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Florida State vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 68-69
34-31 34-38
Position#167
Record7-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game82.1
vs
Position#190
Record10-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game75.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida State v Wake Forest
17 Jan 2026
FLOR68
WAKE69
09 Jan 2024
FLOR87
WAKE82
05 Feb 2022
FLOR60
WAKE68
13 Feb 2021
FLOR92
WAKE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
73-107
73
107
-34
H03/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A07/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
69-97
69
97
-28
A17/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
96-49
96
49
+47
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
87-63
87
63
+24
H23/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H03/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
69-113
69
113
-44
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-49
43-58
33-41
34-41
47-43
48-60
31-42
38-55
54-17
42-32
43-21
44-42
34-40
32-39
42-42
45-49
31-56
38-57
40-43
46-51
167.3Avg total
79.5Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.182.1165.2+1.141%
Season at home (12)87.480.4167.8+7.058%
Season away (5)72.886.0158.8-13.20%
Last 10 (10)79.587.8167.3-8.320%
Last 5 (5)79.088.0167.0-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.188.0160.1-15.915%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.077.4155.4+0.644%
vs Weaker (8)84.066.6150.6+17.462%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#358
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
68-86
68
86
-18
H03/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
111-73
111
73
+38
H14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H18/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
67-98
67
98
-31
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H08/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-44
41-29
35-37
33-49
34-34
41-32
57-39
54-34
30-34
41-34
37-54
30-44
32-36
25-34
36-32
45-46
38-39
39-42
38-49
46-38
155.7Avg total
77.7Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.875.4157.2+6.459%
Season at home (11)85.374.7160.0+10.573%
Season away (6)75.376.7152.0-1.333%
Last 10 (10)77.778.0155.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)73.282.8156.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.479.9150.3-9.510%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.369.8149.1+9.678%
vs Weaker (2)80.578.0158.5+2.550%
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -7.4-7.42nd half: +1.3+1.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: -7.4-7.42nd half: +1.3+1.3
Florida StateWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#68
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H03/12
NCAA
Houston
#18
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A07/12
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/12
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
54-17
54
17
+37
H20/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#289
W
43-21
43
21
+22
H23/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A31/12
NCAA
Duke
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/01
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
31-56
31
56
-25
H10/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/01
NCAA
77.9Avg total
38.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.837.171.9-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.336.272.5+0.153%-
Last 30 away (11)32.238.770.9-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.477.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.478.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.343.576.8-10.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.833.467.2+0.356%-
vs Weaker (8)38.230.969.1+7.462%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northeastern
#358
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H28/11
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H03/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H18/12
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H21/12
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H08/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A10/01
NCAA
78.0Avg total
38.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.535.971.4-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.834.472.2+3.450%-
Last 30 away (12)32.038.270.2-6.217%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.878.0-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.078.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)31.541.472.9-9.90%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.332.069.3+5.356%-
vs Weaker (2)39.044.083.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Florida State wins
3
Wake Forest wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/26ASyracuse86-94
10/01/26HNC State69-113
03/01/26HDuke87-91
31/12/25ANorth Carolina66-79
23/12/25HJacksonville Dolphins87-63
20/12/25HMiss. Valley St.96-49
17/12/25ADayton69-97
13/12/25HUMass95-103
07/12/25AHouston67-82
03/12/25HGeorgia73-107
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ANorth Carolina84-87
08/01/26HMiami (FL)77-81
03/01/26HVirginia Tech81-78
31/12/25ANC State57-70
21/12/25HVanderbilt67-98
18/12/25HLongwood71-68
14/12/25HQueens Royals111-73
06/12/25AWest Virginia75-66
03/12/25HOklahoma68-86
28/11/25HNortheastern86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17125
Win %41%58%0%
Points / game83.187.472.8
Allowed / game82.180.486.0
Point differential+1.1+7.0-13.2
Avg total165.2167.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%58%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL59%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %59%73%33%
Points / game81.885.375.3
Allowed / game75.474.776.7
Point differential+6.4+10.5-1.3
Avg total157.2160.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1716194%85.865.9+19.9
2 Virginia1916384%82.469.1+13.3
3 Clemson1916384%77.264.5+12.7
4 Miami (FL)1815383%86.269.2+17.0
5 North Carolina1814478%81.969.6+12.4
6 Stanford1814478%77.971.7+6.2
7 California1914574%78.870.5+8.3
8 Virginia Tech1914574%82.374.1+8.3
9 SMU Mustangs1813572%87.376.7+10.6
10 Louisville1712571%87.270.2+17.1
11 NC State1812667%85.871.6+14.2
12 Syracuse1812667%75.767.7+8.1
13 Wake Forest1710759%81.875.4+6.4
14 Georgia Tech1911858%75.673.1+2.5
15 Notre Dame1810856%73.469.3+4.1
16 Pittsburgh178947%74.169.4+4.8
17 Boston College1881044%68.668.5+0.1
18 Florida State1771041%83.182.1+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State343468
Wake Forest313869
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