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Florida vs Virginia Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 27 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 16:30
Postponed
Position#117
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Florida
USA
vs
Virginia
USA
Position#43
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game54.0
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · Florida v Virginia
04 Dec 2024
FLOR87
VIRG69
27 Nov 2020
FLOR v VIRG
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#245
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
51-68
51
68
-17
A08/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#203
W
78-61
78
61
+17
A13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#313
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H16/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#134
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A22/02
NCAA
LSU
#65
W
81-66
81
66
+15
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A29/02
NCAA
Georgia
#245
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A05/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H07/03
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
26-41
0-0
55-34
0-0
27-33
0-0
24-35
0-0
37-34
0-0
41-27
0-0
48-19
0-0
36-47
0-0
33-26
0-0
40-33
0-0
31-31
0-0
28-34
0-0
41-31
0-0
40-35
0-0
17-32
0-0
41-31
0-0
28-30
0-0
40-24
0-0
40-30
0-0
30-41
135.1Avg total
70.3Scored
64.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.364.8135.1+5.560%
Last 5 (5)67.263.8131.0+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)72.671.5144.2+1.138%
vs Weaker (15)74.363.9138.3+10.480%
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#41
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
50-49 OT
50
49
+1
H12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
78-65
78
65
+13
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A27/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H29/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Towson
#341
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-44
0-0
43-36
0-0
22-26
0-0
25-21
0-0
28-28
0-0
36-34
0-0
35-23
0-0
43-42
0-0
31-29
0-0
28-27
0-0
26-11
0-0
30-42
0-0
25-25
0-0
27-25
0-0
24-23
0-0
22-21
0-0
31-24
0-0
26-30
0-0
42-19
0-0
47-35
119.1Avg total
62.4Scored
56.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.054.0143.0+35.0100%
Season at home (1)89.054.0143.0+35.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)62.456.7119.1+5.790%
Last 5 (5)60.051.0111.0+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)58.658.8117.4-0.260%
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.156.8111.9-1.858%
vs Weaker (12)62.050.8112.8+11.292%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
FloridaVirginia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#245
L
26-41
26
41
-15
H06/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#263
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Texas A&M
#203
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/02
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#313
W
48-19
48
19
+29
H16/02
NCAA
Arkansas
#134
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H19/02
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A22/02
NCAA
LSU
#65
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H27/02
NCAA
Tennessee
#213
L
17-32
17
32
-15
A29/02
NCAA
Georgia
#245
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A05/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#13
