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FMP Beograd vs Igokea Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 85-81
Projected total 166.0
Scheduled
Position#17
Record2-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game83.1
Vs
66%
34%
■ FBE 66%■ IGO 34%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record3-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game85.6
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9· Belgrade
Domestic2026
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Igokea
20 Nov 2026
FBE v IGO
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
FBE69
IGO85
19 Apr 2025
FBE82
IGO102
04 Feb 2024
FBE78
IGO64
27 Nov 2022
FBE89
IGO77
01 Oct 2021
FBE89
IGO81
06 Mar 2021
FBE82
IGO87
26 Jan 2019
FBE87
IGO78
19 Jan 2018
FBE95
IGO73
10 Oct 2016
FBE76
IGO81
Sections
Game preview & prediction
FMP Beograd host Igokea in the ABA League. Pythia makes FMP Beograd the favourite at 66% and projects 85-81, about 166 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. FMP Beograd are 2-5 this season (79.9 scored, 83.1 allowed a game), form LLLLL; Igokea are 3-4 this season (85.9 scored, 85.6 allowed a game), form WWLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd win
65.8%fair 1.52
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Igokea win
34.2%fair 2.92
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeograd
Date
Competition
Zadar
#9
L
65-76
65
76
-11
54avg 72
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
84-92
84
92
-8
76avg 72
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
L
82-88
82
88
-6
71avg 72
H25/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
81avg 72
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
79-68
79
68
+11
70avg 72
A11/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
47avg 72
H17/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
87-95
87
95
-8
67avg 72
A23/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
87-96
87
96
-9
82avg 72
A31/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
H07/11
ABA League
Cibona
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
A13/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
16-28
13-27
16-8
24-19
26-29
17-20
17-24
24-13
22-29
17-25
19-21
23-18
27-23
18-24
22-24
21-17
24-21
19-10
15-20
22-25
18-17
10-17
16-19
19-32
28-21
16-18
24-24
18-27
27-27
18-20
24-22
14-28
24-16
23-15
12-17
21-17
25-16
17-18
14-29
162.8Avg total
79.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.983.1163.0-3.329%
Season at home (3)76.381.0157.3-4.733%
Season away (4)82.584.8167.2-2.225%
Last 10 (10)79.083.8162.8-4.820%
Last 5 (5)78.085.0163.0-7.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.190.7171.9-9.614%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.679.9160.5+0.641%
vs Weaker (6)85.281.7166.8+3.567%
This opponent (Igokea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IgokeaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIgokea
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
73avg 74
H06/10
Champions League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
83-94
83
94
-11
74avg 74
H10/10
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
72avg 74
A13/10
Champions League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
81-93
81
93
-12
71avg 74
H17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
67avg 74
H24/10
ABA League
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
77-72
77
72
+5
73avg 74
H27/10
Champions League
Cibona
#14
W
89-69
89
69
+20
87avg 74
A30/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
L
67-73
67
73
-6
no box
A07/11
ABA League
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
W
104-100 OT
104
100
+4
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
14-22
21-22
23-20
22-22
18-22
19-30
24-20
21-18
19-20
22-23
17-29
23-23
18-20
17-25
23-25
36-20
14-13
10-24
20-24
20-18
21-23
16-17
20-14
22-19
19-14
26-18
22-18
16-21
23-11
18-22
10-19
24-17
18-22
20-26
27-16
19-17
26-25
17-20
20-20
167.3Avg total
82.8Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.985.6171.4+0.343%
Season at home (5)89.091.4180.4-2.440%
Season away (2)78.071.0149.0+7.050%
Last 10 (10)82.884.5167.3-1.740%
Last 5 (5)85.279.0164.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)81.091.1172.1-10.122%
vs Similar ◀ (8)86.883.5170.2+3.262%
vs Weaker (4)79.080.0159.0-1.050%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1201%1251%1303%1354%1406%1458%15011%15511%16012%16511%1709%1757%1805%1854%1902%1951%2001%2050%210
1%1253%1356%14511%15512%1659%1755%1852%1951%205
Pythia expects about 166 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
57.7%
Under 162.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
45.3%
Under 167.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172.5
Over 172.5
33.4%
Under 172.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

FMP Beograd total 81.5
Over 81.5
64.5%
Under 81.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FMP Beograd total 85.5
Over 85.5
49.1%
Under 85.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FMP Beograd total 89.5
Over 89.5
33.8%
Under 89.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igokea total 78.5
Over 78.5
58.0%
Under 78.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igokea total 82.5
Over 82.5
42.2%
Under 82.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Igokea total 86.5
Over 86.5
27.7%
Under 86.5
72.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-271%-241%-212%-183%-155%-126%-98%-68%-36%+010%+310%+69%+97%+127%+155%+183%+213%+242%+271%+301%+330%+36
0%-271%-213%-156%-98%-310%+39%+97%+153%+212%+271%+33
Margin from FMP Beograd's side (positive = FMP Beograd win). Pythia's expected margin is +4.6; FMP Beograd win by 1+ in 58% of simulations.
