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Finland vs Venezuela Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 90-75
13-17 35-18 19-27 23-13
Position#22
Record10-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game81.8
Finland 🏆
vs
Position#43
Record8-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game71.4
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Finland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezuela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FinlandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#12
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H11/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
90-100
90
100
-10
A13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A11/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
H25/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
88-98
88
98
-10
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
75-101
75
101
-26
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
100-77
100
77
+23
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
25-22
22-22
27-21
30-19
22-24
15-30
23-27
19-22
17-22
16-25
28-25
21-16
18-25
27-15
25-15
13-28
22-18
25-24
23-13
22-17
21-29
19-23
19-18
21-17
19-28
14-25
18-28
15-22
31-14
27-27
15-35
22-19
17-28
16-29
20-25
28-16
26-23
23-17
23-21
177.5Avg total
86.8Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.181.8163.8+0.362%
Season at home (7)81.677.9159.4+3.771%
Season away (9)82.484.8167.2-2.356%
Last 10 (10)86.890.7177.5-3.940%
Last 5 (5)83.292.2175.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.187.9162.0-13.89%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.680.0167.6+7.682%
vs Weaker (8)84.275.6159.9+8.688%
This opponent (Venezuela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico
#7
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A05/09
AmeriCup
Argentina
#2
L
53-76
53
76
-23
A08/09
AmeriCup
Canada
#4
L
56-94
56
94
-38
A11/11
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A13/11
World Cup
Bahamas
#62
W
115-70
115
70
+45
H23/02
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
57-74
57
74
-17
H27/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
85-100
85
100
-15
A26/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H28/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A30/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A31/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
16-13
27-13
18-19
18-21
4-23
10-18
21-14
10-25
21-21
11-24
14-24
20-17
17-18
19-12
12-25
33-21
34-16
25-14
23-19
17-22
13-15
8-16
19-21
33-31
18-25
12-22
22-22
23-24
23-9
20-26
9-22
19-24
4-18
21-17
15-11
19-15
22-21
21-17
15-33
152.2Avg total
72.5Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.471.4147.9+5.050%
Season at home (7)79.068.7147.7+10.357%
Season away (9)74.473.6148.0+0.944%
Last 10 (10)72.579.7152.2-7.220%
Last 5 (5)70.682.2152.8-11.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.879.4143.2-15.711%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.876.2150.0-2.333%
vs Weaker (15)80.965.8146.7+15.187%
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -4.2-4.2
FinlandVenezuela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FinlandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A13/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A11/11
World Cup
Estonia
#55
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A24/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H27/02
World Cup
Australia
#5
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H25/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A27/08
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A31/08
World Cup
85.9Avg total
42.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.338.979.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.680.0+2.750%-
Last 30 away (16)39.439.278.6+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)42.943.085.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.442.687.0+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.743.078.7-7.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.336.478.6+5.973%-
vs Weaker (8)43.936.980.8+7.062%-
This opponent (Venezuela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VenezuelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mexico
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A05/09
AmeriCup
Argentina
#2
L
22-44
22
44
-22
A08/09
AmeriCup
Canada
#4
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A11/11
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/11
World Cup
Bahamas
#62
W
67-37
67
37
+30
H23/02
World Cup
Canada
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H27/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A26/08
World Cup
Cape Verde
#45
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H28/08
World Cup
Georgia
#32
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A30/08
World Cup
Japan
#28
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/08
World Cup
79.1Avg total
38.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.034.972.9+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.331.272.5+10.277%-
Last 30 away (17)35.537.773.2-2.241%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.879.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.879.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.137.667.7-7.411%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.737.281.8+7.583%-
vs Weaker (15)40.132.372.5+7.873%-
This opponent (Finland) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Finland wins
0
Venezuela wins
No previous meetings.
Finlandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/23ACape Verde100-77
29/08/23AGermany75-101
27/08/23AJapan88-98
25/08/23HAustralia72-98
27/02/23HGermany81-87
24/02/23AIsrael97-95 OT
14/11/22HEstonia91-71
11/11/22AGermany80-94
13/09/22ASpain90-100
11/09/22HCroatia94-86
Venezuelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/08/23AJapan77-86
30/08/23AGeorgia59-70
28/08/23HCape Verde75-81
26/08/23ASlovenia85-100
27/02/23HCanada57-74
23/02/23HBahamas115-70
13/11/22ADominican Republic68-72
11/11/22ACanada56-94
08/09/22AArgentina53-76
05/09/22AMexico80-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Finland
World Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW62%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %62%71%56%
Points / game82.181.682.4
Allowed / game81.877.984.8
Point differential+0.3+3.7-2.3
Avg total163.8159.4167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Venezuela
World Cup 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLLLLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%57%44%
Points / game76.479.074.4
Allowed / game71.468.773.6
Point differential+5.0+10.3+0.9
Avg total147.9147.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia2018290%84.572.5+11.9
3 Canada1614288%97.668.9+28.6
4 Germany1614288%82.971.7+11.2
5 Australia1613381%85.162.1+23.0
6 Spain1613381%83.868.3+15.5
7 South Sudan1613381%81.170.4+10.8
8 Lithuania1613381%80.970.2+10.7
9 Puerto Rico1411379%85.481.6+3.8
10 France1612475%80.766.2+14.5
11 Dominican Republic1612475%83.274.6+8.6
12 Italy1511473%86.082.7+3.3
13 New Zealand139469%91.974.4+17.5
14 Angola1611569%73.764.7+9.0
15 Serbia1611569%85.176.9+8.2
16 Slovenia1611569%85.379.2+6.1
17 China1611569%78.973.1+5.9
18 Ivory Coast1611569%75.071.1+3.9
19 Montenegro1913668%77.672.2+5.4
20 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
21 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
22 Brazil149564%86.172.4+13.7
23 Greece149564%78.176.3+1.9
24 Egypt1610662%75.468.1+7.4
25 Lebanon1610662%87.079.8+7.2
26 Finland1610662%82.181.8+0.3
27 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
28 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
29 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
30 Mexico148657%82.482.7-0.4
31 Japan169756%78.377.1+1.2
32 Georgia169756%78.878.5+0.2
33 Jordan158753%78.275.9+2.3
34 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
35 Venezuela168850%76.471.4+5.0
36 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
37 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
38 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
39 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
40 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
41 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
42 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
43 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
44 Cape Verde157847%72.574.4-1.9
45 Philippines146843%78.979.4-0.6
46 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
47 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
48 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
49 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
50 Iran1661038%69.072.6-3.6
51 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Finland1335192390
Venezuela1718271375
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