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H07/03
NCAA
63.5Avg total
32.8Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.031.966.9+3.159%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.531.668.1+4.964%-
Last 30 away (15)33.632.265.8+1.453%-
Last 10 (10)32.830.763.5+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)31.430.862.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)33.033.166.1-0.146%-
vs Weaker (15)35.331.466.7+3.967%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisville
#41
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A08/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H12/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H20/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
26-11
26
11
+15
A27/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H29/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A05/03
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Towson
#341
W
42-19
42
19
+23
H25/11
NCAA
54.6Avg total
29.4Scored
25.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.624.852.4+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (19)28.122.750.8+5.363%-
Last 30 away (11)26.928.455.3-1.545%-
Last 10 (10)29.425.254.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)29.620.450.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.430.457.8-3.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)26.526.152.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker (12)29.021.950.9+7.175%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/20HKentucky70-71
05/03/20AGeorgia68-54
29/02/20ATennessee58-63
27/02/20HLSU81-66
22/02/20AKentucky59-65
19/02/20HArkansas73-59
16/02/20HVanderbilt84-66
13/02/20ATexas A&M78-61
08/02/20AOle Miss51-68
06/02/20HGeorgia81-75
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/20HTowson89-54
07/03/20HLouisville57-54
05/03/20AMiami (FL)46-44
29/02/20HDuke52-50
27/02/20AVirginia Tech56-53
22/02/20APittsburgh59-56
20/02/20HBoston College78-65
16/02/20ANorth Carolina64-62
12/02/20HNotre Dame50-49 OT
08/02/20ALouisville73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Virginia
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game54.054.0-
Point differential+35.0+35.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Arkansas110100%142.062.0+80.0
2 UMKC110100%105.035.0+70.0
3 Army110100%93.032.0+61.0
4 Illinois220100%109.549.0+60.5
5 Wake Forest110100%111.051.0+60.0
6 Tarleton110100%103.048.0+55.0
7 North Texas110100%116.062.0+54.0
8 UAB110100%99.050.0+49.0
9 Kennesaw State110100%87.040.0+47.0
10 Houston110100%89.045.0+44.0
11 Sacramento State110100%101.057.0+44.0
12 Texas Tech110100%101.058.0+43.0
13 Jacksonville110100%99.057.0+42.0
14 Marquette110100%99.057.0+42.0
15 Providence110100%97.056.0+41.0
16 Fresno State110100%87.047.0+40.0
17 New Hampshire110100%93.054.0+39.0
18 Texas State110100%98.059.0+39.0
19 Wofford110100%88.049.0+39.0
20 Brigham Young220100%97.060.0+37.0
21 St. Louis Billikens110100%89.052.0+37.0
22 Chattanooga Mocs110100%99.063.0+36.0
23 Kentucky110100%81.045.0+36.0
24 Texas110100%91.055.0+36.0
25 Louisville110100%79.044.0+35.0
26 Virginia110100%89.054.0+35.0
27 James Madison110100%89.055.0+34.0
28 NC State110100%95.061.0+34.0
29 Furman110100%95.062.0+33.0
30 Georgia Southern110100%97.065.0+32.0
31 Mercer110100%79.048.0+31.0
32 Elon110100%82.052.0+30.0
33 Indiana110100%89.059.0+30.0
34 Iowa110100%97.067.0+30.0
