Forca Lleida vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 05 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 77-88

16-26 25-23 12-20 24-19

Position#6

Record17-9

FormWWLWL

Points / game79.6

Allowed / game77.0

Forca Lleida

Castello 🏆

Position#9

Record12-14

FormWWWLW

Points / game74.2

Allowed / game76.8

Primera FEBRound 27

Other2022-23

Meetings · Forca Lleida v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca Lleida Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#13

84-63

+21

H20/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

75-94

-19

A29/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

82-91

-9

H01/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

74-62

+12

A05/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

85-77

H17/02

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

70-67

A05/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

76-65

+11

H10/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

76-79

-3

A17/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

88-80

H24/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

59-68

-9

A01/04

Primera FEB

20-21

20-12

25-12

19-18

18-22

15-20

25-28

17-24

15-27

17-21

28-16

22-27

22-17

11-23

20-9

21-13

19-13

28-21

23-19

15-24

9-22

11-21

21-15

29-9

15-25

24-10

18-16

19-14

12-22

20-18

21-19

23-20

29-14

18-16

18-23

23-27

12-20

22-12

17-18

8-18

151.5Avg total

76.9Scored

74.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	79.6	77.0	156.6	+2.5	65%
Season at home (13)	86.4	76.0	162.4	+10.4	92%
Season away (13)	72.8	78.1	150.8	-5.3	38%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	74.6	151.5	+2.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	71.8	145.6	+2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	77.4	82.2	159.6	-4.8	40%
vs Similar (8)	75.4	78.9	154.2	-3.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	80.6	74.9	155.5	+5.7	71%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#10

70-74

-4

A21/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

72-84

-12

A28/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

96-90 OT

H01/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

76-64

+12

H05/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

64-84

-20

A18/02

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

77-68

H05/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

61-58

A10/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

85-80

H17/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

48-98

-50

A25/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

80-70

+10

H31/03

Primera FEB

15-18

26-13

14-17

15-26

18-31

19-12

15-20

20-21

17-25

15-19

22-18

31-23

17-25

21-18

16-11

22-10

14-29

14-21

14-20

22-14

17-21

14-17

29-13

17-17

22-17

9-15

20-14

10-12

18-30

15-21

27-14

25-15

14-28

11-30

9-15

14-25

23-13

18-23

15-14

24-20

149.9Avg total

72.9Scored

77.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	74.2	76.8	151.0	-2.7	46%
Season at home (13)	78.9	75.7	154.6	+3.2	69%
Season away (13)	69.5	78.0	147.5	-8.5	23%
Last 10 (10)	72.9	77.0	149.9	-4.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	74.8	145.0	-4.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	72.8	78.2	151.0	-5.5	38%
vs Similar (9)	74.0	78.0	152.0	-4.0	22%
vs Weaker (8)	78.6	75.6	154.2	+3.0	62%

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Forca LleidaCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.8	39.5	-2.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.2	21.9	38.1	-5.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	20.3	37.4	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	20.6	36.0	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.8	41%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.2	39.3	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	21.2	39.3	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	21.3	39.3	-3.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	23.7	41.2	-6.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.8	40.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	17.7	21.8	39.5	-4.2	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.7	22.8	39.4	-6.1	11%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.1	18.5	38.6	+1.6	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.3	36.4	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	15.4	34.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.8	23.6	41.4	-5.8	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.8	41%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	18.9	35.1	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	21.2	34.6	-7.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	46%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	25%	-

Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#13

40-33

H20/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

33-42

-9

A29/01

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

32-48

-16

H01/02

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

33-40

-7

A05/02

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

47-34

+13

H17/02

Primera FEB

Almansa

#12

20-43

-23

A05/03

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

39-35

H10/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

32-40

-8

A17/03

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

47-30

+17

H24/03

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

34-32

A01/04

Primera FEB

73.4Avg total

35.7Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	40.4	77.8	-3.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.3	41.2	74.5	-7.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	37.7	73.4	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	36.0	70.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	43.8	79.4	-8.2	20%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.8	39.8	75.5	-4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	38.7	39.7	78.4	-1.0	47%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#10

41-31

+10

A21/01

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

37-43

-6

A28/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-44

-12

H01/02

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

38-43

-5

H05/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

28-50

-22

A18/02

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

31-38

-7

H05/03

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

31-32

-1

A10/03

Primera FEB

Palencia

33-51

-18

H17/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

25-58

-33

A25/03

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

41-36

H31/03

Primera FEB

76.3Avg total

33.7Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	40.7	77.4	-4.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.7	41.0	78.7	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	40.4	76.2	-4.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	42.6	76.3	-8.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	43.0	75.2	-10.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	37.1	41.6	78.7	-4.5	31%	-
vs Similar (9)	34.6	40.9	75.4	-6.3	11%	-
vs Weaker (8)	38.6	39.0	77.6	-0.4	50%	-

