Sutor Montegranaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2009

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 82-81 (OT)

11-13 27-9 17-31 19-21 8-7

Position#12

Record8-9

FormLLLWL

Points / game75.4

Allowed / game79.5

Sutor Montegranaro 🏆

Olimpia Milano

Position#5

Record9-9

FormWLWWL

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game73.6

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Sutor Montegranaro v Olimpia Milano

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpia Milano winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

81-76

H30/11

Lega A

Cantu

85-82

H07/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

93-89

A14/12

Lega A

Caserta

#14

79-88

-9

H20/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

70-88

-18

A28/12

Lega A

Teramo

73-75

-2

H04/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

67-79

-12

A10/01

Lega A

Ferrara

69-71 OT

-2

H18/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

78-73

H25/01

Lega A

Udine

#16

79-85

-6

A01/02

Lega A

16-19

14-12

26-21

25-24

13-23

23-21

20-13

29-25

25-19

20-20

17-34

31-16

14-21

22-26

16-22

27-19

10-17

26-24

22-21

12-26

21-10

13-16

17-30

22-19

15-16

20-25

16-19

21-18

13-14

15-10

11-18

18-19

24-19

17-23

19-12

19-21

19-25

20-18

21-21

158.0Avg total

77.4Scored

80.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	75.4	79.5	154.8	-4.1	47%
Season at home (9)	77.7	76.7	154.3	+1.0	67%
Season away (8)	72.8	82.6	155.4	-9.9	25%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	80.6	158.0	-3.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	76.6	149.8	-3.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	70.6	78.4	149.0	-7.8	38%
vs Similar (7)	80.6	81.3	161.9	-0.7	57%
vs Weaker (2)	76.0	77.5	153.5	-1.5	50%

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia Milano Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

70-61

H08/01

Euroleague

Biella

87-71

+16

H11/01

Lega A

Panionios

#18

87-77

+10

A14/01

Euroleague

Siena

65-78

-13

A18/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

91-81

+10

H25/01

Lega A

Olympiacos

76-74

H29/01

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

60-70

-10

A01/02

Lega A

Gdynia

#24

62-60

A05/02

Euroleague

Caserta

#14

81-51

+30

H08/02

Lega A

Baskonia

90-108

108

-18

A11/02

Euroleague

13-20

16-10

20-23

21-8

22-16

16-19

25-18

24-18

21-19

21-23

19-16

26-19

14-18

13-16

15-25

23-19

15-27

28-21

27-16

21-17

23-20

19-12

20-21

14-21

12-22

11-14

13-17

24-17

25-18

13-17

15-9

9-16

20-13

19-16

19-6

23-16

27-26

19-29

17-31

27-22

150.0Avg total

76.9Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	75.8	73.6	149.4	+2.2	50%
Season at home (10)	80.6	74.2	154.8	+6.4	60%
Season away (8)	69.9	72.9	142.8	-3.0	38%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	73.1	150.0	+3.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	72.6	146.4	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	73.4	80.0	153.4	-6.6	43%
vs Similar (15)	74.0	74.2	148.2	-0.2	47%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	79.5	72.1	151.6	+7.4	62%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sutor MontegranaroOlimpia Milano

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.1	19.0	36.1	-1.9	29%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	17.4	17.8	35.2	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	18.3	35.5	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	15.8	18.9	34.6	-3.1	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	15.0	32.0	+2.0	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.3	21.1	37.4	-4.9	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.4	18.9	40.2	+2.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	18.9	18.8	37.8	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (8)	18.5	19.0	37.5	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.8	37.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.2	17.0	34.2	+0.2	62%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.6	36.1	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	18.2	35.9	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.7	35.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	17.6	33.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	18.9	36.1	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.8	18.3	36.1	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	16.9	19.0	35.9	-2.1	25%	-

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Avellino

#10

30-31

-1

H30/11

Lega A

Cantu

36-44

-8

H07/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

45-39

A14/12

Lega A

Caserta

#14

36-47

-11

H20/12

Lega A

Virtus Roma

36-41

-5

A28/12

Lega A

Teramo

34-26

H04/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-41

-6

A10/01

Lega A

Ferrara

34-32

H18/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

42-38

H25/01

Lega A

Udine

#16

38-46

-8

A01/02

Lega A

75.1Avg total

36.6Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	36.0	37.8	73.8	-1.8	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	36.8	36.4	73.2	+0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	35.1	39.4	74.5	-4.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	38.5	75.1	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.6	73.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	33.0	35.9	68.9	-2.9	12%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.1	40.3	79.4	-1.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	37.0	74.0	+0.0	50%	-

