Fortitudo Bologna vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Apr 2009

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 110-107 (OT)

21-16 15-28 24-16 17-17 33-30

Position#15

Record7-18

FormLLLLL

Points / game73.7

Allowed / game79.7

Fortitudo Bologna 🏆

Sutor Montegranaro

Position#12

Record11-14

FormLLLWL

Points / game75.2

Allowed / game80.0

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2008-09

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutor Montegranaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Udine

#16

80-75

H25/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

71-87

-16

A01/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

66-75

-9

A15/02

Lega A

Siena

67-63

H01/03

Lega A

Biella

78-83

-5

H08/03

Lega A

Treviso

77-80

-3

A14/03

Lega A

Ferrara

73-86

-13

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

74-75

-1

H29/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

68-73

-5

A05/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

66-69

-3

H11/04

Lega A

22-15

22-13

20-23

16-24

23-22

15-28

18-25

15-12

13-20

18-17

15-20

20-18

19-14

11-25

11-10

26-14

14-16

20-25

23-20

21-22

6-23

26-10

22-27

23-20

18-22

12-15

10-24

33-25

7-13

23-21

19-21

25-20

21-19

22-13

11-19

14-22

23-15

10-22

14-13

19-19

148.6Avg total

72.0Scored

76.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	73.7	79.7	153.4	-6.0	28%
Season at home (12)	71.7	73.1	144.8	-1.4	42%
Season away (13)	75.6	85.8	161.4	-10.2	15%
Last 10 (10)	72.0	76.6	148.6	-4.6	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.6	76.6	148.2	-5.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	71.8	80.2	152.0	-8.5	18%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	74.8	79.8	154.5	-5.0	25%
vs Weaker (5)	81.0	75.0	156.0	+6.0	60%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#13

78-73

H25/01

Lega A

Udine

#16

79-85

-6

A01/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

82-81 OT

H15/02

Lega A

Biella

74-92

-18

A01/03

Lega A

Treviso

62-50

+12

H08/03

Lega A

Siena

70-81

-11

H15/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

70-92

-22

A22/03

Lega A

Cantu

74-86

-12

A29/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

87-79

H05/04

Lega A

Caserta

#14

81-88

-7

A11/04

Lega A

18-19

24-19

17-23

19-12

19-21

19-25

20-18

21-21

11-13

27-9

17-31

19-21

17-20

10-24

28-23

19-25

21-6

17-18

12-12

12-14

22-26

23-18

15-22

10-15

17-18

13-26

20-24

18-23

21-17

19-20

16-26

26-18

19-13

15-23

27-25

12-30

18-19

23-12

28-27

156.4Avg total

75.7Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	75.2	80.0	155.2	-4.8	44%
Season at home (13)	76.9	75.5	152.4	+1.5	69%
Season away (12)	73.4	84.9	158.3	-11.5	17%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	80.7	156.4	-5.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	85.2	161.6	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	71.0	78.7	149.7	-7.7	38%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	80.6	82.2	162.8	-1.6	50%
vs Weaker (2)	76.0	77.5	153.5	-1.5	50%

This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Fortitudo BolognaSutor Montegranaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	19.7	37.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.4	18.2	35.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	17.9	34.5	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.4	33.4	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	16.6	19.2	35.8	-2.6	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.9	12%	-
vs Weaker (5)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	17.4	19.1	36.4	-1.7	28%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.2	17.2	35.4	+1.1	46%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.4	21.2	37.6	-4.8	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	23.0	42.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.5	18.0	34.5	-1.5	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.6	21.3	39.9	-2.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.5	38.3	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	19.5	37.1	-2.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.2	34.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.4	20.9	39.3	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.9	18.8	35.6	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	23.8	15.6	39.4	+8.2	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.5	19.8	37.3	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.6	37.4	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.5	17.8	35.3	-0.2	54%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	50%	-

Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Udine

#16

44-28

+16

H25/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

38-50

-12

A01/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

31-37

-6

A15/02

Lega A

Siena

30-39

-9

H01/03

Lega A

Biella

34-41

-7

H08/03

Lega A

Treviso

32-33

-1

A14/03

Lega A

Ferrara

30-37

-7

A21/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

30-34

-4

H29/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

43-32

+11

A05/04

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

33-37

-4

H11/04

Lega A

71.3Avg total

34.5Scored

36.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	39.1	76.0	-2.3	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.9	37.7	72.7	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	40.5	79.3	-1.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	36.8	71.3	-2.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	34.6	68.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	34.9	40.2	75.1	-5.2	6%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	35.6	40.4	76.0	-4.8	12%	-
vs Weaker (5)	45.4	33.6	79.0	+11.8	80%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#13

