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Louisville vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 80-73
44-30 36-43
Position#41
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game63.8
Louisville 🏆
USA
vs
Virginia
USA
Position#43
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game55.4
Allowed / game52.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Louisville v Virginia
13 Jan 2026
LOUI70
VIRG79
18 Jan 2025
LOUI81
VIRG67
27 Jan 2024
LOUI52
VIRG69
15 Feb 2023
LOUI58
VIRG61
05 Mar 2022
LOUI61
VIRG71
06 Mar 2021
LOUI58
VIRG68
08 Feb 2020
LOUI80
VIRG73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#12
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
67-64
67
64
+3
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
73-68 OT
73
68
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A30/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
77-57
77
57
+20
A01/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
33-39
43-32
31-26
36-24
31-40
28-31
33-30
42-32
37-41
32-38
36-26
47-26
33-36
45-43
41-26
41-26
36-31
34-46
52-30
142.4Avg total
75.5Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.763.8137.5+9.883%
Season at home (11)73.062.4135.4+10.682%
Season away (7)74.766.1140.9+8.686%
Last 10 (10)75.566.9142.4+8.690%
Last 5 (5)79.465.6145.0+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.570.5152.0+11.0100%
vs Similar (7)65.069.7134.7-4.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)77.160.6137.7+16.5100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#226
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H29/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
65-39
65
39
+26
H04/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A08/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
55-63 OT
55
63
-8
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A19/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
65-63 OT
65
63
+2
A26/01
NCAA
Florida State
#12
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
28-27
30-17
35-22
26-30
27-30
20-24
23-19
24-31
26-23
33-25
30-33
26-28
25-25
28-35
28-21
27-28
34-28
26-14
25-30
112.5Avg total
57.9Scored
54.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)55.452.5107.9+2.965%
Season at home (11)55.749.4105.1+6.473%
Season away (6)54.858.3113.2-3.550%
Last 10 (10)57.954.6112.5+3.360%
Last 5 (5)58.254.8113.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)55.555.0110.5+0.550%
vs Similar (10)55.257.7112.9-2.550%
vs Weaker (7)58.747.3106.0+11.486%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.3+4.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: +2.3+2.3
LouisvilleVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H08/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A11/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A15/01
NCAA
Duke
#19
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H25/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A30/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A01/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H06/02
NCAA
71.7Avg total
38.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)35.730.566.1+5.262%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.430.666.1+4.857%-
Last 30 away (7)36.130.166.3+6.071%-
Last 10 (10)38.033.771.7+4.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.835.875.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.529.070.5+12.5100%-
vs Similar (7)31.930.662.4+1.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.230.768.9+7.573%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Navy
#226
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H29/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
30-17
30
17
+13
H04/01
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
26-30
26
30
-4
A08/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A16/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A19/01
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H21/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A26/01
NCAA
Florida State
#12
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H29/01
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
26-14
26
14
+12
H06/02
NCAA
53.8Avg total
27.7Scored
26.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)26.824.651.4+2.155%-
Last 30 at home (14)27.022.549.5+4.564%-
Last 30 away (6)26.229.555.7-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)27.726.153.8+1.640%-
Last 5 (5)28.026.054.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)25.529.555.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (10)26.525.852.3+0.750%-
vs Weaker (7)27.622.750.3+4.971%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Louisville wins
0
Virginia wins
No previous meetings.
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/20HWake Forest86-76
01/02/20ANC State77-57
30/01/20ABoston College86-69
25/01/20HClemson80-62
23/01/20HGeorgia Tech68-64
18/01/20ADuke79-73
15/01/20APittsburgh73-68 OT
11/01/20ANotre Dame67-64
08/01/20HMiami (FL)74-58
04/01/20HFlorida State65-78
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/20HClemson51-44
29/01/20HFlorida State61-56
26/01/20AWake Forest65-63 OT
21/01/20HNC State51-53
19/01/20AGeorgia Tech63-58
16/01/20AFlorida State50-54
11/01/20HSyracuse55-63 OT
08/01/20ABoston College53-60
04/01/20HVirginia Tech65-39
29/12/19HNavy65-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Louisville
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %83%82%86%
Points / game73.773.074.7
Allowed / game63.862.466.1
Point differential+9.8+10.6+8.6
Avg total137.5135.4140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%64%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %11%0%29%
Virginia
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWLLWW73%
AwayLLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %65%73%50%
Points / game55.455.754.8
Allowed / game52.549.458.3
Point differential+2.9+6.4-3.5
Avg total107.9105.1113.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %12%9%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State1917289%76.165.8+10.3
2 Duke1815383%82.165.9+16.2
3 Louisville1815383%73.763.8+9.8
4 SMU Mustangs1812667%76.669.9+6.7
5 Stanford1711665%68.360.3+8.0
6 Virginia1711665%55.452.5+2.9
7 Pittsburgh1912763%67.563.7+3.7
8 NC State1811761%70.968.5+2.4
9 Notre Dame1710759%77.671.6+6.0
10 Syracuse1810856%75.670.3+5.3
11 Virginia Tech1991047%67.467.4+0.0
12 Clemson1881044%63.864.9-1.1
13 Wake Forest1881044%71.273.0-1.8
14 Georgia Tech2191243%67.266.9+0.3
15 Boston College1981142%62.668.9-6.3
16 Miami (FL)1871139%70.277.4-7.3
17 North Carolina1861233%69.772.3-2.7
18 California1861233%60.869.1-8.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Louisville443680
Virginia304373
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