35 Minnesota110100%99.069.0+30.0
36 SMU Mustangs110100%97.067.0+30.0
37 Weber State110100%88.060.0+28.0
38 Missouri110100%91.064.0+27.0
39 Ohio State110100%94.067.0+27.0
40 Uconn110100%102.075.0+27.0
41 VMI110100%90.063.0+27.0
42 Xavier220100%76.049.5+26.5
43 Citadel110100%89.064.0+25.0
44 Alabama110100%81.057.0+24.0
45 North Alabama110100%98.074.0+24.0
46 TCU110100%69.045.0+24.0
47 Abilene Christian110100%70.047.0+23.0
48 Colorado110100%84.061.0+23.0
49 Rutgers110100%86.063.0+23.0
50 Western Carolina110100%98.076.0+22.0
51 Appalachian State110100%81.061.0+20.0
52 North Carolina110100%79.060.0+19.0
53 UTEP110100%100.081.0+19.0
54 CS Northridge110100%97.079.0+18.0
55 Maryland110100%85.067.0+18.0
56 Quinnipiac110100%84.066.0+18.0
57 Gonzaga220100%96.078.5+17.5
58 Ohio220100%84.066.5+17.5
59 Belmont110100%95.078.0+17.0
60 Grand Canyon110100%69.053.0+16.0
61 Michigan State110100%83.067.0+16.0
62 San Diego State110100%73.058.0+15.0
63 Virginia Tech110100%77.062.0+15.0
64 Miami (Ohio)110100%81.067.0+14.0
65 Michigan110100%96.082.0+14.0
66 Pepperdine110100%86.072.0+14.0
67 Eastern Kentucky110100%80.067.0+13.0
68 LSU110100%94.081.0+13.0
69 Montana State110100%91.078.0+13.0
70 Santa Clara110100%62.049.0+13.0
71 Seattle110100%84.072.0+12.0
72 Clemson220100%67.056.0+11.0
73 Texas A&M-CC110100%64.053.0+11.0
74 Drake110100%80.070.0+10.0
75 South Florida110100%94.084.0+10.0
76 Southern W.110100%82.072.0+10.0
77 St. Francis (PA)110100%80.070.0+10.0
78 West Virginia220100%78.568.5+10.0
79 Wisconsin110100%77.067.0+10.0
80 Davidson110100%82.073.0+9.0
81 Florida Gulf Coast110100%65.056.0+9.0
82 St. John's (N.Y.)220100%79.070.0+9.0
83 Villanova220100%79.570.5+9.0
84 Nevada220100%65.557.0+8.5
85 Georgetown110100%70.062.0+8.0
86 Nicholls State110100%101.093.0+8.0
87 Oregon State110100%71.063.0+8.0
88 UMass Lowell110100%76.068.0+8.0
89 USC110100%95.087.0+8.0
90 Mount St. Mary's110100%62.055.0+7.0
91 Navy110100%78.071.0+7.0
92 Oklahoma State110100%75.068.0+7.0
93 Pacific110100%66.060.0+6.0
94 Western Kentucky220100%84.078.0+6.0
95 UALR110100%71.066.0+5.0
96 Butler110100%66.062.0+4.0
97 Florida Intl110100%85.081.0+4.0
98 IPFW110100%67.063.0+4.0
99 Illinois (Chi.)110100%65.061.0+4.0
100 Washington State110100%56.052.0+4.0
101 Austin Peay220100%69.566.0+3.5
102 Georgia State110100%123.0120.0+3.0
103 Loyola Marymnt110100%85.083.0+2.0
104 South Alabama110100%68.066.0+2.0
105 George Mason110100%66.065.0+1.0
106 Northern Kentucky110100%74.073.0+1.0
107 Nebraska21150%84.062.0+22.0
108 Toledo21150%69.557.0+12.5
109 California21150%74.566.0+8.5
110 South Dakota St.21150%77.069.0+8.0
111 Memphis21150%71.065.5+5.5
112 VCU Rams21150%75.573.5+2.0
113 San Francisco21150%73.572.0+1.5
114 Purdue21150%73.572.5+1.0
115 Bradley21150%55.555.0+0.5
116 Liberty21150%74.075.0-1.0
117 Arizona State21150%84.085.5-1.5
118 Boston College21150%68.070.0-2.0
119 Nebraska O.21150%63.065.5-2.5
120 St. Marys (CA)21150%61.068.5-7.5
121 Auburn21150%81.590.5-9.0
122 N. Carolina Central21150%76.087.5-11.5
123 East Tennessee St31233%56.760.0-3.3
124 Ball State1010%73.074.0-1.0
125 Queens Royals1010%65.066.0-1.0
126 St. Peters1010%75.076.0-1.0
127 Florida Atlantic1010%66.068.0-2.0
128 Southern Utah1010%83.085.0-2.0
129 Georgia Tech1010%120.0123.0-3.0
130 Flagler Saints1010%81.085.0-4.0
131 Northern Illinois1010%61.065.0-4.0
132 Northern Iowa2020%75.579.5-4.0
133 SE Louisiana1010%63.067.0-4.0
134 Texas Southern1010%52.056.0-4.0
135 Western Michigan1010%62.066.0-4.0
