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Flamengo vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-88
31-22 22-23 28-21 13-22
Position#4
Record18-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#6
Record14-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game77.6
BrazilNBB· Maracanãzinho
Other2025-26
Meetings · Flamengo v Corinthians Paulista
15 Dec 2026
FLAM v CORI
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
FLAM94
CORI88
15 May 2025
FLAM85
CORI82
13 May 2025
FLAM73
CORI90
24 Oct 2024
FLAM70
CORI83
06 Apr 2024
FLAM88
CORI58
19 Jan 2023
FLAM90
CORI64
22 Mar 2022
FLAM76
CORI71
18 Mar 2021
FLAM98
CORI85
28 Mar 2020
FLAM v CORI
upcoming
20 Apr 2019
FLAM91
CORI65
17 Apr 2019
FLAM79
CORI60
03 Nov 2018
FLAM72
CORI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
91-66
91
66
+25
90avg 81
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
46avg 81
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 81
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
72avg 81
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 81
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
87-85
87
85
+2
74avg 81
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
102-80
102
80
+22
102avg 81
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
104-71
104
71
+33
102avg 81
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
88-89
88
89
-1
78avg 81
A08/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 81
A10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
23-18
20-19
24-20
16-14
13-16
11-23
23-22
17-19
20-20
26-20
21-21
20-17
23-20
13-20
26-8
22-21
21-19
18-26
32-14
24-24
26-21
15-24
22-16
22-19
29-19
27-19
24-23
16-21
32-13
27-20
29-17
17-27
27-19
22-31
22-12
21-11
23-20
20-27
24-23
165.4Avg total
88.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.075.4164.5+13.686%
Season at home (8)90.970.6161.5+20.288%
Season away (13)87.978.4166.3+9.585%
Last 10 (10)88.277.2165.4+11.080%
Last 5 (5)93.881.2175.0+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.382.7159.0-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.085.0171.0+1.045%
vs Weaker (16)90.273.9164.1+16.494%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
84-94
84
94
-10
80avg 80
A10/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
79-66
79
66
+13
75avg 80
H12/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
67-57
67
57
+10
72avg 80
H15/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 80
A17/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
80-109
80
109
-29
72avg 80
A21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
81avg 80
A23/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
100-60
100
60
+40
104avg 80
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
88avg 80
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 80
H08/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
95-83
95
83
+12
91avg 80
H10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-23
20-18
17-33
11-20
22-10
20-21
18-15
19-20
16-12
12-10
17-19
22-16
19-24
24-21
21-12
17-23
23-28
25-22
11-29
21-30
23-20
21-19
24-23
13-24
28-15
30-15
26-13
16-17
22-17
23-17
26-23
17-19
29-18
17-23
18-36
10-15
23-17
17-21
19-27
36-18
163.2Avg total
82.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.277.6160.8+5.767%
Season at home (11)83.373.5156.7+9.882%
Season away (10)83.282.1165.3+1.150%
Last 10 (10)82.980.3163.2+2.660%
Last 5 (5)87.679.4167.0+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.586.8168.3-5.317%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.282.1166.3+2.157%
vs Weaker (10)86.871.0157.8+15.8100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +7.1+7.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
FlamengoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A23/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A08/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/01
NBB
80.3Avg total
43.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.079.6+5.570%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.736.779.3+6.075%-
Last 30 away (18)42.437.379.7+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)43.636.780.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.438.886.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.733.367.0+0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.039.781.7+2.355%-
vs Weaker (16)44.635.980.4+8.788%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A10/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H12/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H15/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A17/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/01
NBB
82.1Avg total
45.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.382.6+8.080%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.235.679.8+8.788%-
Last 30 away (14)46.439.385.7+7.171%-
Last 10 (10)45.037.182.1+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.636.483.0+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.742.588.2+3.267%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.239.185.4+7.179%-
vs Weaker (10)43.731.675.3+12.190%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.9
55.6%
52.2%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.112.1
35.5%
32.5%36.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
72.8%13.5
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.1
53.2%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
72.8%11.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WLWWWWWWLW
Corinthians Paulista
WLWWLLWWWL
#4
League position
#6
+13.8
Net rating
+4.7
110.3
Offensive rating
104.6
96.4
Defensive rating
99.9
54.4%
Effective FG%
54.2%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
19.7%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.5%
3-point %
37.1%
59.7%
Assist %
71.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 104.6Defence96.4 · 99.9Shooting54.4% · 54.2%3-point %35.5% · 37.1%Ball care14.7% · 19.7%Off. rebounds29.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Flamengo   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ACearense88-81
08/01/26AUnifacisa88-89
29/12/25HBotafogo104-71
27/12/25AVasco102-80
23/12/25AMinas87-85
21/12/25ACruzeiro93-80
18/12/25HUniao Corinthians82-65
15/12/25HObras Sanitarias84-80
14/12/25ANacional63-75
06/12/25HCaxias do Sul91-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HCruzeiro95-83
08/01/26HMinas74-92
29/12/25HUniao Corinthians88-76
27/12/25HCaxias do Sul100-60
23/12/25APaulistano81-86
21/12/25APinheiros80-109
17/12/25AOsasco81-80
15/12/25HRio Claro67-57
12/12/25HBrasilia79-66
10/12/25ABauru84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW85%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %86%88%85%
Points / game89.090.987.9
Allowed / game75.470.678.4
Point differential+13.6+20.2+9.5
Avg total164.5161.5166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%88%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game83.283.383.2
Allowed / game77.673.582.1
Point differential+5.7+9.8+1.1
Avg total160.8156.7165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%82%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2118386%88.273.6+14.7
2 Flamengo2118386%89.075.4+13.6
3 Pinheiros2117481%87.876.2+11.6
4 Minas2117481%86.778.6+8.1
5 Brasilia2116576%81.272.1+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista2114767%83.277.6+5.7
7 Sao Jose2013765%81.277.5+3.8
8 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
9 Paulistano2011955%80.075.9+4.2
10 Unifacisa22121055%81.680.5+1.2
11 Bauru21111052%76.076.5-0.5
12 Uniao Corinthians20101050%78.680.5-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul21101148%72.577.1-4.7
14 Cruzeiro2061430%78.285.2-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Rio Claro2041620%76.088.1-12.1
17 Cearense2141719%77.688.2-10.6
18 Osasco2141719%75.787.3-11.6
19 Botafogo2031715%70.983.3-12.4
20 Vasco2131814%69.379.9-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo3122281394
Corinthians Paulista2223212288
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