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Florida State vs CSU Bakersfield Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 89-59
35-24 54-35
Position#167
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#356
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSU Bakersfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
65-100
65
100
-35
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
108-76
108
76
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
101-64
101
64
+37
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
98-72
98
72
+26
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-49
42-47
30-47
35-53
28-27
29-33
33-32
43-37
26-30
36-36
58-44
50-32
46-30
55-34
40-37
36-41
43-40
44-33
40-29
58-43
156.9Avg total
81.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.072.6166.6+21.480%
Season at home (4)98.571.2169.8+27.2100%
Season away (1)76.078.0154.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)81.575.4156.9+6.150%
Last 5 (5)94.072.6166.6+21.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.180.8153.9-7.730%
vs Similar (11)75.672.5148.2+3.155%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.169.0152.1+14.167%
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
W
88-87 OT
88
87
+1
A28/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A01/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H07/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A13/03
NCAA
California
#79
L
60-87
60
87
-27
A04/11
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
83-61
83
61
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
60-82
60
82
-22
A15/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A18/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
32-39
41-45
31-53
33-37
43-27
25-32
41-39
26-37
34-50
44-26
39-35
38-32
36-26
28-38
32-44
32-42
48-51
39-22
47-48
151.6Avg total
74.5Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.875.2149.0-1.350%
Season at home (3)81.063.0144.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)66.787.3154.0-20.70%
Last 10 (10)74.577.1151.6-2.650%
Last 5 (5)76.672.8149.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.180.8146.8-14.78%
vs Similar (9)73.674.8148.3-1.244%
vs Weaker (8)84.564.5149.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -2.9-2.9
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +2.2+2.21st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -2.9-2.9
Florida StateCSU Bakersfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H25/02
NCAA
Duke
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/03
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A05/03
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H08/03
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H11/03
NCAA
Alcorn State
#348
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H05/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A12/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#72
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H21/11
NCAA
75.2Avg total
38.7Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.533.467.8+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.032.668.6+3.465%-
Last 30 away (13)32.534.466.8-1.946%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.575.2+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)45.436.081.4+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.738.573.2-3.840%-
vs Similar (11)31.529.561.0+1.964%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)37.932.370.2+5.667%-
This opponent (CSU Bakersfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSU BakersfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#347
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/03
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H07/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A13/03
NCAA
California
#79
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Whittier
#567
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H06/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A15/11
NCAA
Portland State
#87
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A18/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H22/11
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.435.469.8-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.331.769.0+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)31.639.070.6-7.433%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.469.0+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.068.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)27.939.167.0-11.215%-
vs Similar (9)36.637.173.7-0.656%-
vs Weaker (8)42.627.470.0+15.2100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida State wins
0
CSU Bakersfield wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25HGeorgia Southern98-72
19/11/25HUT Martin87-73
12/11/25AFlorida76-78
08/11/25HAlabama State101-64
05/11/25HAlcorn State108-76
11/03/25HSyracuse62-66
08/03/25HSMU Mustangs76-69
05/03/25AVirginia57-60
02/03/25ADuke65-100
25/02/25HNorth Carolina85-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/25HMiss. Valley St.86-70
18/11/25APortland State80-93
15/11/25AOle Miss60-82
12/11/25HWestern Illinois74-58
06/11/25HWhittier83-61
04/11/25ACalifornia60-87
13/03/25AUC Santa Barbara66-71
07/03/25HHawaii76-64
01/03/25ACal Poly72-98
28/02/25ALong Beach State88-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game94.098.576.0
Allowed / game72.671.278.0
Point differential+21.4+27.2-2.0
Avg total166.6169.8154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSU Bakersfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.881.066.7
Allowed / game75.263.087.3
Point differential-1.3+18.0-20.7
Avg total149.0144.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke770100%93.657.0+36.6
2 Louisville660100%95.565.7+29.8
3 North Carolina660100%87.564.3+23.2
4 SMU Mustangs770100%92.773.0+19.7
5 Virginia Tech550100%92.272.8+19.4
6 Clemson76186%84.364.9+19.4
7 Miami (FL)65183%92.264.3+27.8
8 NC State65183%93.072.3+20.7
9 California65183%85.269.2+16.0
10 Georgia Tech65183%72.863.5+9.3
11 Florida State54180%94.072.6+21.4
12 Stanford54180%83.871.6+12.2
13 Notre Dame75271%78.167.4+10.7
14 Virginia75271%81.972.9+9.0
15 Syracuse64267%76.760.3+16.3
16 Wake Forest64267%85.775.2+10.5
17 Pittsburgh74357%72.166.6+5.6
18 Boston College73443%70.166.4+3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego660100%85.771.0+14.7
2 Hawaii75271%80.766.7+14.0
3 UC Davis75271%78.171.3+6.9
4 UC Santa Barbara64267%82.872.0+10.8
5 CS Northridge53260%82.280.8+1.4
6 UC Riverside74357%75.971.7+4.1
7 UC Irvine63350%89.366.7+22.7
8 CSU Bakersfield63350%73.875.2-1.3
9 Cal Poly73443%82.686.4-3.9
10 CS Fullerton72529%88.990.3-1.4
11 Long Beach State61517%68.773.7-5.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State355489
CSU Bakersfield243559
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