Forca Lleida vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 97-82

32-21 22-16 30-22 13-23

Position#1

Record2-4

FormLLLWL

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game77.8

Forca Lleida 🏆

Castello

Position#15

Record3-3

FormWLLWW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game84.0

Primera FEBRound 7

Other2023-24

Meetings · Forca Lleida v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca Lleida Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLleida

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

66-73

-7

no box

A25/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

83-86 OT

-3

no box

A27/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

77-71

no box

H01/06

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

83-90

-7

no box

H03/06

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

75-68

63avg 63

H06/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

66-79

-13

53avg 63

A14/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

66-86

-20

52avg 63

H20/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

63-75

-12

49avg 63

A28/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

96-62

+34

94avg 63

H01/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

81-97

-16

69avg 63

A05/11

Primera FEB

18-10

24-25

11-16

13-22

19-21

12-21

27-17

22-21

20-13

24-16

14-11

19-31

22-25

22-22

21-20

18-23

15-17

21-15

19-19

20-17

22-19

17-16

17-28

10-16

13-24

21-18

16-17

16-27

12-20

10-25

25-14

16-16

19-21

20-14

31-21

26-6

20-16

21-23

24-39

16-19

154.3Avg total

75.6Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	74.5	77.8	152.3	-3.3	33%
Season at home (3)	79.0	72.0	151.0	+7.0	67%
Season away (3)	70.0	83.7	153.7	-13.7	0%
Last 10 (10)	75.6	78.7	154.3	-3.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	79.8	154.2	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	84.8	82.5	167.2	+2.2	75%
vs Similar (12)	74.8	81.7	156.5	-6.8	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	78.8	70.4	149.2	+8.4	64%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

82-92

-10

no box

A29/04

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

81-67

+14

no box

H05/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

66-83

-17

no box

A13/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

100-81

100

+19

no box

H19/05

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

80-93

-13

75avg 75

A07/10

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

90-86

83avg 75

H13/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

65-85

-20

52avg 75

A21/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

81-94

-13

70avg 75

H27/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

98-85

+13

92avg 75

A31/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

83-61

+22

80avg 75

H04/11

Primera FEB

21-24

14-14

20-25

27-29

20-17

15-15

27-12

19-23

18-18

16-23

21-23

11-19

31-18

19-19

20-26

30-18

17-21

18-20

26-19

19-33

24-27

20-17

29-25

17-17

13-21

12-21

30-17

10-26

23-25

16-22

26-31

16-16

27-11

26-26

20-26

25-22

21-11

21-21

23-13

18-16

165.3Avg total

82.6Scored

82.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	82.8	84.0	166.8	-1.2	50%
Season at home (3)	84.7	80.3	165.0	+4.3	67%
Season away (3)	81.0	87.7	168.7	-6.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	82.7	165.3	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	82.2	165.6	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	78.2	84.7	162.9	-6.5	50%
vs Similar (9)	76.4	78.9	155.3	-2.4	44%
vs Weaker (7)	80.0	76.4	156.4	+3.6	71%

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Forca LleidaCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.0	38.7	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.9	40.2	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.1	37.1	-3.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	26.8	21.0	47.8	+5.8	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	17.1	20.6	37.8	-3.5	36%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	21.2	40.1	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.9	40.3	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	21.6	39.8	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.3	40.8	+2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.0	22.9	41.9	-3.9	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.1	21.1	40.2	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.1	18.1	36.3	+0.0	43%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	23.0	39.5	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.7	37.9	-3.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.1	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.8	17.8	34.6	-1.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.9	19.9	39.7	+0.0	29%	-

Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

42-35

A25/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

31-42

-11

A27/05

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

44-29

+15

H01/06

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

44-47

-3

H03/06

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

36-32

H06/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

39-35

A14/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

34-42

-8

H20/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

22-45

-23

A28/10

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

39-35

H01/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

41-39

A05/11

Primera FEB

75.3Avg total

37.2Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	39.2	77.4	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.6	38.0	79.6	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.7	40.5	75.1	-5.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.1	75.3	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	39.2	74.2	-4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	43.2	44.0	87.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (12)	38.1	38.1	76.2	+0.0	58%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	36.7	38.9	75.6	-2.1	50%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Valladolid

35-38

-3

A29/04

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

35-32

H05/05

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

34-41

-7

A13/05

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

50-37

+13

H19/05

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

35-41

-6

A07/10

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

44-44

H13/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

25-42

-17

A21/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

39-47

-8

H27/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

53-37

+16

A31/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

42-32

+10

H04/11

Primera FEB

78.3Avg total

39.2Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	40.9	78.4	-3.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	39.5	79.1	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	42.3	77.7	-7.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	39.1	78.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	40.4	81.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.2	43.6	81.9	-5.4	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.9	38.9	74.8	-3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	38.0	38.0	76.0	+0.0	43%	-

