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Florida State vs North Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 25 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-96
43-49 42-47
Position#177
Record16-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#111
Record17-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game76.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Florida State v North Carolina
13 Jan 2027
FLOR v NORT
upcoming
24 Feb 2025
FLOR85
NORT96
27 Jan 2024
FLOR68
NORT75
27 Feb 2023
FLOR66
NORT77
12 Mar 2021
FLOR69
NORT66
16 Jan 2021
FLOR82
NORT75
03 Feb 2020
FLOR65
NORT59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#196
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H18/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A23/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H30/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H20/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-24
54-54
33-37
35-40
25-33
46-45
15-35
51-41
41-36
35-41
29-28
38-32
21-35
51-35
19-36
27-36
31-31
43-35
31-45
50-44
145.5Avg total
71.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.571.4146.9+4.159%
Season at home (15)76.169.2145.3+6.973%
Season away (12)74.774.2148.8+0.542%
Last 10 (10)71.274.3145.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)68.071.4139.4-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)69.081.6150.6-12.614%
vs Similar (15)76.771.6148.3+5.173%
vs Weaker (8)80.165.8145.9+14.475%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
102-96 OT
102
96
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A29/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
97-73
97
73
+24
H20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-35
35-37
31-29
35-38
46-45
43-44
44-42
21-31
25-47
45-40
35-32
32-34
33-49
32-36
42-34
46-48
54-26
43-47
46-34
35-32
153.9Avg total
77.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.976.3157.2+4.661%
Season at home (16)85.575.0160.5+10.575%
Season away (12)74.878.0152.8-3.242%
Last 10 (10)77.276.7153.9+0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.674.4154.0+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.488.2164.6-11.80%
vs Similar (13)79.378.8158.1+0.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.369.1154.4+16.2100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -2.0-2.0
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.8-5.81st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: -2.0-2.0
Florida StateNorth Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia Tech
#196
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H18/01
NCAA
California
#268
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A26/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
15-35
15
35
-20
H30/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A01/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A13/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
19-36
19
36
-17
H15/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A22/02
NCAA
62.2Avg total
28.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.065.3+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.630.764.3+2.969%-
Last 30 away (14)32.933.566.4-0.643%-
Last 10 (10)28.234.062.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)26.235.061.2-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)31.338.669.9-7.314%-
vs Similar (15)33.229.963.1+3.367%-
vs Weaker (8)35.130.265.4+4.975%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stanford
#127
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H18/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/01
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H25/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A15/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H20/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
NCAA
76.5Avg total
39.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.674.8+1.567%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.535.375.8+5.278%-
Last 30 away (12)34.738.673.2-3.950%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.376.5+1.980%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.077.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.645.076.6-13.40%-
vs Similar (13)38.338.576.8-0.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.831.271.9+9.6100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Florida State wins
6
North Carolina wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ALouisville81-89
20/02/25HMiami (FL)74-66
15/02/25HClemson46-72
13/02/25AWake Forest72-70
05/02/25HNotre Dame67-60
01/02/25ABoston College76-77
30/01/25HVirginia Tech66-76
26/01/25AStanford71-78
23/01/25ACalifornia68-77
18/01/25HGeorgia Tech91-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HVirginia81-66
20/02/25HNC State97-73
15/02/25ASyracuse88-82
11/02/25AClemson65-85
08/02/25HPittsburgh67-66
01/02/25ADuke70-87
29/01/25APittsburgh65-73
25/01/25HBoston College102-96 OT
22/01/25AWake Forest66-67
18/01/25HStanford71-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL59%
HomeWLWLW73%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %59%73%42%
Points / game75.576.174.7
Allowed / game71.469.274.2
Point differential+4.1+6.9+0.5
Avg total146.9145.3148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%53%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %4%0%8%
North Carolina
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeLWWWW75%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %61%75%42%
Points / game80.985.574.8
Allowed / game76.375.078.0
Point differential+4.6+10.5-3.2
Avg total157.2160.5152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)60% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2724389%82.061.0+21.0
2 Clemson2722581%77.566.5+11.0
3 Louisville2721678%79.969.4+10.4
4 SMU Mustangs2720774%82.271.7+10.5
5 Wake Forest2719870%70.767.4+3.3
6 Stanford27171063%74.371.4+2.8
7 North Carolina28171161%80.976.3+4.6
8 Pittsburgh27161159%77.171.2+6.0
9 Florida State27161159%75.571.4+4.1
10 Georgia Tech27131448%73.873.3+0.5
11 Virginia27131448%64.566.1-1.6
12 Notre Dame27121544%73.371.9+1.4
13 California27121544%74.175.3-1.2
14 Virginia Tech27121544%69.171.7-2.6
15 Boston College27121544%70.974.7-3.8
16 NC State27111641%70.169.8+0.3
17 Syracuse27111641%74.778.6-3.9
18 Miami (FL)2762122%74.679.7-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State434285
North Carolina494796
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