This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Real Madrid

29-30

-1

H08/01

Euroleague

Biella

38-35

H11/01

Lega A

Panionios

#18

42-42

A14/01

Euroleague

Siena

27-34

-7

A18/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

43-48

-5

H25/01

Lega A

Olympiacos

42-32

+10

H29/01

Euroleague

Virtus Bologna

23-36

-13

A01/02

Lega A

Gdynia

#24

38-35

A05/02

Euroleague

Caserta

#14

39-29

+10

H08/02

Lega A

Baskonia

46-55

-9

A11/02

Euroleague

74.3Avg total

36.7Scored

37.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	38.1	74.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.1	36.8	72.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.8	39.6	76.4	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	37.6	74.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	37.4	75.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	33.6	40.0	73.6	-6.4	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	36.8	37.3	74.1	-0.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	38.2	37.9	76.1	+0.4	50%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	17.9	21.1	38.9	-3.2	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	17.9	19.2	37.1	-1.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (8)	17.9	23.1	41.0	-5.2	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.8	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.0	17.0	34.0	+0.0	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.4	36.2	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	16.5	37.7	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	16.8	33.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.0	20.9	38.9	-2.9	14%	-
vs Similar (15)	18.1	17.3	35.4	+0.9	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.6	14.8	35.4	+5.9	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	20.9	19.9	40.9	+1.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	22.0	19.8	41.8	+2.2	78%	-
Last 30 away (8)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	17.8	35.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.8	19.9	38.6	-1.1	62%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.1	19.0	42.1	+4.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	23.5	45.5	-1.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.1	38.3	+0.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.9	19.1	41.0	+2.7	71%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.1	19.6	38.7	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.8	18.4	38.1	+1.4	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (17)	38.8	41.0	79.8	-2.2	41%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	39.9	39.0	78.9	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (8)	37.6	43.2	80.9	-5.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.0	80.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	37.8	72.6	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	37.6	42.5	80.1	-4.9	38%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.1	39.4	79.6	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	39.0	40.5	79.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	36.6	75.3	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	35.7	77.4	+6.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.1	37.6	72.8	-2.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	35.5	75.7	+4.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	35.2	71.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.9	40.0	79.9	-0.1	29%	-
vs Similar (15)	37.2	36.9	74.1	+0.3	47%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	40.4	33.1	73.5	+7.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Olimpia Milano wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/08	Olimpia Milano v Sutor Montegranaro	75-77

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/02/09	A	Udine	79-85
25/01/09	H	NSB Napoli	78-73
18/01/09	H	Ferrara	69-71 OT
10/01/09	A	Virtus Bologna	67-79
04/01/09	H	Teramo	73-75
28/12/08	A	Virtus Roma	70-88
20/12/08	H	Caserta	79-88
14/12/08	A	Pesaro	93-89
07/12/08	H	Cantu	85-82
30/11/08	H	Avellino	81-76

Olimpia Milanolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/09	A	Baskonia	90-108
08/02/09	H	Caserta	81-51
05/02/09	A	Gdynia	62-60
01/02/09	A	Virtus Bologna	60-70
29/01/09	H	Olympiacos	76-74
25/01/09	H	Pesaro	91-81
18/01/09	A	Siena	65-78
14/01/09	A	Panionios	87-77
11/01/09	H	Biella	87-71
08/01/09	H	Real Madrid	70-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	47%
Home	WLLLW	67%
Away	LWLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	47%	67%	25%
Points / game	75.4	77.7	72.8
Allowed / game	79.5	76.7	82.6
Point differential	-4.1	+1.0	-9.9
Avg total	154.8	154.3	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (10)	75% (8)	100% (2)
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

Olimpia Milano

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	50%
Home	LLWWW	60%
Away	LWLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	50%	60%	38%
Points / game	75.8	80.6	69.9
Allowed / game	73.6	74.2	72.9
Point differential	+2.2	+6.4	-3.0
Avg total	149.4	154.8	142.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	0% (3)	60% (5)
Overtime %	6%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	18	18	0	100%	90.3	70.9	+19.3
2	Virtus Roma	19	13	6	68%	85.5	80.5	+5.1
3	Virtus Bologna	19	12	7	63%	79.5	77.6	+1.9
4	Teramo	19	12	7	63%	83.7	82.9	+0.8
5	Treviso	18	10	8	56%	78.1	77.3	+0.8
6	Cantu	18	10	8	56%	80.1	82.4	-2.3
7	Avellino	18	9	9	50%	77.5	74.7	+2.8
8	Olimpia Milano	18	9	9	50%	75.8	73.6	+2.2
9	Sutor Montegranaro	17	8	9	47%	75.4	79.5	-4.1
10	Pesaro	19	8	11	42%	82.8	80.9	+1.9
11	Biella	18	7	11	39%	84.3	84.2	+0.1
12	Fortitudo Bologna	17	6	11	35%	74.9	81.6	-6.7
13	Ferrara	18	6	12	33%	74.8	77.7	-2.8
14	NSB Napoli	18	6	12	33%	73.1	79.3	-6.3
15	Caserta	18	6	12	33%	72.6	80.1	-7.6
16	Udine	18	5	13	28%	78.9	85.2	-6.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Sutor Montegranaro	11	27	17	19	8	82
Olimpia Milano	13	9	31	21	7	81

← all games of the day

Sutor Montegranaro vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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