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	16.8	37.6	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	15.7	36.3	+4.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.5	39.1	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.2	17.0	38.2	+4.2	80%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.6	16.1	36.7	+4.6	82%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	18.3	35.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.0	35.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.1	19.6	35.7	-3.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	15.6	33.7	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	14.0	34.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	14.8	18.8	33.5	-4.0	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	18.1	37.8	+1.5	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.8	39.9	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.6	38.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.4	20.2	37.6	-2.9	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.2	19.1	40.4	+2.1	59%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	17.3	39.1	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.3	36.6	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.3	38.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.1	17.5	37.5	+2.6	62%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	17.7	37.3	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	38%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	36.6	77.5	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	35.7	78.2	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.4	37.5	76.9	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	36.9	78.1	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	35.8	75.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	41.8	38.4	80.2	+3.4	60%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.5	38.4	76.9	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	41.9	35.2	77.1	+6.7	76%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	36.1	73.2	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.8	34.3	74.1	+5.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	37.9	72.3	-3.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	33.9	72.0	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	31.8	69.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	34.8	36.2	71.1	-1.4	23%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.9	35.4	73.3	+2.4	89%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.0	36.6	76.6	+3.4	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Forca Lleida wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/22	Castello v Forca Lleida	87-79
06/03/22	Forca Lleida v Castello	80-71
29/10/21	Castello v Forca Lleida	95-98 OT
07/02/21	Forca Lleida v Castello	72-74
09/12/20	Castello v Forca Lleida	65-74
31/01/20	Forca Lleida v Castello	87-80
11/10/19	Castello v Forca Lleida	68-64
29/03/19	Forca Lleida v Castello	88-82
07/12/18	Castello v Forca Lleida	70-66
13/04/18	Castello v Forca Lleida	79-75

Forca Lleidalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/04/23	A	Gipuzkoa	59-68
24/03/23	H	MoraBanc Andorra	88-80
17/03/23	A	Alicante	76-79
10/03/23	H	Oviedo	76-65
05/03/23	A	Almansa	70-67
17/02/23	H	Real Valladolid	85-77
05/02/23	A	Melilla	74-62
01/02/23	H	Leyma Coruna	82-91
29/01/23	A	Estudiantes	75-94
20/01/23	H	Ourense	84-63

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/03/23	H	Iraurgi SB	80-70
25/03/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	48-98
17/03/23	H	Palencia	85-80
10/03/23	A	Caceres	61-58
05/03/23	H	Albacete	77-68
18/02/23	A	Estela	64-84
05/02/23	H	Ourense	76-64
01/02/23	H	Gipuzkoa	96-90 OT
28/01/23	A	MoraBanc Andorra	72-84
21/01/23	A	Alicante	70-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	65%
Home	WLWWW	92%
Away	LWWLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	65%	92%	38%
Points / game	79.6	86.4	72.8
Allowed / game	77.0	76.0	78.1
Point differential	+2.5	+10.4	-5.3
Avg total	156.6	162.4	150.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	46%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

Castello

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	46%
Home	WWWWW	69%
Away	LLLWL	23%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	13	13
Win %	46%	69%	23%
Points / game	74.2	78.9	69.5
Allowed / game	76.8	75.7	78.0
Point differential	-2.7	+3.2	-8.5
Avg total	151.0	154.6	147.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	15%	15%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	57% (7)	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	MoraBanc Andorra	26	23	3	88%	83.3	69.4	+14.0
2	Palencia	26	22	4	85%	82.6	72.1	+10.5
3	Leyma Coruna	26	18	8	69%	84.1	76.5	+7.7
4	Estudiantes	27	18	9	67%	77.3	72.5	+4.8
5	Forca Lleida	26	17	9	65%	79.6	77.0	+2.5
6	Alicante	27	17	10	63%	76.3	74.9	+1.4
7	San Pablo Burgos	26	16	10	62%	81.8	74.1	+7.7
8	Real Valladolid	26	16	10	62%	75.2	72.8	+2.5
9	Gipuzkoa	27	16	11	59%	77.1	72.9	+4.2
10	Castello	26	12	14	46%	74.2	76.8	-2.7
11	Estela	26	12	14	46%	73.5	78.1	-4.6
12	Caceres	26	9	17	35%	74.2	78.8	-4.6
13	Ourense	26	9	17	35%	73.6	79.0	-5.4
14	Almansa	26	8	18	31%	72.5	79.3	-6.9
15	Oviedo	26	7	19	27%	68.4	77.5	-9.0
16	Melilla	27	6	21	22%	74.5	80.7	-6.2
17	Albacete	26	5	21	19%	70.8	77.5	-6.7
18	Iraurgi SB	26	5	21	19%	71.8	81.3	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Forca Lleida	16	25	12	24	77
Castello	26	23	20	19	88

← all games of the day

Forca Lleida vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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