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Forli vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-69
23-12 24-13 19-21 20-23
Position#2
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game68.0
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#21
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game74.3
ItalySerie A2Round 4· PalaGalassi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Forli v Orzinuovi
10 Nov 2024
FORL87
ORZI82
15 Oct 2023
FORL86
ORZI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#23
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
H02/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
83-58
83
58
+25
no box
H04/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
83-65
83
65
+18
no box
A07/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
no box
H14/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
64-69
64
69
-5
no box
H16/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
A19/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
78-61
78
61
+17
73avg 76
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
99-70
99
70
+29
103avg 76
H08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
51avg 76
A11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-19
16-29
29-11
15-19
22-16
23-19
12-16
14-16
27-12
21-14
21-16
25-21
20-11
11-23
27-10
24-12
20-30
11-18
17-17
12-17
23-14
12-24
17-14
9-23
18-29
23-23
24-14
29-16
17-20
10-11
22-14
25-12
20-29
32-11
22-18
20-18
16-20
7-19
20-16
148.5Avg total
77.7Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.068.0148.0+12.067%
Season at home (1)99.070.0169.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)70.567.0137.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)77.770.8148.5+6.960%
Last 5 (5)75.672.4148.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)71.270.8142.0+0.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.968.2148.1+11.794%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#25
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H31/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
66-90
66
90
-24
no box
H03/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
47-104
47
104
-57
no box
A10/04
Serie A2
Verona
#3
L
67-93
67
93
-26
no box
H20/04
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#21
L
76-109
76
109
-33
no box
A24/04
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#26
L
69-91
69
91
-22
no box
A27/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
L
70-89
70
89
-19
no box
H01/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
75-80
75
80
-5
69avg 66
A04/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
68-73
68
73
-5
59avg 66
H08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
70avg 66
H11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
20-22
23-20
20-16
20-31
12-19
19-31
15-9
10-28
17-32
13-21
7-23
16-24
16-27
22-21
13-21
26-30
15-33
23-26
12-20
22-30
13-17
19-27
15-17
22-32
23-19
9-23
16-15
14-14
22-21
21-25
18-20
20-14
10-22
17-21
21-16
24-18
18-20
12-19
20-13
156.8Avg total
69.3Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.374.3146.7-2.033%
Season at home (2)71.071.5142.5-0.550%
Season away (1)75.080.0155.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)69.387.5156.8-18.220%
Last 5 (5)71.280.6151.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)69.983.4153.4-13.510%
vs Similar (1)68.073.0141.0-5.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -6.6-6.6Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +6.5+6.5Q4: -1.3-1.3
ForliOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chiusi
#23
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H04/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A07/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A19/06
Serie A2
Cento
#12
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A01/10
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A11/10
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
40.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.036.474.4+1.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.674.3+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)37.337.174.5+0.260%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.177.1+2.980%-
Last 5 (5)37.839.677.4-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (12)35.536.872.3-1.358%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.736.175.8+3.772%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#25
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H03/04
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
27-60
27
60
-33
A10/04
Serie A2
Verona
#3
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H20/04
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#21
L
41-63
41
63
-22
A24/04
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#26
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A27/04
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H01/05
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A04/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H08/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H11/10
Serie A2
82.9Avg total
35.8Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.742.677.3-8.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.340.476.7-4.140%-
Last 30 away (15)33.144.977.9-11.813%-
Last 10 (10)35.847.182.9-11.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.479.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)34.842.977.7-8.028%-
vs Similar (1)30.036.066.0-6.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.0
48.6%
50.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.5
30.6%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws16.012.0
75.0%
74.2%12.0
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.014.3
49.4%
50.3%28.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.0
35.3%
34.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
74.2%13.0
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LWWLLLWWWW
Orzinuovi
WLLLLLLLLW
#2
League position
#21
+2.2
Net rating
-3.6
100.8
Offensive rating
97.3
98.6
Defensive rating
100.9
47.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
12.6%
Turnover %
21.0%
20.5%
Off. rebound %
16.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.6%
3-point %
35.3%
55.1%
Assist %
61.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 97.3Defence98.6 · 100.9Shooting47.5% · 51.2%3-point %30.6% · 35.3%Ball care12.6% · 21.0%Off. rebounds20.5% · 16.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Forli   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Forli wins
0
Orzinuovi wins
No previous meetings.
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23AFortitudo Bologna63-73
08/10/23HNardo99-70
01/10/23ACento78-61
19/06/23ACremona74-89
16/06/23HCremona64-69
14/06/23HCremona72-77
07/06/23AUdine83-65
04/06/23HUdine83-58
02/06/23HUdine72-70
24/05/23AChiusi89-76
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/23HRimini74-70
08/10/23HCividale68-73
04/10/23ATrieste75-80
01/05/22HScafati70-89
27/04/22AStella Azzurra69-91
24/04/22APallacanestro Nardo76-109
20/04/22HVerona67-93
10/04/22AUdine47-104
03/04/22HPistoia66-90
31/03/22HCapo d'Orlando81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game80.099.070.5
Allowed / game68.070.067.0
Point differential+12.0+29.0+3.5
Avg total148.0169.0137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game72.371.075.0
Allowed / game74.371.580.0
Point differential-2.0-0.5-5.0
Avg total146.7142.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna440100%81.066.8+14.2
2 Trapani440100%88.580.8+7.8
3 Basket Torino43175%83.073.8+9.2
4 Sebastiani Rieti43175%86.077.5+8.5
5 Assigeco Piacenza43175%85.278.8+6.5
6 Trieste43175%85.279.0+6.2
7 Udine43175%80.574.5+6.0
8 Forli32167%80.068.0+12.0
9 Cantu32167%86.782.3+4.3
10 Luiss Roma32167%78.383.3-5.0
11 JuVi Cremona42250%88.584.5+4.0
12 Verona42250%74.272.0+2.2
13 Cividale42250%73.271.2+2.0
14 Urania Milano42250%85.583.8+1.8
15 Cento42250%77.282.5-5.2
16 Treviglio42250%82.588.2-5.8
17 Orzinuovi31233%72.374.3-2.0
18 Monferrato41325%79.080.5-1.5
19 Agrigento41325%71.574.2-2.8
20 Rimini41325%73.878.2-4.5
21 Vigevano41325%78.086.5-8.5
22 Latina4040%75.087.2-12.2
23 Nardo4040%77.594.0-16.5
24 Chiusi4040%58.577.0-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2324192086
Orzinuovi1213212369
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