42-38

H25/01

Lega A

Udine

#16

38-46

-8

A01/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

38-22

+16

H15/02

Lega A

Biella

27-44

-17

A01/03

Lega A

Treviso

38-24

+14

H08/03

Lega A

Siena

45-44

H15/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

30-44

-14

A22/03

Lega A

Cantu

39-40

-1

A29/03

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

45-31

+14

H05/04

Lega A

Caserta

#14

30-49

-19

A11/04

Lega A

75.4Avg total

37.2Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	36.2	37.6	73.8	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.2	34.5	72.8	+3.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (12)	33.9	41.0	74.9	-7.1	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.2	75.4	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	41.6	79.4	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	34.0	35.8	69.8	-1.8	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.8	40.2	79.0	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	37.0	74.0	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	19.9	37.2	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.8	39.1	-4.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	20.2	36.5	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.8	36.0	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	17.7	19.9	37.6	-2.2	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.6	19.2	36.9	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (5)	15.4	21.0	36.4	-5.6	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	32%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	20.2	38.6	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	30%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	18.1	39.7	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.3	38.5	-4.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.2	44.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.8	19.1	39.9	+1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.4	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	19.5	39.9	+1.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.1	21.9	42.0	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.4	43.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.7	19.8	37.5	-2.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	23.3	21.1	44.4	+2.2	70%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	23.5	45.5	-1.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	39.6	76.3	-2.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	36.1	75.1	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	43.1	77.6	-8.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	39.8	77.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	42.0	80.0	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)	36.3	39.6	75.9	-3.4	41%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	38.4	38.4	76.8	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (5)	35.6	41.4	77.0	-5.8	20%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (25)	38.4	41.6	80.0	-3.2	32%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.4	39.5	76.9	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (12)	39.5	43.9	83.4	-4.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	41.8	79.5	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	43.6	82.2	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	36.4	42.4	78.8	-6.0	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	40.9	40.9	81.8	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fortitudo Bologna wins

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/08	Sutor Montegranaro v Fortitudo Bologna	91-89

Fortitudo Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/09	H	Olimpia Milano	66-69
05/04/09	A	Avellino	68-73
29/03/09	H	Virtus Bologna	74-75
21/03/09	A	Ferrara	73-86
14/03/09	A	Treviso	77-80
08/03/09	H	Biella	78-83
01/03/09	H	Siena	67-63
15/02/09	A	NSB Napoli	66-75
01/02/09	A	Virtus Roma	71-87
25/01/09	H	Udine	80-75

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/09	A	Caserta	81-88
05/04/09	H	Pesaro	87-79
29/03/09	A	Cantu	74-86
22/03/09	A	Avellino	70-92
15/03/09	H	Siena	70-81
08/03/09	H	Treviso	62-50
01/03/09	A	Biella	74-92
15/02/09	H	Olimpia Milano	82-81 OT
01/02/09	A	Udine	79-85
25/01/09	H	NSB Napoli	78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	28%
Home	WWLLL	42%
Away	LLLLL	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	12	13
Win %	28%	42%	15%
Points / game	73.7	71.7	75.6
Allowed / game	79.7	73.1	85.8
Point differential	-6.0	-1.4	-10.2
Avg total	153.4	144.8	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	8%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	27% (11)	33% (6)	20% (5)
Overtime %	8%	0%	15%

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	44%
Home	WWWLW	69%
Away	LLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	13	12
Win %	44%	69%	17%
Points / game	75.2	76.9	73.4
Allowed / game	80.0	75.5	84.9
Point differential	-4.8	+1.5	-11.5
Avg total	155.2	152.4	158.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	4%	8%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	82% (11)	78% (9)	100% (2)
Overtime %	8%	15%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	25	24	1	96%	88.4	71.3	+17.1
2	Virtus Bologna	25	17	8	68%	78.1	76.4	+1.8
3	Virtus Roma	26	16	10	62%	85.3	80.9	+4.3
4	Olimpia Milano	26	16	10	62%	77.5	73.8	+3.7
5	Teramo	25	15	10	60%	83.3	81.6	+1.7
6	Treviso	26	15	11	58%	76.7	74.7	+2.0
7	Cantu	26	13	13	50%	80.0	82.4	-2.3
8	Avellino	25	12	13	48%	77.2	74.9	+2.2
9	Biella	26	12	14	46%	83.1	82.7	+0.4
10	Sutor Montegranaro	25	11	14	44%	75.2	80.0	-4.8
11	Pesaro	26	11	15	42%	82.2	82.3	-0.1
12	Ferrara	26	11	15	42%	77.2	78.8	-1.7
13	Caserta	26	10	16	38%	75.2	80.3	-5.1
14	NSB Napoli	26	9	17	35%	72.3	78.2	-5.8
15	Fortitudo Bologna	25	7	18	28%	73.7	79.7	-6.0
16	Udine	26	6	20	23%	79.0	85.9	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Fortitudo Bologna	21	15	24	17	33	110
Sutor Montegranaro	16	28	16	17	30	107

← all games of the day

Fortitudo Bologna vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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