Spread FMP Beograd -3
FBE -3
57.4%
IGO +3
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
FBE
No market prices yet.
IGO
No market prices yet.
Spread FMP Beograd 0
FBE 0
65.8%
IGO 0
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
FBE
No market prices yet.
IGO
No market prices yet.
Spread FMP Beograd +3
FBE +3
73.9%
IGO -3
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
FBE
No market prices yet.
IGO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
FMP BeogradIgokea
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/04
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H20/04
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H25/04
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A11/10
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A23/10
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A31/10
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H07/11
ABA League
Cibona
#14
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A13/11
ABA League
87.9Avg total
44.3Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.584.5-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.383.1+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.344.786.0-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)44.343.687.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.288.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.446.188.6-3.729%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.941.682.6-0.741%-
vs Weaker (6)44.540.885.3+3.783%-
This opponent (Igokea) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IgokeaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H06/10
Champions League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H10/10
ABA League
Alba Berlin
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/10
Champions League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H24/10
ABA League
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
Champions League
Cibona
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A30/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A07/11
ABA League
Slavia Prague ERA NBK
#50
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A11/11
Champions League
Buducnost
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H14/11
ABA League
80.9Avg total
41.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.384.2-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.743.884.4-3.131%-
Last 30 away (14)43.440.684.0+2.764%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.580.9+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.643.884.4-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)45.640.586.1+5.175%-
vs Weaker (4)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.3
53.3%
57.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.7
28.6%
33.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
73.2%15.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Igokeatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Igokea: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.821.1
57.3%
57.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.46.8
30.4%
33.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws27.320.1
73.6%
73.2%20.1
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LLLLLWWLLL
Igokea
WWLWWLLLLL
#17
League position
#11
+1.0
Net rating
-1.9
93.5
Offensive rating
96.3
92.5
Defensive rating
98.1
48.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
12.9%
Turnover %
18.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.46
28.6%
3-point %
30.4%
51.1%
Assist %
63.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.5 · 96.3Defence92.5 · 98.1Shooting48.9% · 52.9%3-point %28.6% · 30.4%Ball care12.9% · 18.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Igokea
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
FMP Beograd wins
6
Igokea wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25FMP Beograd v Igokea69-85
03/10/25Igokea v FMP Beograd92-88
19/04/25FMP Beograd v Igokea82-102
21/12/24Igokea v FMP Beograd83-70
04/02/24FMP Beograd v Igokea78-64
06/11/23Igokea v FMP Beograd73-74
11/03/23Igokea v FMP Beograd77-70
27/11/22FMP Beograd v Igokea89-77
03/02/22Igokea v FMP Beograd73-61
01/10/21FMP Beograd v Igokea89-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ACibona77-80
07/11/26HBuducnost73-76
31/10/26ACedevita Olimpija87-96
23/10/26ABorac Mozzart87-95
17/10/26HSiroki Brijeg66-78
11/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto79-68
04/10/26HCrvena zvezda90-89
25/04/26HPerspektiva Ilirija82-88
20/04/26HVienna Basket84-92
14/04/26AZadar65-76
Igokealast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HBuducnost104-100 OT
11/11/26ASlavia Prague ERA NBK89-81
07/11/26AKK Krka Novo mesto67-73
30/10/26ACibona89-69
27/10/26HSlavia Prague ERA NBK77-72
24/10/26HCrvena zvezda80-81
17/10/26HCedevita Olimpija81-93
13/10/26AAlba Berlin79-90
10/10/26HBorac Mozzart83-94
06/10/26HBilbao79-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game79.976.382.5
Allowed / game83.181.084.8
Point differential-3.3-4.7-2.2
Avg total163.0157.3167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Igokea
ABA League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%40%50%
Points / game85.989.078.0
Allowed / game85.691.471.0
Point differential+0.3-2.4+7.0
Avg total171.4180.4149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %14%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai770100%94.080.7+13.3
2 Partizan76186%88.077.0+11.0
3 Crvena zvezda65183%93.283.5+9.7
4 Buducnost75271%89.481.9+7.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija64267%85.580.0+5.5
6 KK Bosna64267%90.587.3+3.2
7 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+0.9
8 Spartak Subotica74357%83.082.3+0.7
9 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea73443%85.985.6+0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%85.786.3-0.6
13 Zadar73443%75.175.9-0.7
14 Cibona73443%86.088.1-2.1
15 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
16 Mega Basket62433%82.392.7-10.3
17 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-3.3
18 Perspektiva Ilirija72529%75.379.6-4.3
19 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-9.6
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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