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Finland vs Georgia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 93-79
28-15 29-25 14-22 22-17
Position#10
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game82.0
Finland 🏆
vs
Position#14
Record3-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeEuroBasketEuroBasket - Quarter-finals· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025Neutral venue
Meetings · Finland v Georgia
10 Sep 2025
FINL93
GEOR79
21 Nov 2024
FINL83
GEOR90
28 Nov 2020
FINL85
GEOR91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Georgia
#21
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 84
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
64-81
64
81
-17
62avg 84
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 84
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
83-77
83
77
+6
75avg 84
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
93-90
93
90
+3
92avg 84
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 84
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 84
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 84
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 84
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 84
A06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
23-23
15-19
20-28
21-17
19-21
13-17
11-26
26-24
31-27
14-28
24-26
24-25
17-22
18-23
24-7
26-21
23-27
23-24
21-18
30-21
28-21
23-14
28-23
23-23
24-14
20-15
18-13
21-20
15-25
12-12
30-24
19-21
17-29
13-19
12-22
28-24
16-24
24-18
24-20
168.8Avg total
84.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.382.0168.3+4.367%
Season at home (3)82.783.7166.3-1.033%
Season away (3)90.080.3170.3+9.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.384.5168.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)85.080.4165.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.390.9169.1-12.621%
vs Similar (9)89.181.4170.6+7.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.475.4166.9+16.0100%
This opponent (Georgia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeorgiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGeorgia
Date
Competition
Finland
#34
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 69
A21/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 69
H24/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
62-60
62
60
+2
54avg 69
H21/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
54-63
54
63
-9
52avg 69
A24/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
83-69
83
69
+14
79avg 69
H28/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 69
A30/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
53-94
53
94
-41
40avg 69
H31/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
93-61
93
61
+32
100avg 69
A02/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 69
A04/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
80-70
80
70
+10
81avg 69
A07/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-23
19-15
28-20
17-21
21-19
17-13
26-11
19-21
18-4
11-20
14-15
17-13
14-14
10-17
13-19
20-17
17-18
20-14
26-20
10-18
22-14
15-21
15-25
13-22
16-24
12-23
12-25
15-13
27-13
26-15
25-20
15-20
20-27
27-20
14-17
24-20
14-17
20-17
22-16
146.0Avg total
73.4Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.576.0150.5-1.550%
Season at home (2)68.081.5149.5-13.550%
Season away (4)77.873.2151.0+4.550%
Last 10 (10)73.472.6146.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)72.877.4150.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.779.8151.5-8.138%
vs Similar (11)75.578.9154.5-3.427%
vs Weaker (6)84.874.3159.2+10.583%
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
FinlandGeorgia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#21
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/09
EuroBasket
90.5Avg total
45.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.043.087.0+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.888.3+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.543.185.7-0.647%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.990.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.488.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.947.088.9-5.129%-
vs Similar (9)43.939.082.9+4.967%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.440.088.4+8.486%-
This opponent (Georgia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeorgiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#34
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A21/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H21/02
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/02
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H28/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A30/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H31/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
42-26
42
26
+16
A02/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A04/09
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A07/09
EuroBasket
72.5Avg total
36.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.674.6-0.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.137.473.5-1.429%-
Last 30 away (16)37.837.875.6-0.144%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.372.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.672.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)34.936.771.6-1.846%-
vs Similar (11)38.538.476.9+0.236%-
vs Weaker (6)38.538.376.8+0.217%-
This opponent (Finland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.6
49.9%
52.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.311.3
33.9%
33.4%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.512.2
73.9%
73.1%12.2
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Georgiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Georgia: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.217.2
47.5%
52.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.4
34.1%
33.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.715.6
75.4%
73.1%15.6
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Finland
WLLWWWWLLL
Georgia
WLWLLWLWWW
#10
League position
#14
-0.3
Net rating
+0.6
110.2
Offensive rating
104.4
110.4
Defensive rating
103.8
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.9%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.8%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.9%
3-point %
34.1%
78.3%
Assist %
66.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 104.4Defence110.4 · 103.8Shooting50.4% · 48.9%3-point %33.9% · 34.1%Ball care16.5% · 18.8%Off. rebounds35.8% · 34.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Finland   ■ Georgia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Finland wins
3
Georgia wins
DateGameScore
24/11/24Georgia v Finland81-64
21/11/24Finland v Georgia83-90
21/02/21Georgia v Finland70-78
28/11/20Finland v Georgia85-91
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/25ASerbia92-86
03/09/25HGermany61-91
01/09/25HLithuania78-81
30/08/25AMontenegro85-65
29/08/25HGreat Britain109-79
27/08/25ASweden93-90
24/02/25ADenmark83-77
21/02/25HSerbia95-105
24/11/24AGeorgia64-81
21/11/24HGeorgia83-90
Georgialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/25AFrance80-70
04/09/25ABosnia & Herzegovina76-84
02/09/25ACyprus93-61
31/08/25HGreece53-94
30/08/25AItaly62-78
28/08/25HSpain83-69
24/02/25ASerbia54-63
21/02/25HDenmark62-60
24/11/24HFinland81-64
21/11/24AFinland90-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game86.382.790.0
Allowed / game82.083.780.3
Point differential+4.3-1.0+9.7
Avg total168.3166.3170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.568.077.8
Allowed / game76.081.573.2
Point differential-1.5-13.5+4.5
Avg total150.5149.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany660100%102.370.5+31.8
2 Turkey770100%90.773.6+17.1
3 Greece76186%86.172.7+13.4
4 Lithuania75271%85.079.9+5.1
5 France64267%88.578.5+10.0
6 Serbia64267%86.776.7+10.0
7 Italy64267%78.869.5+9.3
8 Finland64267%86.382.0+4.3
9 Slovenia64267%92.288.2+4.0
10 Poland74357%79.678.6+1.0
11 Latvia63350%81.878.7+3.2
12 Israel63350%82.780.8+1.8
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina63350%78.880.2-1.3
14 Georgia63350%74.576.0-1.5
15 Spain52340%79.470.8+8.6
16 Belgium52340%72.680.6-8.0
17 Portugal62433%62.275.5-13.3
18 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
19 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
20 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
21 Sweden61517%80.383.8-3.5
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland2829142293
Georgia1525221779
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