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Finland vs Hungary Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 85-77
13-18 35-25 26-15 11-19
Position#32
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game76.5
Finland 🏆
vs
Position#38
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game77.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 5· Veikkaus Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hungary winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFinland
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
78-81
78
81
-3
71avg 87
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
61-91
61
91
-30
47avg 87
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
W
92-86
92
86
+6
85avg 87
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 87
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 87
A12/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
89-92
89
92
-3
79avg 87
A14/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#38
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
A28/11
World Cup
France
#6
W
83-76
83
76
+7
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
71-66
71
66
+5
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
15-25
12-12
30-24
19-21
17-29
13-19
12-22
28-24
16-24
24-18
24-20
28-15
29-25
14-22
22-17
26-30
21-31
26-20
13-17
15-24
19-24
22-21
33-23
17-31
22-29
22-15
21-14
20-19
17-26
19-16
27-15
12-24
20-13
16-19
23-10
17-22
17-15
22-15
22-23
164.6Avg total
81.3Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.576.5155.0+2.075%
Season at home (2)80.575.5156.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)76.577.5154.0-1.050%
Last 10 (10)81.383.3164.6-2.050%
Last 5 (5)80.679.6160.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.289.9170.1-9.625%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.985.9175.7+4.057%
vs Weaker (7)88.675.0163.6+13.6100%
This opponent (Hungary) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHungary
Date
Competition
Iceland
#25
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H20/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
71-67
71
67
+4
no box
A23/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
A06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
96-58
96
58
+38
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
H16/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
L
75-82
75
82
-7
no box
A20/08
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
87-85
87
85
+2
no box
A01/12
World Cup
France
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
no box
H27/02
World Cup
France
#6
L
79-98
79
98
-19
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
28-11
24-25
15-21
13-10
19-17
10-23
29-17
21-13
11-19
16-22
16-22
19-18
34-19
17-14
26-7
19-18
21-20
26-5
20-23
15-23
17-22
18-19
25-18
31-17
29-22
15-22
14-21
18-15
27-21
21-19
21-30
15-16
16-22
16-17
24-19
16-25
19-30
24-19
20-24
157.1Avg total
80.5Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.977.6158.5+3.250%
Season at home (4)85.570.0155.5+15.575%
Season away (4)76.285.2161.5-9.025%
Last 10 (10)80.576.6157.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)80.284.2164.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.084.2155.1-13.220%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.376.0157.3+5.371%
vs Weaker (3)86.075.0161.0+11.067%
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
FinlandHungary
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H01/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A06/09
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H10/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#1
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A12/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A14/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#38
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A28/11
World Cup
France
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/12
World Cup
Belgium
#83
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A27/02
World Cup
Belgium
#83
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H01/03
World Cup
86.7Avg total
39.6Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.044.587.5-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.344.488.6-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)41.844.786.5-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)39.647.186.7-7.510%-
Last 5 (5)35.245.480.6-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.946.988.8-5.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.343.486.7-0.157%-
vs Weaker (7)45.140.385.4+4.957%-
This opponent (Hungary) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HungaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland
#25
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H20/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A23/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A06/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H09/08
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/08
World Cup
North Macedonia
#73
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A20/08
World Cup
Finland
#32
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H28/11
World Cup
Belgium
#83
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A01/12
World Cup
France
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H27/02
World Cup
France
#6
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A01/03
World Cup
78.7Avg total
