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Serbia vs Finland Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-92
24-28 24-16 18-24 20-24
Position#6
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game73.6
vs
Finland 🏆
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game81.2
EuropeEuroBasket· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Serbia v Finland
06 Sep 2025
SERB86
FINL92
23 Feb 2024
SERB77
FINL61
05 Sep 2022
SERB100
FINL70
30 Nov 2020
SERB75
FINL66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Denmark
#27
W
98-51
98
51
+47
104avg 93
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
105-95
105
95
+10
107avg 93
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
63-54
63
54
+9
49avg 93
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
113-84
113
84
+29
116avg 93
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
91-81
91
81
+10
90avg 93
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
98-64
98
64
+34
112avg 93
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
88avg 93
A29/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
82avg 93
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
82-60
82
60
+22
90avg 93
H01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
84avg 93
A03/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
25-11
20-11
28-12
24-26
27-31
28-14
26-24
13-17
14-14
17-10
19-13
29-21
32-27
31-20
21-16
18-15
20-17
32-23
21-26
32-12
24-17
30-15
12-20
23-19
20-14
21-16
16-20
22-18
20-20
25-18
17-24
27-5
18-18
16-20
21-17
18-19
31-27
24-28
17-21
163.7Avg total
90.4Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.873.6160.4+13.280%
Season at home (2)90.062.0152.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)84.781.3166.0+3.367%
Last 10 (10)90.473.3163.7+17.190%
Last 5 (5)86.873.6160.4+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)92.590.5183.0+2.050%
vs Similar (4)97.878.2176.0+19.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.972.3160.2+15.688%
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Denmark
#27
W
89-85
89
85
+4
no box
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
83-90
83
90
-7
74avg 84
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
64-81
64
81
-17
62avg 84
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
L
95-105
95
105
-10
91avg 84
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
83-77
83
77
+6
75avg 84
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
93-90
93
90
+3
92avg 84
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
109-79
109
79
+30
109avg 84
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
85-65
85
65
+20
84avg 84
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 84
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 84
H03/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
19-31
30-14
17-13
25-20
23-23
15-19
20-28
21-17
19-21
13-17
11-26
26-24
31-27
14-28
24-26
24-25
17-22
18-23
24-7
26-21
23-27
23-24
21-18
30-21
28-21
23-14
28-23
23-23
24-14
20-15
18-13
21-20
15-25
12-12
30-24
19-21
17-29
13-19
12-22
168.4Avg total
84.0Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.281.2166.4+4.060%
Season at home (3)82.783.7166.3-1.033%
Season away (2)89.077.5166.5+11.5100%
Last 10 (10)84.084.4168.4-0.450%
Last 5 (5)85.281.2166.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.291.2168.5-14.015%
vs Similar (9)89.181.4170.6+7.767%
vs Weaker (8)90.175.9166.0+14.2100%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +6.9+6.9Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
SerbiaFinland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denmark
#27
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#4
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H15/08
DBB Supercup
Germany
#3
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A16/08
DBB Supercup
Estonia
#18
W
56-29
56
29
+27
H27/08
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A29/08
EuroBasket
Latvia
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A30/08
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H01/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A03/09
EuroBasket
82.7Avg total
46.2Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.035.482.4+11.690%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.035.283.2+12.893%-
Last 30 away (16)46.235.681.8+10.688%-
Last 10 (10)46.236.582.7+9.780%-
Last 5 (5)47.033.880.8+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)50.542.593.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (4)52.039.891.8+12.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.934.180.0+11.892%-
This opponent (Finland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denmark
#27
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H26/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/11
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Serbia
#1
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H21/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#21
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A27/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-42
58
42
+16
H29/08
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A30/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
91.3Avg total
45.4Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.042.586.5+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.542.888.3+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.542.284.7+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)45.445.991.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.489.6+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.746.988.6-5.231%-
vs Similar (9)43.939.082.9+4.967%-
vs Weaker (8)47.839.287.0+8.588%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.222.5
62.2%
52.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.3
39.1%
33.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.016.7
79.5%
73.1%16.7
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.4
51.3%
52.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.8
33.9%
33.4%32.4
🏀 Free throws16.212.0
74.1%
73.1%12.0
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Serbia
LWWWWWWWWW
Finland
LLWWWWLLLW
#6
League position
#10
+23.9
Net rating
-0.3
123.7
Offensive rating
110.8
99.8
Defensive rating
111.1
60.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.1%
3-point %
33.9%
72.6%
Assist %
76.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence123.7 · 110.8Defence99.8 · 111.1Shooting60.8% · 51.1%3-point %39.1% · 33.9%Ball care16.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds30.6% · 35.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Serbia   ■ Finland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Serbia wins
0
Finland wins
DateGameScore
21/02/25Finland v Serbia95-105
23/02/24Serbia v Finland77-61
05/09/22Serbia v Finland100-70
30/11/20Serbia v Finland75-66
20/02/20Finland v Serbia58-80
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/25ATurkey90-95
01/09/25HCzech Republic82-60
30/08/25ALatvia84-80
29/08/25APortugal80-69
27/08/25HEstonia98-64
16/08/25AGermany91-81
15/08/25HCzech Republic113-84
24/02/25HGeorgia63-54
21/02/25AFinland105-95
24/11/24HDenmark98-51
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/25HGermany61-91
01/09/25HLithuania78-81
30/08/25AMontenegro85-65
29/08/25HGreat Britain109-79
27/08/25ASweden93-90
24/02/25ADenmark83-77
21/02/25HSerbia95-105
24/11/24AGeorgia64-81
21/11/24HGeorgia83-90
26/02/24HDenmark89-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Serbia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game86.890.084.7
Allowed / game73.662.081.3
Point differential+13.2+28.0+3.3
Avg total160.4152.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Finland
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game85.282.789.0
Allowed / game81.283.777.5
Point differential+4.0-1.0+11.5
Avg total166.4166.3166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany660100%102.370.5+31.8
2 Turkey660100%90.773.0+17.7
3 Lithuania65183%86.578.7+7.8
4 Greece54180%86.470.8+15.6
5 France54180%92.278.2+14.0
6 Serbia54180%86.873.6+13.2
7 Italy54180%79.266.6+12.6
8 Finland53260%85.281.2+4.0
9 Slovenia53260%93.890.4+3.4
10 Israel53260%83.480.2+3.2
11 Poland53260%80.077.4+2.6
12 Bosnia & Herzegovina53260%80.280.2+0.0
13 Latvia63350%81.878.7+3.2
14 Spain52340%79.470.8+8.6
15 Georgia52340%73.477.2-3.8
16 Belgium52340%72.680.6-8.0
17 Portugal62433%62.275.5-13.3
18 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
19 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
20 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
21 Sweden61517%80.383.8-3.5
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Serbia2424182086
Finland2816242492
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