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Florida State vs Georgia Southern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-72
40-29 58-43
Position#167
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game72.8
vs
Position#142
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game84.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Georgia Southern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
101-64
101
64
+37
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
50-44
43-49
42-47
30-47
35-53
28-27
29-33
33-32
43-37
26-30
36-36
58-44
50-32
46-30
55-34
40-37
36-41
43-40
44-33
156.9Avg total
79.8Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)93.072.8165.8+20.275%
Season at home (3)98.771.0169.7+27.7100%
Season away (1)76.078.0154.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)79.877.1156.9+2.740%
Last 5 (5)86.871.4158.2+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.180.8153.9-7.730%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.472.6146.0+0.850%
vs Weaker (10)84.068.0152.0+16.070%
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
61-59
61
59
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
76-75
76
75
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A06/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
89-92
89
92
-3
A05/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H08/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
W
95-94
95
94
+1
A12/11
NCAA
Johnson Smith
#419
W
98-79
98
79
+19
H14/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
37-37
36-41
32-27
29-32
34-37
42-38
33-24
45-40
28-36
43-44
42-44
47-48
32-39
61-51
42-42
53-52
42-41
56-38
37-36
29-32
157.9Avg total
80.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.284.6172.8+3.660%
Season at home (2)95.584.5180.0+11.0100%
Season away (3)83.384.7168.0-1.333%
Last 10 (10)80.077.9157.9+2.160%
Last 5 (5)88.284.6172.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.077.4142.4-12.49%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.476.4157.7+5.079%
vs Weaker (4)82.081.0163.0+1.050%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.3-0.31st half: -0.4-0.42nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
Florida StateGeorgia Southern
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#26
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/11
NCAA
75.9Avg total
37.8Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.433.367.7+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.832.868.6+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)32.833.966.6-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.175.9-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.636.278.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.738.573.2-3.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)30.629.660.2+1.060%-
vs Weaker (10)37.831.869.6+6.070%-
This opponent (Georgia Southern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Georgia SouthernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#110
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#157
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H26/02
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A06/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A05/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H08/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#224
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A12/11
NCAA
Johnson Smith
#419
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H14/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A19/11
NCAA
72.2Avg total
35.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.970.6-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.234.969.1-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)35.136.972.0-1.831%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.372.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.479.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.237.670.8-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.432.667.0+1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)38.041.879.8-3.825%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida State wins
0
Georgia Southern wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HUT Martin87-73
12/11/25AFlorida76-78
08/11/25HAlabama State101-64
05/11/25HAlcorn State108-76
11/03/25HSyracuse62-66
08/03/25HSMU Mustangs76-69
05/03/25AVirginia57-60
02/03/25ADuke65-100
25/02/25HNorth Carolina85-96
22/02/25ALouisville81-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25AGeorgia Tech66-68
14/11/25HJohnson Smith98-79
12/11/25AFlorida Gulf Coast95-94
08/11/25HUNC Asheville93-90
05/11/25AEast Carolina89-92
06/03/25AGeorgia State71-80
05/03/25HSouthern Miss78-64
01/03/25HGeorgia State76-75
26/02/25HAppalachian State61-59
22/02/25AJames Madison73-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game93.098.776.0
Allowed / game72.871.078.0
Point differential+20.2+27.7-2.0
Avg total165.8169.7154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Georgia Southern
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game88.295.583.3
Allowed / game84.684.584.7
Point differential+3.6+11.0-1.3
Avg total172.8180.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke550100%92.460.2+32.2
2 Louisville440100%103.071.0+32.0
3 NC State440100%100.869.8+31.0
4 Syracuse440100%81.553.2+28.2
5 North Carolina550100%88.063.2+24.8
6 Virginia Tech550100%92.272.8+19.4
7 SMU Mustangs550100%92.074.0+18.0
8 Stanford440100%87.570.2+17.2
9 Virginia65183%83.371.7+11.7
10 Clemson54180%84.658.6+26.0
11 Miami (FL)54180%91.269.0+22.2
12 Notre Dame54180%83.667.6+16.0
13 California54180%84.069.6+14.4
14 Georgia Tech54180%71.063.0+8.0
15 Florida State43175%93.072.8+20.2
16 Pittsburgh64267%71.763.8+7.8
17 Wake Forest53260%89.076.6+12.4
18 Boston College63350%66.862.0+4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Alabama65183%75.065.8+9.2
2 Marshall54180%87.081.6+5.4
3 Texas State64267%75.567.0+8.5
4 Appalachian State53260%74.466.8+7.6
5 Georgia Southern53260%88.284.6+3.6
6 Arkansas State53260%81.482.4-1.0
7 Troy74357%92.985.1+7.7
8 Coastal Carolina42250%82.865.0+17.8
9 James Madison63350%76.276.0+0.2
10 Southern Miss52340%80.671.8+8.8
11 Old Dominion52340%73.478.4-5.0
12 Georgia State51420%65.267.8-2.6
13 Louisiana Monroe51420%72.478.8-6.4
14 Louisiana Lafayette51420%62.474.8-12.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State405898
Georgia Southern294372
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