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Ferrol W vs Valencia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-65
22-8 18-14 21-17 10-26
Position#8
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ferrol W 🏆
Spain
vs
Valencia W
Spain
Position#3
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 1· Pavillón da Malata
Women2025-26
Meetings · Ferrol W v Valencia W
30 Jan 2027
FERR v VALE
upcoming
04 Oct 2025
FERR71
VALE65
01 Mar 2025
FERR54
VALE74
25 Nov 2023
FERR55
VALE66
29 Mar 2022
FERR63
VALE76
30 Dec 2018
FERR46
VALE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrol W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
80-56
80
56
+24
78avg 65
H15/03
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
63avg 65
A19/03
Liga Femenina W
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
68avg 65
H26/03
EuroCup Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
70-84
70
84
-14
65avg 65
A02/04
EuroCup Women
Celta W
#15
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 65
H05/04
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#6
L
68-69 OT
68
69
-1
59avg 65
A09/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
48-79
48
79
-31
33avg 65
H12/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
52avg 65
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
L
60-71
60
71
-11
49avg 65
H24/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
L
62-72
62
72
-10
55avg 65
A27/04
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
19-20
21-11
17-11
13-14
21-16
21-20
17-21
25-33
19-9
16-21
15-15
18-23
12-19
20-24
20-18
28-15
13-16
17-13
14-21
13-10
11-13
14-20
21-16
13-22
14-23
7-11
14-23
12-23
22-15
17-21
9-21
10-25
23-22
12-10
15-14
19-19
14-11
11-20
18-22
139.2Avg total
66.7Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.772.5139.2-5.830%
Last 5 (5)59.674.2133.8-14.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.172.6138.8-6.538%
vs Similar (11)71.871.5143.3+0.445%
vs Weaker (11)78.170.0148.1+8.164%
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce W
#1
L
49-59
49
59
-10
42avg 73
H13/04
Euroleague Women
Celta W
#15
W
90-46
90
46
+44
96avg 73
H19/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#7
W
64-60
64
60
+4
60avg 73
A24/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#7
W
88-81
88
81
+7
84avg 73
H27/04
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
L
76-76
76
76
+0
73avg 73
A01/05
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
75-62
75
62
+13
72avg 73
H04/05
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
75-65
75
65
+10
74avg 73
H08/05
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
71-63
71
63
+8
63avg 73
A11/05
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
75-70
75
70
+5
71avg 73
A27/09
Supercopa Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
68-79
68
79
-11
58avg 73
H28/09
Supercopa Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-12
21-13
13-18
7-16
29-7
20-16
23-12
18-11
9-8
20-17
22-14
13-21
17-19
24-20
21-20
26-22
18-20
25-21
12-23
21-12
18-16
22-23
20-13
15-10
21-12
16-12
17-21
21-20
13-16
25-19
23-17
10-11
20-18
26-13
13-15
16-24
20-26
18-17
12-19
18-17
139.2Avg total
73.1Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.166.1139.2+7.070%
Last 5 (5)72.867.8140.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.073.8143.8-3.817%
vs Similar (2)83.572.0155.5+11.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.063.4143.3+16.675%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Ferrol WValencia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H15/03
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#13
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A19/03
Liga Femenina W
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H26/03
EuroCup Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#4
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A02/04
EuroCup Women
Celta W
#15
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H05/04
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#6
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A09/04
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H12/04
Liga Femenina W
Gran Canaria W
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H24/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#1
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A27/04
Liga Femenina W
70.4Avg total
34.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.636.971.5-2.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.237.072.2-1.843%-
Last 30 away (16)34.136.870.9-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)34.236.270.4-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)30.236.666.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)32.238.670.9-6.425%-
vs Similar (11)34.735.870.5-1.145%-
vs Weaker (11)36.336.773.0-0.545%-
This opponent (Valencia W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valencia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce W
#1
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H13/04
Euroleague Women
Celta W
#15
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H19/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#7
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/04
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#7
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H27/04
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A01/05
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H04/05
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H08/05
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#4
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A11/05
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#3
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A27/09
Supercopa Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H28/09
Supercopa Women
71.5Avg total
39.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.074.1+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.334.574.8+5.871%-
Last 30 away (13)39.833.573.3+6.469%-
Last 10 (10)39.032.571.5+6.590%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.474.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.740.273.8-6.533%-
vs Similar (2)46.040.586.5+5.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.031.373.3+10.785%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.5
51.3%
46.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.68.5
39.4%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.211.0
72.4%
74.2%11.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valencia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia W: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.6
45.8%
46.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
32.1%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.711.2
76.2%
74.2%11.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferrol W
LLLLLWLLWW
Valencia W
LWWWWLWWWL
#8
League position
#3
+12.5
Net rating
-0.5
106.7
Offensive rating
95.9
94.2
Defensive rating
96.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
46.5%
45.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.9%
Turnover %
20.4%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.4%
3-point %
31.7%
72.0%
Assist %
71.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 95.9Defence94.2 · 96.4Shooting53.9% · 46.5%3-point %39.4% · 31.7%Ball care17.9% · 20.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Ferrol W   ■ Valencia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ferrol W wins
8
Valencia W wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Ferrol W v Valencia W54-74
23/11/24Valencia W v Ferrol W86-65
13/04/24Valencia W v Ferrol W79-66
25/11/23Ferrol W v Valencia W55-66
29/03/22Ferrol W v Valencia W63-76
04/12/21Valencia W v Ferrol W67-52
07/04/19Valencia W v Ferrol W78-63
30/12/18Ferrol W v Valencia W46-75
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25AUni Girona W62-72
24/04/25HUni Girona W60-71
19/04/25AGran Canaria W60-80
12/04/25HZaragoza W48-79
09/04/25AEstudiantes W68-69 OT
05/04/25HCelta W72-65
02/04/25AESB Villeneuve W70-84
26/03/25HESB Villeneuve W75-78
19/03/25AAraski W72-71
15/03/25HGernika Bizkaia W80-56
Valencia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HZaragoza W68-79
27/09/25APerfumerias Avenida W75-70
11/05/25AZaragoza W71-63
08/05/25HZaragoza W75-65
04/05/25HPerfumerias Avenida W75-62
01/05/25APerfumerias Avenida W76-76
27/04/25HJoventut Badalona W88-81
24/04/25AJoventut Badalona W64-60
19/04/25HCelta W90-46
13/04/25HFenerbahce W49-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Valencia W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uni Girona W110100%80.058.0+22.0
2 IDK Gipuzkoa W110100%60.056.0+4.0
3 Gernika Bizkaia W110100%89.088.0+1.0
4 Estudiantes W1010%88.089.0-1.0
5 Gran Canaria W1010%56.060.0-4.0
6 Estepona W1010%58.080.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferrol W2218211071
Valencia W814172665
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