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Le Mans vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-75
14-20 31-12 28-12 24-31
Position#6
Record10-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game84.7
Le Mans 🏆
France
vs
Pau-Orthez
France
Position#17
Record6-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game83.2
FranceLNBRound 19
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Le Mans v Pau-Orthez
31 Oct 2026
LMA106
POR97
28 Jan 2023
LMA97
POR75
16 Oct 2021
LMA100
POR106
01 May 2021
LMA88
POR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Mans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MansFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMans
Date
Competition
Rueil
#15
W
94-60
94
60
+34
no box
A23/11
French Cup
Monaco
#1
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 83
H29/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
63avg 83
A02/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
74-78
74
78
-4
90avg 83
H10/12
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
L
85-89
85
89
-4
82avg 83
A17/12
LNB
Nanterre
#14
W
85-74
85
74
+11
77avg 83
A23/12
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
96-82
96
82
+14
99avg 83
H27/12
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
100-85
100
85
+15
no box
H08/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
88avg 83
A16/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
89-92
89
92
-3
80avg 83
A21/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-9
21-18
28-17
24-16
19-25
24-24
17-24
21-17
14-19
23-20
17-21
20-22
20-15
16-27
23-17
15-19
18-19
23-22
21-23
23-25
27-12
22-21
22-25
14-16
22-21
33-24
26-13
15-24
24-28
23-13
23-32
30-12
27-29
29-16
15-22
24-24
21-21
26-22
15-31
27-18
169.6Avg total
87.3Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.284.7172.9+3.656%
Season at home (9)90.984.3175.2+6.656%
Season away (9)85.685.0170.6+0.656%
Last 10 (10)87.382.3169.6+5.050%
Last 5 (5)93.084.8177.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)83.389.0172.3-5.733%
vs Similar (14)85.483.7169.1+1.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)87.080.0167.0+7.062%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 80
H19/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
68avg 80
A27/11
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
71-80
71
80
-9
68avg 80
H04/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 80
A09/12
LNB
Le Mans
#6
W
89-85
89
85
+4
91avg 80
H17/12
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
94-75
94
75
+19
96avg 80
A23/12
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
76-64
76
64
+12
74avg 80
H27/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
74avg 80
A08/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
L
93-107
93
107
-14
104avg 80
A15/01
LNB
Roanne
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
71avg 80
H21/01
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
25-17
17-20
27-14
19-23
15-21
27-27
18-20
13-11
19-24
20-24
19-21
26-19
17-24
13-17
19-23
19-18
22-23
23-21
25-23
27-21
21-16
22-21
24-17
26-16
14-20
19-15
17-13
20-25
22-20
16-16
19-22
19-23
15-18
30-42
29-24
21-27
18-8
22-21
16-29
165.5Avg total
82.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.283.2163.4-3.033%
Season at home (9)80.778.2158.9+2.456%
Season away (9)79.888.2168.0-8.411%
Last 10 (10)82.283.3165.5-1.140%
Last 5 (5)83.482.8166.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)79.683.3162.9-3.739%
vs Similar (11)83.383.8167.1-0.536%
vs Weaker (1)76.069.0145.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.7+0.7
Le MansPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Le MansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rueil
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A23/11
French Cup
Monaco
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H29/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A02/12
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/12
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A17/12
LNB
Nanterre
#14
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A23/12
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H27/12
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H08/01
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A16/01
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/01
LNB
85.8Avg total
45.3Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.284.5+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.343.689.9+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)40.739.279.9+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)45.340.585.8+4.860%-
Last 5 (5)50.841.492.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.045.789.7-1.733%-
vs Similar (14)41.740.982.6+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.840.585.4+4.369%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A27/11
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
LNB
Fos-sur-Mer
#18
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A09/12
LNB
Le Mans
#6
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H17/12
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A23/12
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H27/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A08/01
LNB
Ada Blois
#16
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A15/01
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H21/01
LNB
80.3Avg total
40.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.081.6-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.740.581.1+0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)38.543.582.0-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.380.3-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.879.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.942.180.9-3.233%-
vs Similar (11)40.542.182.5-1.636%-
vs Weaker (1)43.039.082.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Le Mans) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Le Manstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Le Mans: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.422.1
52.1%
53.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.38.0
37.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.817.4
79.8%
75.2%17.4
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.6
58.1%
53.7%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
35.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws15.812.5
79.1%
75.2%12.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Le Mans
LWWWWLLLLW
Pau-Orthez
LLLWWWLLLW
#6
League position
#17
+1.4
Net rating
-1.5
111.5
Offensive rating
108.7
110.1
Defensive rating
110.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
56.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
21.6%
Turnover %
20.9%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.6%
3-point %
35.4%
64.5%
Assist %
60.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 108.7Defence110.1 · 110.2Shooting53.5% · 56.1%3-point %37.6% · 35.4%Ball care21.6% · 20.9%Off. rebounds37.5% · 28.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Le Mans   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Le Mans wins
4
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
17/12/22Pau-Orthez v Le Mans89-85
30/03/22Pau-Orthez v Le Mans87-77
16/10/21Le Mans v Pau-Orthez100-106 OT
01/05/21Le Mans v Pau-Orthez88-78
28/10/20Pau-Orthez v Le Mans90-81 OT
Le Manslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23AStrasbourg89-92
16/01/23ALyon-Villeurbanne95-91
08/01/23HAda Blois100-85
27/12/22HNancy96-82
23/12/22ANanterre85-74
17/12/22APau-Orthez85-89
10/12/22HStrasbourg74-78
02/12/22AGravelines-Dunkerque74-82
29/11/22HMonaco81-90
23/11/22ARueil94-60
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23HRoanne77-85
15/01/23AAda Blois93-107
08/01/23AMonaco77-83
27/12/22HDijon76-64
23/12/22ARoanne94-75
17/12/22HLe Mans89-85
09/12/22AFos-sur-Mer75-83
04/12/22HNanterre71-80
27/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne79-91
19/11/22HGravelines-Dunkerque91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Mans
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL56%
HomeLLLWW56%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%56%56%
Points / game88.290.985.6
Allowed / game84.784.385.0
Point differential+3.6+6.6+0.6
Avg total172.9175.2170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%44%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %17%11%22%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL33%
HomeWLWWL56%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%56%11%
Points / game80.280.779.8
Allowed / game83.278.288.2
Point differential-3.0+2.4-8.4
Avg total163.4158.9168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1815383%89.980.9+8.9
2 Boulogne-Levallois1914574%88.684.8+3.8
3 Cholet1813572%83.979.7+4.2
4 Dijon1812667%89.484.3+5.2
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne1810856%86.379.8+6.5
6 Le Mans1810856%88.284.7+3.6
7 JL Bourg1810856%84.485.4-1.1
8 Roanne1910953%91.689.1+2.5
9 Limoges189950%78.379.1-0.8
10 Strasbourg189950%79.481.9-2.5
11 Paris1881044%87.790.2-2.5
12 Gravelines-Dunkerque1881044%78.281.4-3.2
13 Nanterre1871139%81.183.3-2.3
14 Le Portel1861233%79.179.1+0.0
15 Pau-Orthez1861233%80.283.2-3.0
16 Nancy1861233%80.484.8-4.4
17 Ada Blois1961332%82.789.6-6.9
18 Fos-sur-Mer1951426%74.482.1-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Le Mans1431282497
Pau-Orthez2012123175
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