40.8Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.378.2-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.940.078.9-1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)36.940.677.4-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)40.837.978.7+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.683.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.540.876.2-5.335%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.739.382.0+3.471%-
vs Weaker (3)43.339.382.7+4.067%-
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Finlandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Finland: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.3
49.2%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.9
36.5%
-35.7
🏀 Free throws17.713.4
75.7%
-13.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hungarytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hungary: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 12% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.0
52.9%
-40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.3
29.9%
-22.0
🏀 Free throws13.08.2
62.8%
-8.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 03 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Finland
WWWLLLWWLL
Hungary
LLWWLWWLWW
#32
League position
#38
+3.5
Net rating
-10.5
112.5
Offensive rating
100.3
108.9
Defensive rating
110.8
51.8%
Effective FG%
49.7%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
36.5%
3-point %
29.9%
74.8%
Assist %
65.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Finland   ■ Hungary
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Finland wins
1
Hungary wins
DateGameScore
28/11/25Hungary v Finland89-82
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26HBelgium78-75
27/02/26ABelgium71-66
01/12/25HFrance83-76
28/11/25AHungary82-89
14/09/25AGreece89-92
12/09/25AGermany86-98
10/09/25HGeorgia93-79
06/09/25ASerbia92-86
03/09/25HGermany61-91
01/09/25HLithuania78-81
Hungarylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/26AFrance79-98
27/02/26HFrance71-74
01/12/25ABelgium87-85
28/11/25HFinland89-82
20/08/25ANorth Macedonia75-82
16/08/25HRomania86-66
09/08/25HNorth Macedonia96-58
06/08/25ARomania64-76
23/02/25AItaly71-67
20/02/25HIceland87-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game78.580.576.5
Allowed / game76.575.577.5
Point differential+2.0+5.0-1.0
Avg total155.0156.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hungary
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game80.985.576.2
Allowed / game77.670.085.2
Point differential+3.2+15.5-9.0
Avg total158.5155.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
2 Australia550100%94.670.8+23.8
3 Spain550100%87.467.2+20.2
4 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
5 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
6 Turkey550100%87.274.0+13.2
7 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
8 Mali440100%82.074.8+7.2
9 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
10 Jordan54180%80.858.6+22.2
11 Argentina54180%84.265.8+18.4
12 Lebanon54180%87.872.4+15.4
13 Uruguay54180%80.467.8+12.6
14 Guinea54180%77.065.0+12.0
15 Italy54180%87.475.4+12.0
16 Japan54180%84.073.8+10.2
17 Iran54180%75.865.8+10.0
18 South Sudan43175%84.862.8+22.0
19 Angola43175%86.870.5+16.2
20 Ivory Coast43175%89.274.5+14.8
21 Senegal43175%84.871.0+13.8
22 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
23 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
24 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
25 Cameroon43175%74.070.2+3.8
26 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
29 Ukraine96367%80.075.2+4.8
30 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
31 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
32 Romania138562%77.877.5+0.4
33 Greece53260%75.467.4+8.0
34 Lithuania53260%91.884.6+7.2
35 New Zealand53260%86.079.6+6.4
36 Qatar53260%80.874.6+6.2
37 Saudi Arabia53260%77.674.0+3.6
38 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
39 Nigeria53260%74.477.2-2.8
40 Montenegro53260%69.274.0-4.8
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Switzerland158753%73.271.3+1.9
43 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
44 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
45 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
46 Tunisia42250%76.273.5+2.8
47 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
48 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
49 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
50 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
51 Cape Verde42250%79.585.5-6.0
52 D.R. Congo42250%71.078.0-7.0
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 Philippines52340%83.277.0+6.2
55 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
56 Portugal52340%82.878.6+4.2
57 South Korea52340%77.477.8-0.4
58 Georgia52340%78.881.6-2.8
59 China52340%82.487.0-4.6
60 Chinese Taipei52340%77.883.0-5.2
61 Iceland52340%83.290.4-7.2
62 Panama52340%76.885.8-9.0
63 Syria52340%68.879.4-10.6
64 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Egypt41325%77.574.8+2.8
67 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
68 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
71 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Denmark92722%73.685.4-11.9
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Great Britain51420%79.091.0-12.0
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
84 Rwanda4040%67.081.2-14.2
85 Libya4040%64.284.0-19.8
86 Madagascar4040%70.291.8-21.5
87 Iraq5050%69.891.4-21.6
88 Cuba5050%66.088.0-22.0
89 India5050%58.683.8-25.2
90 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
91 Uganda4040%63.890.0-26.2
92 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
93 Guam5050%63.299.6-36.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland1335261185
Hungary1825151977
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