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
A31/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
L
58-77
58
77
-19
no box
H03/11
EuroCup Women
Leganes W
#11
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
10-14
11-20
21-17
19-23
19-17
20-18
26-14
17-27
11-18
18-29
22-22
12-20
13-17
11-25
14-25
17-19
11-22
11-22
6-24
23-23
21-14
15-8
17-26
31-15
16-17
17-20
23-13
26-17
15-21
16-24
22-17
22-14
13-17
10-22
13-24
18-15
19-16
14-20
15-13
146.4Avg total
68.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.975.7148.6-2.971%
Season at home (3)80.773.3154.0+7.3100%
Season away (4)67.077.5144.5-10.550%
Last 10 (10)68.677.8146.4-9.250%
Last 5 (5)75.672.4148.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)65.277.8143.1-12.625%
vs Similar (10)67.971.8139.7-3.950%
vs Weaker (8)80.570.2150.8+10.288%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
82-57
82
57
+25
83avg 69
H07/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
W
99-70
99
70
+29
92avg 69
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#4
L
69-88
69
88
-19
55avg 69
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#6
W
87-50
87
50
+37
84avg 69
H18/10
Liga Femenina W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
63-77
63
77
-14
58avg 69
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#15
W
75-59
75
59
+16
64avg 69
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#24
W
105-47
105
47
+58
104avg 69
H28/10
Euroleague Women
Celta W
#14
W
81-52
81
52
+29
no box
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
no box
A03/11
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#13
W
80-78 OT
80
78
+2
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
15-13
21-14
23-12
21-16
25-18
25-25
28-11
12-27
18-23
21-18
18-20
20-12
17-13
25-11
25-14
23-23
10-16
16-21
14-17
15-20
20-21
20-11
20-7
30-15
24-7
24-15
27-10
22-17
17-13
21-2
21-20
23-22
14-20
20-20
16-9
17-24
20-19
13-16
22-13
146.3Avg total
81.4Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.164.9147.0+17.386%
Season at home (3)83.353.0136.3+30.3100%
Season away (4)81.273.8155.0+7.575%
Last 10 (10)81.464.9146.3+16.580%
Last 5 (5)82.861.4144.2+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.378.7147.0-10.333%
vs Similar (8)70.471.9142.2-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)80.663.1143.6+17.579%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +8.1+8.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +8.1+8.1
Ferrol WValencia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H21/10
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#44
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A28/10
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/11
EuroCup Women
Leganes W
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
72.1Avg total
35.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.372.1-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.572.8+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)33.538.071.5-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.972.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.874.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.538.269.7-6.725%-
vs Similar (10)36.535.772.2+0.860%-
vs Weaker (8)41.634.175.8+7.588%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perfumerias Avenida W
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H07/10
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A11/10
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#4
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H14/10
Euroleague Women
Ferrol W
#6
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H18/10
Liga Femenina W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Ensino W
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A25/10
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#24
W
54-22
54
22
+32
H28/10
Euroleague Women
Celta W
#14
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Fenerbahce W
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A03/11
Euroleague Women
Uni Girona W
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
74.3Avg total
38.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.035.073.0+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.933.069.9+3.957%-
Last 30 away (16)38.936.775.6+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.774.3+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.676.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.343.777.0-10.30%-
vs Similar (8)36.238.174.4-1.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)39.532.371.7+7.268%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.7
48.1%
46.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
30.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws10.98.3
76.1%
74.7%8.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.4
48.3%
46.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.7
35.2%
30.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.915.1
79.9%
74.7%15.1
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferrol W
WLWWWLLLWL
Valencia W
WWWWWLWLWW
#6
League position
#2
-4.4
Net rating
+16.4
90.1
Offensive rating
105.9
94.5
Defensive rating
89.5
48.1%
Effective FG%
50.0%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
45.8%
10.4%
Turnover %
5.8%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.0%
3-point %
35.2%
66.0%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 105.9Defence94.5 · 89.5Shooting48.1% · 50.0%3-point %32.0% · 35.2%Ball care10.4% · 5.8%Free throws0.17 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Ferrol W   ■ Valencia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ferrol W wins
9
Valencia W wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Valencia W v Ferrol W87-50
08/04/26Valencia W v Ferrol W85-74
04/10/25Ferrol W v Valencia W71-65
01/03/25Ferrol W v Valencia W54-74
23/11/24Valencia W v Ferrol W86-65
13/04/24Valencia W v Ferrol W79-66
25/11/23Ferrol W v Valencia W55-66
29/03/22Ferrol W v Valencia W63-76
04/12/21Valencia W v Ferrol W67-52
07/04/19Valencia W v Ferrol W78-63
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ALeganes W66-64
03/11/26HOlympiacos W58-77
31/10/26AIDK Gipuzkoa W91-85 OT
28/10/26ASleza Wroclaw W87-65
24/10/26HGernika Bizkaia W76-71
21/10/26HCBK Mersin W45-87
18/10/26AValencia W50-87
14/10/26AOlympiacos W68-96
11/10/26HEstepona W84-72
08/10/26AJairis W61-74
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26AUni Girona W80-78 OT
03/11/26AFenerbahce W73-71
01/11/26HCelta W81-52
28/10/26HRapid Bucuresti W105-47
25/10/26AEnsino W75-59
21/10/26HFlammes Carolo W63-77
18/10/26HFerrol W87-50
14/10/26HFenerbahce W69-88
11/10/26AEstudiantes W99-70
07/10/26HPerfumerias Avenida W82-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game72.980.767.0
Allowed / game75.773.377.5
Point differential-2.9+7.3-10.5
Avg total148.6154.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Valencia W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game82.183.381.2
Allowed / game64.953.073.8
Point differential+17.3+30.3+7.5
Avg total147.0136.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W770100%83.059.7+23.3
2 Valencia W76186%82.164.9+17.3
3 Mallorca Palma W76186%78.164.9+13.3
4 Jairis W76186%72.661.4+11.1
5 IDK Gipuzkoa W75271%70.164.6+5.6
6 Ferrol W75271%72.975.7-2.9
7 Estepona W74357%67.064.3+2.7
8 Cadi La Seu W74357%64.165.4-1.3
9 Gernika Bizkaia W74357%77.380.3-3.0
10 Perfumerias Avenida W72529%71.475.6-4.1
11 Leganes W72529%61.769.4-7.7
12 Estudiantes W72529%66.775.1-8.4
13 Uni Girona W71614%66.171.1-5.0
14 Celta W71614%65.977.4-11.6
15 Ensino W71614%60.975.1-14.3
16 Araski W7070%60.775.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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