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Fortitudo Bologna vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 49-69
14-19 12-17 8-16 15-17
Position#16
Record17-21
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record26-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game72.2
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Semi-finals
Other2022-23
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Cremona
04 Jun 2023
FBO49
CRE69
02 Jun 2023
FBO93
CRE92
03 Apr 2022
FBO85
CRE83
20 Dec 2020
FBO85
CRE71
01 Sep 2020
FBO96
CRE77
11 Mar 2020
FBO v CRE
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
80-86
80
86
-6
A23/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
L
76-84 OT
76
84
-8
H30/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A07/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A14/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
A19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H21/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H24/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A28/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A30/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
H02/06
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
28-16
12-21
21-30
25-16
19-13
13-28
15-15
17-24
25-19
19-27
18-17
19-24
16-18
27-27
11-22
30-19
19-22
28-18
11-15
19-17
26-15
22-14
23-25
20-24
20-25
20-8
9-11
23-20
19-21
15-21
17-21
16-18
20-27
23-20
16-22
17-17
19-26
26-14
18-23
162.0Avg total
79.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)77.877.6155.4+0.245%
Season at home (18)80.873.9154.7+6.972%
Season away (20)75.281.0156.1-5.820%
Last 10 (10)79.782.3162.0-2.640%
Last 5 (5)80.280.2160.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)76.181.9158.0-5.743%
vs Similar (19)77.578.2155.6-0.737%
vs Weaker (4)85.078.5163.5+6.550%
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A16/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H23/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
L
68-73
68
73
-5
A30/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H07/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H13/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H28/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H30/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
A02/06
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
23-18
18-17
22-25
22-21
23-20
22-27
15-20
16-21
21-16
15-19
16-17
10-20
14-19
24-15
19-22
22-14
15-21
20-7
26-25
21-25
16-13
27-14
15-11
20-23
14-15
23-21
27-25
20-23
21-19
21-15
21-17
18-16
27-20
20-23
22-16
17-17
26-19
14-26
23-18
159.9Avg total
82.0Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)79.872.2151.9+7.672%
Season at home (19)82.972.9155.8+10.179%
Season away (17)76.271.4147.5+4.865%
Last 10 (10)82.077.9159.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)87.679.2166.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)72.174.6146.7-2.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)82.071.3153.3+10.783%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -4.2-4.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
Fortitudo BolognaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#15
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H30/04
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A14/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/05
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H24/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/05
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H02/06
Serie A2
81.6Avg total
41.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.937.676.6+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)39.841.581.3-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.081.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.081.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.638.375.9-0.757%-
vs Similar (19)39.539.478.9+0.242%-
vs Weaker (4)42.043.885.8-1.825%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A30/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H07/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H13/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H30/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A02/06
Serie A2
76.4Avg total
38.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.835.074.8+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.435.877.2+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)38.134.072.1+4.164%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.976.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.078.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)36.136.973.0-0.743%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.034.475.3+6.674%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.4
50.4%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.6
34.4%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.016.6
75.5%
73.9%16.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.3
45.9%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.811.2
75.7%
73.9%11.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
WLLWWWLLLL
Cremona
LWWWWWLLLW
#16
League position
#3
-3.8
Net rating
-14.2
110.4
Offensive rating
98.5
114.2
Defensive rating
112.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
47.7%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.4%
3-point %
33.6%
59.6%
Assist %
54.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 98.5Defence114.2 · 112.7Shooting50.9% · 47.7%3-point %34.4% · 33.6%Ball care14.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds27.5% · 25.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fortitudo Bologna wins
5
Cremona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/23HCremona93-92 OT
30/05/23ACremona75-87
28/05/23ACremona74-83
24/05/23HCento69-68
21/05/23HCento90-71
19/05/23ACento88-74
14/05/23ACento73-91
07/05/23AUrania Milano79-87
30/04/23HAssigeco Piacenza76-84 OT
23/04/23ABasket Torino80-86
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/06/23AFortitudo Bologna92-93 OT
30/05/23HFortitudo Bologna87-75
28/05/23HFortitudo Bologna83-74
19/05/23AAgrigento97-91 OT
15/05/23HAgrigento79-63
13/05/23HAgrigento83-67
07/05/23HCento67-76
30/04/23APistoia68-73
23/04/23HForli82-88
16/04/23ACento82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeWLWWW72%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381820
Win %45%72%20%
Points / game77.880.875.2
Allowed / game77.673.981.0
Point differential+0.2+6.9-5.8
Avg total155.4154.7156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)57% (7)33% (6)
Overtime %11%17%5%
Cremona
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL72%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayWWLWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %72%79%65%
Points / game79.882.976.2
Allowed / game72.272.971.4
Point differential+7.6+10.1+4.8
Avg total151.9155.8147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)60% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %14%11%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Forli3630683%76.269.3+6.9
3 Cantu38281074%80.271.4+8.8
4 Cremona36261072%79.872.2+7.6
5 Basket Torino38271171%83.180.2+3.0
6 Treviglio38261268%79.172.6+6.5
7 Pistoia40271368%76.270.2+6.0
8 Udine38231561%77.775.5+2.2
9 Cento32171553%77.174.5+2.6
10 Urania Milano34181653%79.081.3-2.3
11 Agrigento33171652%80.879.6+1.2
12 Cividale37181949%73.073.1-0.1
13 Fortitudo Bologna38172145%77.877.6+0.2
14 Rimini36162044%74.776.7-2.0
15 Pallacanestro Nardo36162044%82.084.0-2.0
16 Assigeco Piacenza34151944%79.979.3+0.6
17 Mantova36152142%75.377.1-1.8
18 Stella Azzurra32131941%77.480.4-2.9
19 San Severo37152241%72.777.0-4.4
20 Latina30121840%74.777.1-2.4
21 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
22 Chiusi34132138%72.474.6-2.1
23 Monferrato35132237%76.578.3-1.9
24 Trapani30111937%69.476.1-6.7
25 Chieti Basket37132435%72.575.9-3.4
26 JuVi Cremona32112134%73.878.0-4.2
27 Ravenna34112332%73.979.1-5.2
28 NPC Rieti3292328%68.274.6-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna141281549
Cremona1917161769
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