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	23.8	46.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (12)	20.2	20.7	40.8	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	20.4	15.2	35.6	+5.2	86%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	17.6	40.1	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	20.9	39.1	-2.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.7	45.9	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	22.4	48.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.4	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.2	19.0	41.2	+3.2	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	21.2	42.7	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	17.1	35.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.8	33.6	+0.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.5	19.2	43.8	+5.2	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	16.3	22.4	38.8	-6.1	17%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.6	16.4	38.0	+5.3	79%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.9	42.2	+2.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	21.6	39.1	-4.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.4	36.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.3	21.0	39.3	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (7)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	29%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	37.1	76.9	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	39.2	80.4	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.3	35.0	73.3	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	40.0	78.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.6	80.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.5	38.5	80.0	+3.0	75%	-
vs Similar (12)	36.5	43.1	79.6	-6.6	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.1	31.6	73.6	+10.5	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.0	80.2	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.8	37.5	82.3	+7.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	42.5	78.2	-6.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	43.6	87.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	41.8	84.6	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.2	40.7	79.9	-1.5	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.6	40.0	80.6	+0.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (7)	42.0	38.4	80.4	+3.6	71%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Forca Lleida wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
05/04/23	Forca Lleida v Castello	77-88
07/12/22	Castello v Forca Lleida	87-79
06/03/22	Forca Lleida v Castello	80-71
29/10/21	Castello v Forca Lleida	95-98 OT
07/02/21	Forca Lleida v Castello	72-74
09/12/20	Castello v Forca Lleida	65-74
31/01/20	Forca Lleida v Castello	87-80
11/10/19	Castello v Forca Lleida	68-64
29/03/19	Forca Lleida v Castello	88-82
07/12/18	Castello v Forca Lleida	70-66

Forca Lleidalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/11/23	A	Leyma Coruna	81-97
01/11/23	H	Melilla	96-62
28/10/23	A	Estela	63-75
20/10/23	H	Tizona Burgos	66-86
14/10/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	66-79
06/10/23	H	Gipuzkoa	75-68
03/06/23	H	Real Valladolid	83-90
01/06/23	H	Real Valladolid	77-71
27/05/23	A	Real Valladolid	83-86 OT
25/05/23	A	Real Valladolid	66-73

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/11/23	H	Oviedo	83-61
31/10/23	A	Fuenlabrada	98-85
27/10/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	81-94
21/10/23	A	Hestia Menorca	65-85
13/10/23	H	Caceres	90-86
07/10/23	A	Ourense	80-93
19/05/23	H	Alicante	100-81
13/05/23	A	Oviedo	66-83
05/05/23	H	Almansa	81-67
29/04/23	A	Real Valladolid	82-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	33%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	67%	0%
Points / game	74.5	79.0	70.0
Allowed / game	77.8	72.0	83.7
Point differential	-3.3	+7.0	-13.7
Avg total	152.3	151.0	153.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Castello

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	50%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	82.8	84.7	81.0
Allowed / game	84.0	80.3	87.7
Point differential	-1.2	+4.3	-6.7
Avg total	166.8	165.0	168.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Estudiantes	7	6	1	86%	85.4	73.1	+12.3
2	San Pablo Burgos	7	6	1	86%	82.4	70.4	+12.0
3	Leyma Coruna	7	5	2	71%	88.4	79.4	+9.0
4	Ourense	7	5	2	71%	76.3	69.3	+7.0
5	Tizona Burgos	7	5	2	71%	89.0	85.0	+4.0
6	Gipuzkoa	7	5	2	71%	78.7	75.9	+2.9
7	Alicante	7	4	3	57%	75.4	74.4	+1.0
8	Real Valladolid	7	4	3	57%	78.3	80.6	-2.3
9	Castello	6	3	3	50%	82.8	84.0	-1.2
10	Caceres	7	3	4	43%	79.0	81.9	-2.9
11	Oviedo	7	3	4	43%	79.3	83.1	-3.9
12	Forca Lleida	6	2	4	33%	74.5	77.8	-3.3
13	Fuenlabrada	7	2	5	29%	73.4	77.4	-4.0
14	Hestia Menorca	7	2	5	29%	65.3	70.6	-5.3
15	Estela	7	2	5	29%	78.7	84.3	-5.6
16	Melilla	7	2	5	29%	73.9	81.4	-7.6
17	Clavijo	7	2	5	29%	64.3	73.7	-9.4
18	Real Betis	7	1	6	14%	75.4	78.9	-3.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Forca Lleida	32	22	30	13	97
Castello	21	16	22	23	82

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Forca Lleida vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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