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Florida State vs Alabama State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-64
46-30 55-34
Position#167
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#330
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alabama State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H05/11
NCAA
1H
2H
21-35
51-35
19-36
27-36
31-31
43-35
31-45
50-44
43-49
42-47
30-47
35-53
28-27
29-33
33-32
43-37
26-30
36-36
58-44
50-32
149.0Avg total
72.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)108.076.0184.0+32.0100%
Season at home (1)108.076.0184.0+32.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.676.4149.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)73.674.2147.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.382.7154.0-11.322%
vs Similar (12)74.271.3145.6+2.958%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.168.4150.6+13.767%
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H22/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
L
68-70
68
70
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
94-52
94
52
+42
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A08/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A13/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A16/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H18/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A20/03
NCAA
1H
2H
23-23
37-36
33-31
35-39
37-23
57-29
35-32
31-33
22-24
37-23
41-29
43-50
33-36
31-26
25-26
35-30
34-39
36-29
31-41
32-42
132.9Avg total
68.8Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.864.1132.9+4.780%
Last 5 (5)68.269.6137.8-1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.980.0145.9-14.129%
vs Similar (12)71.170.6141.7+0.567%
vs Weaker (11)74.666.4141.0+8.364%
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +3.7+3.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +3.7+3.7
Florida StateAlabama State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A22/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
NCAA
69.6Avg total
32.0Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.166.5+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.432.667.1+1.859%-
Last 30 away (13)32.233.665.8-1.446%-
Last 10 (10)32.037.669.6-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.071.0-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.839.171.9-6.322%-
vs Similar (12)31.429.360.8+2.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)36.932.068.9+4.967%-
This opponent (Alabama State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alabama StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida A&M
#245
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H22/02
NCAA
Bethune-Cookman
#202
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#328
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H01/03
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#106
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A08/03
NCAA
Texas Southern
#223
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A13/03
NCAA
Grambling St.
#318
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/03
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A16/03
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#236
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H18/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A20/03
NCAA
61.8Avg total
31.4Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.834.267.0-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.633.267.8+1.554%-
Last 30 away (17)31.435.166.5-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)31.430.461.8+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.834.267.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.741.473.1-9.729%-
vs Similar (12)33.032.265.2+0.833%-
vs Weaker (11)33.331.865.1+1.555%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida State wins
0
Alabama State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25HAlcorn State108-76
11/03/25HSyracuse62-66
08/03/25HSMU Mustangs76-69
05/03/25AVirginia57-60
02/03/25ADuke65-100
25/02/25HNorth Carolina85-96
22/02/25ALouisville81-89
20/02/25HMiami (FL)74-66
15/02/25HClemson46-72
13/02/25AWake Forest72-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/25AAuburn63-83
18/03/25HSt. Francis (PA)70-68
16/03/25AJackson State60-56
14/03/25HGrambling St.64-62
13/03/25ATexas Southern84-79
08/03/25AGrambling St.59-47
07/03/25ASouthern Univ.66-65
01/03/25HAlabama A&M Bulldogs94-52
25/02/25HBethune-Cookman68-70
22/02/25HFlorida A&M60-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game108.0108.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+32.0+32.0-
Avg total184.0184.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Alabama State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Clemson110100%88.038.0+50.0
2 NC State110100%114.066.0+48.0
3 Louisville220100%105.057.5+47.5
4 North Carolina110100%94.054.0+40.0
5 Syracuse110100%85.047.0+38.0
6 Virginia110100%87.053.0+34.0
7 Florida State110100%108.076.0+32.0
8 Virginia Tech110100%98.067.0+31.0
9 Miami (FL)220100%93.565.0+28.5
10 Notre Dame110100%89.067.0+22.0
11 California220100%82.063.5+18.5
12 SMU Mustangs220100%82.567.0+15.5
13 Duke110100%75.060.0+15.0
14 Pittsburgh110100%74.059.0+15.0
15 Wake Forest110100%88.074.0+14.0
16 Stanford110100%89.079.0+10.0
17 Georgia Tech110100%56.052.0+4.0
18 Boston College21150%77.065.0+12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prairie View A&M220100%94.550.5+44.0
2 Grambling St.21150%76.574.5+2.0
3 Miss. Valley St.21150%76.083.5-7.5
4 Alabama A&M Bulldogs21150%65.579.0-13.5
5 Alcorn State2020%73.092.0-19.0
6 Bethune-Cookman2020%75.598.0-22.5
7 Southern Univ.2020%79.5104.5-25.0
8 Arkansas-Pine Bluff2020%62.088.5-26.5
9 Florida A&M1010%67.0102.0-35.0
10 Texas Southern2020%56.5101.0-44.5
11 Jackson State2020%62.5109.5-47.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State4655101
Alabama State303464
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