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Pistoia vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-68
21-16 16-21 19-15 17-16
Position#5
Record21-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game67.1
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record21-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game70.9
ItalySerie A2Round 5
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pistoia v Cremona
04 May 2025
PIS65
CRE89
07 Jan 2024
PIS64
CRE60
30 Apr 2023
PIS73
CRE68
15 Dec 2019
PIS84
CRE71
11 Nov 2018
PIS73
CRE90
04 Feb 2018
PIS76
CRE65
22 Jan 2017
PIS64
CRE59
13 Mar 2016
PIS72
CRE79
26 Oct 2014
PIS76
CRE83
09 Nov 2013
PIS65
CRE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H12/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A19/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A05/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
86-78 OT
86
78
+8
H19/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A26/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H02/04
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A08/04
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
61-75
61
75
-14
H16/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
70-68
70
68
+2
A23/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-13
24-26
17-17
20-18
12-24
22-21
17-16
11-18
19-20
22-6
22-15
13-18
16-18
14-22
23-19
19-13
16-14
16-10
12-19
14-25
17-26
29-28
23-13
8-7
19-23
20-11
12-16
9-15
18-19
21-25
19-21
22-20
12-14
15-18
14-25
20-18
19-15
20-28
12-17
19-8
144.7Avg total
72.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.467.1142.5+8.370%
Season at home (15)74.363.3137.5+11.080%
Season away (15)76.570.9147.4+5.760%
Last 10 (10)72.272.5144.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)69.673.4143.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)67.971.1139.0-3.225%
vs Weaker (22)78.165.6143.7+12.586%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A05/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H12/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A19/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H26/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
78-64
78
64
+14
A05/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
H19/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
64-60
64
60
+4
A02/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A16/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H23/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
21-13
20-20
21-16
22-23
26-16
17-13
21-21
17-23
18-9
20-12
12-15
27-19
19-19
31-9
13-16
22-13
23-16
15-11
18-24
21-22
19-19
10-15
22-16
18-12
21-20
4-18
21-10
19-18
25-21
21-19
20-22
19-19
23-18
18-17
22-25
22-21
23-20
22-27
15-20
152.1Avg total
80.3Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.170.9150.0+8.275%
Season at home (14)84.173.6157.6+10.579%
Season away (14)74.168.3142.4+5.971%
Last 10 (10)80.371.8152.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)80.079.2159.2+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.098.0180.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)76.876.0152.8+0.850%
vs Weaker (21)81.670.6152.2+11.086%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.0+0.0
PistoiaCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#8
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H12/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A19/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A05/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H19/03
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A26/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H02/04
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/04
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H16/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A23/04
Serie A2
76.3Avg total
38.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.634.473.0+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.531.169.7+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)38.737.776.4+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)38.238.176.3+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.479.4-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)34.535.870.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker (22)40.134.074.0+6.168%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#25
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A05/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#10
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H12/02
Serie A2
Monferrato
#22
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A19/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#18
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H26/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#24
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A05/03
Serie A2
Treviglio
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A02/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#5
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/04
Serie A2
Cento
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A16/04
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H23/04
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
42.5Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.435.475.9+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.134.977.9+8.280%-
Last 30 away (15)37.836.073.8+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)42.535.578.0+7.090%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.080.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.054.098.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.136.974.0+0.250%-
vs Weaker (21)41.534.075.5+7.576%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.8%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.3
45.9%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.811.2
75.7%
73.8%11.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLLLWLWWLW
Cremona
LWWWLWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
-9.3
Net rating
-14.2
107.0
Offensive rating
98.5
116.3
Defensive rating
112.7
45.7%
Effective FG%
47.7%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.9%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.23
28.1%
3-point %
33.6%
49.4%
Assist %
54.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 98.5Defence116.3 · 112.7Shooting45.7% · 47.7%3-point %28.1% · 33.6%Ball care15.6% · 16.9%Off. rebounds34.7% · 25.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Pistoia   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
7
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
08/04/23Cremona v Pistoia85-80
15/12/19Pistoia v Cremona84-71
10/03/19Cremona v Pistoia90-80
11/11/18Pistoia v Cremona73-90
04/02/18Pistoia v Cremona76-65
15/10/17Cremona v Pistoia92-77
22/01/17Pistoia v Cremona64-59
03/10/16Cremona v Pistoia87-67
13/03/16Pistoia v Cremona72-79
23/11/15Cremona v Pistoia82-66
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23ACantu70-68
16/04/23HTreviglio61-75
08/04/23ACremona80-85
02/04/23HCantu60-65
26/03/23ARimini77-74
22/03/23HCento58-68
19/03/23HFortitudo Bologna86-78 OT
05/03/23AChieti Basket76-59
19/02/23AChiusi62-79
12/02/23HUdine92-74
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/23HForli82-88
16/04/23ACento82-79
08/04/23HPistoia85-80
02/04/23AForli64-60
19/03/23HTreviglio87-89 OT
05/03/23ATrapani78-64
26/02/23HStella Azzurra90-63
19/02/23AMonferrato67-59
12/02/23HUrania Milano86-73
05/02/23AJuVi Cremona82-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW70%
HomeWWLLL80%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game75.474.376.5
Allowed / game67.163.370.9
Point differential+8.3+11.0+5.7
Avg total142.5137.5147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (1)50% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Cremona
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWLWL79%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %75%79%71%
Points / game79.184.174.1
Allowed / game70.973.668.3
Point differential+8.2+10.5+5.9
Avg total150.0157.6142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %11%14%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Forli3024680%76.370.0+6.3
3 Cantu2923679%80.169.9+10.2
4 Cremona2821775%79.170.9+8.2
5 Treviglio2821775%79.172.2+6.9
6 Basket Torino2921872%83.380.2+3.1
7 Pistoia3021970%75.467.1+8.3
8 Udine30181260%76.574.9+1.6
9 Urania Milano28161257%78.580.2-1.7
10 Cento27151256%77.373.9+3.4
11 Agrigento29161355%81.779.3+2.4
12 Cividale31151648%72.572.2+0.3
13 Rimini30141647%75.676.6-1.0
14 Assigeco Piacenza28131546%79.877.9+1.8
15 Pallacanestro Nardo31141745%82.483.5-1.1
16 Fortitudo Bologna29131645%77.376.3+1.0
17 Latina28121643%74.976.9-2.0
18 Mantova30121840%75.277.8-2.5
19 Trapani28111739%69.476.3-6.9
20 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
21 San Severo31121939%71.277.4-6.2
22 Chiusi29111838%72.674.7-2.1
23 Monferrato29101934%76.178.6-2.5
24 Stella Azzurra29101934%76.980.8-3.9
25 Chieti Basket30102033%72.575.8-3.4
26 Ravenna31102132%73.979.2-5.4
27 JuVi Cremona2992031%74.479.1-4.6
28 NPC Rieti2882029%67.874.2-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2116191773
Cremona1621151668
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