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Cremona vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-73
24-19 24-19 19-22 13-13
Position#6
Record2-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.0
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game77.7
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Cremona v Fortitudo Bologna
30 May 2023
CRE87
FBO75
28 May 2023
CRE83
FBO74
03 Oct 2021
CRE94
FBO78
14 Apr 2021
CRE82
FBO74
13 Sep 2020
CRE63
FBO73
10 Nov 2019
CRE80
FBO73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
W
94-88
94
88
+6
93avg 106
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
80-65
80
65
+15
76avg 106
H05/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
81-82
81
82
-1
65avg 106
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
63avg 106
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
89-87
89
87
+2
76avg 106
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
94-97
94
97
-3
76avg 106
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
71-85
71
85
-14
54avg 106
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
82-78
82
78
+4
77avg 106
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
55-67
55
67
-12
43avg 106
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
54-78
54
78
-24
35avg 106
H03/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
23-16
17-20
31-20
18-15
19-21
23-22
20-7
27-31
16-24
16-13
22-14
25-24
21-20
16-19
20-12
33-24
18-24
19-19
19-20
26-23
23-27
23-21
22-26
17-23
17-17
22-30
15-15
16-24
24-13
23-17
19-24
15-21
17-16
13-18
10-12
14-29
19-20
14-9
7-20
158.4Avg total
78.2Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)74.282.0156.2-7.833%
Season at home (3)75.081.0156.0-6.067%
Season away (3)73.383.0156.3-9.70%
Last 10 (10)78.280.2158.4-2.050%
Last 5 (5)71.281.0152.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.078.0160.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.573.3143.8-2.854%
vs Weaker (15)88.281.6169.8+6.667%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Roseto
#7
W
92-81
92
81
+11
no box
H20/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
L
77-77
77
77
+0
no box
A28/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
no box
H01/05
A2 East
Pesaro
#17
W
80-72
80
72
+8
73avg 69
A24/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
89-82
89
82
+7
80avg 69
H29/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
60-83
60
83
-23
52avg 69
A06/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
77-69
77
69
+8
77avg 69
H13/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A20/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
82-71
82
71
+11
69avg 69
H27/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
74-88
74
88
-14
61avg 69
H03/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
25-19
24-16
19-22
13-17
25-26
18-16
21-18
27-11
14-27
25-21
16-23
23-20
17-21
26-7
14-24
26-24
25-22
18-12
20-24
15-17
16-32
15-21
14-13
18-19
18-26
23-14
18-10
16-21
20-20
9-20
20-18
22-17
17-22
16-15
27-17
20-20
16-20
20-24
18-24
160.1Avg total
79.9Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.377.7153.0-2.457%
Season at home (4)80.577.5158.0+3.075%
Season away (3)68.378.0146.3-9.733%
Last 10 (10)79.980.2160.1-0.360%
Last 5 (5)71.678.0149.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.384.3158.7-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (3)88.783.0171.7+5.767%
vs Weaker (24)85.878.0163.8+7.875%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.6-0.6
CremonaFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H05/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A12/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H19/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H29/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A06/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H20/10
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A26/10
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H03/11
Lega A
85.5Avg total
41.1Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.842.385.2+0.555%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.241.485.6+2.869%-
Last 30 away (13)41.243.584.6-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.485.5-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.680.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.037.077.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.342.680.9-4.242%-
vs Weaker (15)46.542.789.2+3.960%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A28/04
A2 East
Virtus Roma
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H01/05
A2 East
Pesaro
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A24/09
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A06/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H13/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A20/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H27/10
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/11
Lega A
82.2Avg total
39.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.482.6+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.438.884.2+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)40.640.180.7+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.582.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.642.878.4-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.345.084.3-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)44.041.785.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker (24)43.538.582.0+5.062%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.120.2
45.8%
52.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.8
30.6%
35.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.113.6
67.7%
73.6%13.6
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.720.1
54.9%
52.0%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.7
33.5%
35.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.311.0
67.5%
73.6%11.0
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
LLWLLWWLWW
Fortitudo Bologna
LWLWLWWWLW
#6
League position
#9
-3.5
Net rating
-3.5
104.0
Offensive rating
107.4
107.4
Defensive rating
110.9
45.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.5%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.6%
3-point %
33.5%
48.9%
Assist %
49.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 107.4Defence107.4 · 110.9Shooting45.8% · 53.1%3-point %30.6% · 33.5%Ball care15.9% · 15.5%Off. rebounds35.5% · 25.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cremona   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cremona wins
0
Fortitudo Bologna wins
No previous meetings.
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/19HCantu54-78
26/10/19AVenezia55-67
20/10/19HOlimpia Milano82-78
13/10/19AReggiana71-85
06/10/19AVirtus Roma94-97
29/09/19HTreviso89-87
19/05/19HTrieste82-75
12/05/19AReggiana81-82
05/05/19HVenezia80-65
28/04/19ATorino94-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/19HBrescia74-88
27/10/19HPistoia82-71
20/10/19AVirtus Roma65-79
13/10/19HTreviso77-69
06/10/19AVarese60-83
29/09/19HVenezia89-82
24/09/19APesaro80-72
01/05/19HVirtus Roma103-100 OT
28/04/19AVirtus Roma77-77
20/04/19HRoseto92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game74.275.073.3
Allowed / game82.081.083.0
Point differential-7.8-6.0-9.7
Avg total156.2156.0156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game75.380.568.3
Allowed / game77.777.578.0
Point differential-2.4+3.0-9.7
Avg total153.0158.0146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna880100%82.974.0+8.9
2 Sassari65183%83.868.5+15.3
3 Brindisi86275%84.080.4+3.6
4 Brescia85362%83.275.9+7.4
5 Olimpia Milano74357%81.073.6+7.4
6 Reggiana74357%81.176.6+4.6
7 Trento74357%80.080.4-0.4
8 Fortitudo Bologna74357%75.377.7-2.4
9 Virtus Roma84450%76.081.0-5.0
10 Venezia73443%74.771.9+2.9
11 Varese73443%78.977.9+1.0
12 Cantu73443%70.074.4-4.4
13 Treviso83538%77.678.4-0.8
14 Cremona62433%74.282.0-7.8
15 Trieste72529%70.478.1-7.7
16 Pistoia71614%73.083.1-10.1
17 Pesaro7070%80.693.9-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2424191380
Fortitudo Bologna1919221373
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