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Hungary vs Iceland Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-78
20-21 28-11 24-25 15-21
Position#35
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.2
Allowed / game81.5
Hungary 🏆
vs
Position#25
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Arena Savaria
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Hungary winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iceland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HungaryLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHungary
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#20
L
64-87
64
87
-23
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
71-106
71
106
-35
no box
H07/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
A11/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
H14/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
64-89
64
89
-25
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Iceland
#25
L
65-70
65
70
-5
60avg 62
A22/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
62-83
62
83
-21
54avg 62
H25/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
66-92
66
92
-26
59avg 62
A22/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
76-81
76
81
-5
74avg 62
H25/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
15-26
19-27
12-12
19-22
20-32
19-27
13-25
18-23
20-29
26-10
14-21
18-21
18-12
31-10
16-26
16-14
15-26
14-23
19-26
19-23
27-14
17-23
24-17
19-16
18-17
14-16
14-21
15-17
22-19
9-28
16-19
20-27
17-16
12-19
17-30
14-21
17-19
23-14
22-27
155.3Avg total
71.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.281.5148.8-14.20%
Season at home (2)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
Season away (2)65.581.0146.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)71.683.7155.3-12.120%
Last 5 (5)71.280.6151.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)69.682.1151.8-12.529%
vs Similar (6)84.276.5160.7+7.783%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iceland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIceland
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
L
57-87
57
87
-30
no box
A24/08
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
W
91-88 OT
91
88
+3
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
72-79
72
79
-7
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
61-80
61
80
-19
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
W
70-65
70
65
+5
69avg 70
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 70
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
71-95
71
95
-24
65avg 70
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
81-74
81
74
+7
80avg 70
A25/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-26
13-25
17-18
12-18
14-19
22-22
27-14
17-25
17-26
21-19
25-15
22-28
18-14
15-21
20-16
19-28
19-22
14-21
15-19
13-18
19-19
24-23
19-18
18-17
16-19
17-18
16-14
21-14
16-16
14-19
17-19
28-22
12-27
13-22
29-16
17-30
22-9
10-20
26-27
23-18
155.2Avg total
74.3Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.277.5151.8-3.250%
Season at home (2)70.580.0150.5-9.550%
Season away (2)78.075.0153.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)74.380.9155.2-6.640%
Last 5 (5)75.477.4152.8-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)69.184.3153.4-15.114%
vs Similar (11)85.586.1171.5-0.645%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.271.6154.8+11.792%
This opponent (Hungary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -2.8-2.8
HungaryIceland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HungaryLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#20
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H06/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H07/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A11/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A23/02
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/02
World Cup
Iceland
#25
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A22/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A22/11
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H25/11
EuroBasket
78.1Avg total
36.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.439.474.9-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.039.675.6-3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)34.839.274.0-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.678.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.875.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)33.939.873.7-5.929%-
vs Similar (6)41.538.079.5+3.583%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Iceland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IcelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A24/08
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H11/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A14/11
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A26/02
World Cup
Hungary
#35
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H22/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#20
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A25/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
L
25-49
25
49
-24
H22/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#9
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A25/11
EuroBasket
73.8Avg total
33.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.377.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.438.475.8-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)38.840.178.9-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)33.140.773.8-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.471.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.742.072.7-11.329%-
vs Similar (11)40.041.381.3-1.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.835.976.7+4.867%-
This opponent (Hungary) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Hungarytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hungary: 66.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.5 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.8
52.1%
50.6%37.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.3%
32.5%20.2
🏀 Free throws13.08.5
65.4%
71.4%8.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Icelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iceland: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.816.0
50.4%
50.6%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.0
30.5%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.817.2
79.3%
71.4%17.2
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 20 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Hungary
LLLLWLWLLL
Iceland
WLLWWLLLWL
#35
League position
#25
-20.6
Net rating
-4.6
95.8
Offensive rating
103.3
116.4
Defensive rating
107.9
47.5%
Effective FG%
48.3%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.38
27.3%
3-point %
30.5%
74.5%
Assist %
69.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 103.3Defence116.4 · 107.9Shooting47.5% · 48.3%3-point %27.3% · 30.5%Ball care18.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds28.5% · 25.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Hungary   ■ Iceland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Hungary wins
1
Iceland wins
DateGameScore
22/02/24Iceland v Hungary70-65
Hungarylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24HTurkey76-81
22/11/24ATurkey66-92
25/02/24HItaly62-83
22/02/24AIceland65-70
26/02/23HBosnia & Herzegovina87-77
23/02/23ALithuania64-89
14/11/22HCzech Republic83-69
11/11/22ABosnia & Herzegovina78-83
07/09/22HGermany71-106
06/09/22HLithuania64-87
Icelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24AItaly81-74
22/11/24HItaly71-95
25/02/24ATurkey75-76
22/02/24HHungary70-65
26/02/23AGeorgia80-77
23/02/23HSpain61-80
14/11/22AUkraine72-79
11/11/22HGeorgia85-88
27/08/22HUkraine91-88 OT
24/08/22ASpain57-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Hungary
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game67.269.065.5
Allowed / game81.582.081.0
Point differential-14.2-13.0-15.5
Avg total148.8151.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iceland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game74.270.578.0
Allowed / game77.580.075.0
Point differential-3.2-9.5+3.0
Avg total151.8150.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia440100%80.856.8+24.0
2 France440100%76.863.5+13.2
3 Latvia440100%75.870.5+5.2
4 Croatia1411379%84.970.5+14.4
5 Lithuania43175%79.567.0+12.5
6 Italy43175%84.873.5+11.2
7 Montenegro43175%82.875.8+7.0
8 Turkey43175%82.276.0+6.2
9 Greece43175%73.869.0+4.8
10 Israel43175%81.276.5+4.8
11 Slovenia43175%83.079.0+4.0
12 Estonia43175%76.873.5+3.2
13 Portugal107370%82.773.0+9.7
14 Bulgaria149564%78.674.4+4.2
15 North Macedonia106460%74.069.6+4.4
16 Poland106460%79.475.9+3.5
17 Slovakia148657%72.970.4+2.6
18 Romania148657%72.072.1-0.1
19 Germany42250%74.865.5+9.2
20 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%87.279.8+7.5
21 Belgium42250%72.068.2+3.8
22 Czech Republic42250%80.076.2+3.8
23 Spain42250%72.070.0+2.0
24 Georgia42250%75.874.5+1.2
25 Denmark189950%74.473.6+0.8
26 Great Britain42250%80.083.2-3.2
27 Iceland42250%74.277.5-3.2
28 Sweden42250%72.079.2-7.2
29 Norway146843%71.176.0-4.9
30 Ireland104640%73.984.4-10.5
31 Austria1661038%75.077.2-2.2
32 Switzerland1661038%67.871.9-4.2
33 Kosovo83538%76.081.2-5.2
34 Netherlands41325%79.284.5-5.2
35 Finland41325%74.283.2-9.0
36 Luxembourg81712%75.685.2-9.6
37 Albania81712%73.285.8-12.5
38 Cyprus161156%63.680.8-17.2
39 Ukraine4040%74.585.0-10.5
40 Hungary4040%67.281.5-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 40 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Hungary2028241587
Iceland2111252178
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