136 Prairie View A&M1010%66.071.0-5.0
137 Saint Josephs Hawks1010%91.096.0-5.0
138 Rhode Island2020%76.081.5-5.5
139 UC Riverside1010%60.066.0-6.0
140 George Washington1010%71.078.0-7.0
141 Morgan State1010%55.062.0-7.0
142 Southern Univ.1010%78.085.0-7.0
143 UT Arlington1010%68.075.0-7.0
144 Middle Tenn. St.2020%51.058.5-7.5
145 California Baptist1010%87.095.0-8.0
146 UC Davis1010%93.0101.0-8.0
147 UMBC Retrievers1010%62.070.0-8.0
148 Florida A&M1010%56.065.0-9.0
149 High Point1010%73.082.0-9.0
150 Eastern Illinois1010%67.077.0-10.0
151 Florida Col.1010%84.094.0-10.0
152 Kansas State1010%70.080.0-10.0
153 Pittsburgh1010%70.080.0-10.0
154 USC Upstate1010%72.082.0-10.0
155 Mississippi St.2020%57.568.5-11.0
156 Texas A&M-Int1010%53.064.0-11.0
157 Kansas1010%90.0102.0-12.0
158 Portland1010%72.084.0-12.0
159 Idaho State1010%49.062.0-13.0
160 North Florida1010%67.080.0-13.0
161 UNLV1010%78.091.0-13.0
162 Bowling Green1010%82.096.0-14.0
163 North Dakota1010%67.081.0-14.0
164 North Dakota St1010%48.062.0-14.0
165 UC Irvine1010%72.086.0-14.0
166 Radford1010%62.077.0-15.0
167 UCLA1010%58.073.0-15.0
168 Eastern Michigan1010%67.083.0-16.0
169 Grambling St.1010%53.069.0-16.0
170 Howard1010%78.095.0-17.0
171 La Salle1010%65.082.0-17.0
172 Fairleigh Dickinson1010%66.084.0-18.0
173 Old Dominion1010%67.085.0-18.0
174 Westmont Warriors1010%79.097.0-18.0
175 Charleston1010%60.079.0-19.0
176 Texas-Permian Basin1010%81.0100.0-19.0
177 South Carolina St1010%61.081.0-20.0
178 Utah State2020%64.084.0-20.0
179 NC Wilmington1010%76.098.0-22.0
180 Sacred Heart1010%63.086.0-23.0
181 South Dakota Coyotes1010%61.084.0-23.0
182 Towson2020%61.084.0-23.0
183 Houston Christian1010%45.069.0-24.0
184 Jacksonville State1010%57.081.0-24.0
185 Oakwood Ambassadors1010%74.098.0-24.0
186 New Orleans1010%61.086.0-25.0
187 Northwest1010%61.086.0-25.0
188 Piedmont1010%64.089.0-25.0
189 Siu Edwardsville2020%66.591.5-25.0
190 Central Connecticut State1010%75.0102.0-27.0
191 Illinois State1010%67.094.0-27.0
192 Oral Roberts1010%64.091.0-27.0
193 St. Andrews1010%63.090.0-27.0
194 Adams State1010%60.088.0-28.0
195 N.C. Wesleyan1010%52.082.0-30.0
196 Sam Houston St.1010%67.097.0-30.0
197 Tennessee Tech1010%59.089.0-30.0
198 Wisc. Green Bay1010%69.099.0-30.0
199 North Georgia Nighthawks1010%48.079.0-31.0
200 Florida National1010%65.097.0-32.0
201 Tusculum1010%62.095.0-33.0
202 Charleston Southern1010%61.095.0-34.0
203 Limestone College1010%55.089.0-34.0
204 Evansville1010%44.079.0-35.0
205 Lander Bearcats1010%63.099.0-36.0
206 Morehead State1010%45.081.0-36.0
207 UTRGV1010%55.091.0-36.0
208 N. Carolina A&T2020%66.0103.0-37.0
209 Hardin-Baylor1010%59.098.0-39.0
210 Keene St1010%54.093.0-39.0
211 Toccoa Falls1010%49.088.0-39.0
212 Oakland2020%51.090.5-39.5
213 William Jessup1010%47.087.0-40.0
214 Chicago State2020%49.590.5-41.0
215 Fairfield1010%56.097.0-41.0
216 Arkansas-Pine Bluff1010%57.099.0-42.0
217 Coastal Georgia1010%57.099.0-42.0
218 Northwestern St.1010%58.0101.0-43.0
219 Bethesda1010%57.0101.0-44.0
220 Lamar1010%45.089.0-44.0
221 Carver Bible1010%40.087.0-47.0
222 McNeese State1010%55.0102.0-47.0
223 Alcorn State1010%50.099.0-49.0
224 Westminster UT1010%59.0108.0-49.0
225 Dallas Christian1010%48.0103.0-55.0
226 Delaware State1010%51.0111.0-60.0
227 USMMA1010%32.093.0-61.0
228 Miss. Valley St.2020%62.0129.0-67.0
229 Culver-Stockton1010%35.0105.0-70.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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