PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fos-sur-Mer vs Pau-Orthez Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-75
19-26 24-17 17-13 23-19
Position#18
Record2-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#17
Record3-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game83.3
FranceLNBRound 12
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez
20 Sep 2024
FSM64
POR78
26 Jan 2024
FSM90
POR97
09 Dec 2022
FSM83
POR75
11 Feb 2022
FSM72
POR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#12
W
79-77
79
77
+2
80avg 76
H14/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#26
W
73-69
73
69
+4
no box
H18/10
French Cup
Limoges
#15
L
75-87
75
87
-12
66avg 76
A22/10
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
66-100
66
100
-34
53avg 76
H28/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
65-94
65
94
-29
81avg 76
A06/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 76
A19/11
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
A23/11
French Cup
Roanne
#11
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
no box
H26/11
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
85-96
85
96
-11
70avg 76
A02/12
LNB
Cholet
#7
L
70-73
70
73
-3
69avg 76
A06/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
20-19
21-20
20-26
13-19
24-19
17-15
19-16
23-21
17-23
14-24
21-19
14-29
19-19
17-25
16-27
16-29
18-22
15-24
16-19
10-25
22-15
15-19
29-21
25-15
14-28
21-28
21-19
20-16
16-24
17-16
25-22
15-28
26-26
20-19
24-23
16-18
17-19
17-18
20-18
160.6Avg total
75.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.386.7163.0-10.518%
Season at home (4)78.887.0165.8-8.250%
Season away (7)74.986.6161.4-11.70%
Last 10 (10)75.385.3160.6-10.020%
Last 5 (5)79.085.2164.2-6.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)78.686.2164.8-7.629%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.179.8161.9+2.356%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
47avg 80
A27/09
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
81-62
81
62
+19
92avg 80
H02/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
77-92
77
92
-15
69avg 80
A08/10
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
81-88
81
88
-7
97avg 80
A15/10
LNB
Paris
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
66avg 80
H22/10
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
84-89
84
89
-5
79avg 80
H29/10
LNB
Cholet
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
82avg 80
A05/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 80
H19/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
68avg 80
A27/11
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
71-80
71
80
-9
68avg 80
H04/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-12
13-23
19-21
19-26
22-17
15-15
23-12
21-18
16-24
16-26
17-27
28-15
24-22
17-22
18-25
22-19
18-21
22-20
15-17
19-21
25-22
15-22
16-15
28-30
19-24
22-16
20-29
22-24
22-29
25-17
17-20
27-14
19-23
15-21
27-27
18-20
13-11
19-24
20-24
19-21
161.6Avg total
78.0Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.583.3161.7-4.827%
Season at home (6)80.778.3159.0+2.350%
Season away (5)75.889.2165.0-13.40%
Last 10 (10)78.083.6161.6-5.620%
Last 5 (5)81.686.6168.2-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.385.2163.5-6.929%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.480.4162.8+1.950%
vs Weaker (2)85.577.5163.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
Fos-sur-MerPau-Orthez
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Portel
#12
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H14/10
LNB
Chalon/Saone
#26
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H18/10
French Cup
Limoges
#15
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A22/10
LNB
Dijon
#4
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H28/10
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A06/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/11
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A23/11
French Cup
Roanne
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/11
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A02/12
LNB
Cholet
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/12
LNB
78.9Avg total
36.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.081.4-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.541.181.5-0.654%-
Last 30 away (17)40.440.981.3-0.535%-
Last 10 (10)36.342.678.9-6.310%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.879.0-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)40.142.582.6-2.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.237.478.7+3.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A27/09
LNB
Limoges
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H02/10
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/10
LNB
Nancy
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A15/10
LNB
Paris
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H22/10
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H29/10
LNB
Cholet
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A05/11
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H19/11
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A27/11
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
LNB
77.6Avg total
36.5Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.681.4-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.240.081.2+1.259%-
Last 30 away (13)37.843.881.6-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.177.6-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.880.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.643.180.8-5.521%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.140.581.6+0.664%-
vs Weaker (2)44.539.083.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.4
55.0%
53.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.55.5
28.2%
35.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws21.214.9
70.3%
75.2%14.9
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.7
52.8%
53.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.6
35.7%
35.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.511.8
76.1%
75.2%11.8
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLLLLLLLWW
Pau-Orthez
LLWLLLLLWL
#18
League position
#17
-15.9
Net rating
-7.6
99.2
Offensive rating
105.0
115.1
Defensive rating
112.7
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
24.4%
Turnover %
19.5%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.2%
3-point %
35.7%
60.6%
Assist %
66.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 105.0Defence115.1 · 112.7Shooting50.8% · 53.1%3-point %28.2% · 35.7%Ball care24.4% · 19.5%Off. rebounds33.9% · 26.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Pau-Orthez
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fos-sur-Mer wins
2
Pau-Orthez wins
DateGameScore
26/03/22Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer93-72
11/02/22Fos-sur-Mer v Pau-Orthez72-70
06/11/21Pau-Orthez v Fos-sur-Mer76-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/22ACholet70-73
02/12/22ABoulogne-Levallois85-96
26/11/22HRoanne83-87 OT
23/11/22ALe Portel81-90
19/11/22AStrasbourg76-80
06/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne65-94
28/10/22HDijon66-100
22/10/22ALimoges75-87
18/10/22HChalon/Saone73-69
14/10/22HLe Portel79-77
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22HNanterre71-80
27/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne79-91
19/11/22HGravelines-Dunkerque91-80
05/11/22ACholet83-93
29/10/22HLe Portel84-89
22/10/22HParis74-79
15/10/22ANancy81-88
08/10/22AJL Bourg77-92
02/10/22HLimoges81-62
27/09/22ABoulogne-Levallois59-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %18%50%0%
Points / game76.378.874.9
Allowed / game86.787.086.6
Point differential-10.5-8.2-11.7
Avg total163.0165.8161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %9%25%0%
Pau-Orthez
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game78.580.775.8
Allowed / game83.378.389.2
Point differential-4.8+2.3-13.4
Avg total161.7159.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1210283%90.882.4+8.4
2 Boulogne-Levallois119282%89.583.0+6.5
3 Cholet119282%82.477.6+4.7
4 Dijon118373%91.381.8+9.5
5 Limoges117464%80.077.9+2.1
6 JL Bourg117464%86.887.6-0.8
7 Le Mans116555%87.684.8+2.8
8 Lyon-Villeurbanne126650%85.782.3+3.3
9 Roanne115645%93.690.1+3.5
10 Nanterre115645%82.282.4-0.2
11 Ada Blois115645%84.591.7-7.2
12 Paris114736%91.593.1-1.6
13 Strasbourg114736%77.779.6-1.9
14 Nancy114736%80.686.5-5.8
15 Gravelines-Dunkerque114736%79.985.9-6.0
16 Pau-Orthez113827%78.583.3-4.8
17 Le Portel112918%77.880.9-3.1
18 Fos-sur-Mer112918%76.386.7-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer1924172383
Pau-Orthez2617131975
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.