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Fos-sur-Mer vs Nantes Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 05 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#20
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.0
FrancePro BRound 22· Palais des Sports Pierre Ratte
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes
05 Feb 2027
FSM v NANT
upcoming
31 Jan 2025
FSM76
NANT81
06 Feb 2024
FSM83
NANT58
23 Oct 2020
FSM78
NANT83
08 Nov 2019
FSM64
NANT67
20 Oct 2017
FSM89
NANT76
08 Jun 2017
FSM74
NANT85
03 Jun 2017
FSM66
NANT75
21 Oct 2016
FSM70
NANT65
15 Mar 2016
FSM77
NANT67
28 Mar 2015
FSM64
NANT65
02 Mar 2014
FSM96
NANT65
12 Feb 2013
FSM71
NANT68
20 Apr 2012
FSM74
NANT70
07 Jan 2011
FSM78
NANT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
L
69-71
69
71
-2
no box
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 62
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 62
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
79-94
79
94
-15
71avg 62
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 62
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
52avg 62
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
50-72
50
72
-22
38avg 62
A24/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 62
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
L
74-78
74
78
-4
no box
A06/11
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
18-14
16-16
10-21
25-22
22-21
16-17
13-22
17-25
14-26
20-18
26-26
20-25
18-25
22-25
19-19
19-22
20-28
24-7
15-19
22-18
11-23
18-20
16-19
14-16
10-15
8-21
18-20
21-18
14-17
22-14
17-14
22-12
17-19
14-26
21-21
22-15
17-22
22-24
12-19
150.8Avg total
71.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.080.0152.0-8.022%
Season at home (5)73.676.2149.8-2.640%
Season away (4)70.084.8154.8-14.80%
Last 10 (10)71.779.1150.8-7.420%
Last 5 (5)67.674.6142.2-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.584.4157.9-11.017%
vs Similar (5)73.474.4147.8-1.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 81
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 81
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
74avg 81
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
73-90
73
90
-17
65avg 81
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 81
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 81
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
99-90
99
90
+9
95avg 81
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 81
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-21
13-20
15-18
27-24
14-22
21-12
11-23
19-15
12-15
21-15
24-17
22-18
16-26
12-32
23-14
21-21
21-18
18-17
23-22
27-19
20-23
30-17
20-23
15-23
32-16
25-26
27-25
16-22
30-26
16-24
10-24
20-13
23-19
14-26
17-17
24-24
23-18
23-26
24-25
164.8Avg total
81.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.383.0165.3-0.756%
Season at home (4)83.076.2159.2+6.875%
Season away (5)81.888.4170.2-6.640%
Last 10 (10)81.683.2164.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)87.287.2174.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Similar (21)85.581.0166.6+4.562%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)93.779.8173.5+13.8100%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
Fos-sur-MerNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H16/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H21/10
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A24/10
Pro B
St. Chamond
#15
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H30/10
Pro B
Levallois
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A06/11
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H13/11
Pro B
77.1Avg total
36.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.641.377.0-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.439.977.4-2.538%-
Last 30 away (14)33.642.976.5-9.47%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.377.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.035.069.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.542.277.7-6.721%-
vs Similar (5)34.838.873.6-4.020%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/11
Pro B
83.8Avg total
42.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.936.981.8+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)44.743.488.1+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.983.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.686.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.033%-
vs Similar (21)43.440.183.5+3.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)50.739.890.5+10.883%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.2
47.1%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.16.5
29.4%
33.4%19.5
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
74.0%16.5
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.8
54.2%
53.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
33.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.3
67.4%
74.0%16.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLWLLWLLLL
Nantes
WLLWWWLWLL
#20
League position
#9
-7.1
Net rating
-1.8
87.9
Offensive rating
91.1
95.0
Defensive rating
92.9
46.0%
Effective FG%
50.0%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
17.6%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.4%
3-point %
29.2%
63.4%
Assist %
65.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence87.9 · 91.1Defence95.0 · 92.9Shooting46.0% · 50.0%3-point %29.4% · 29.2%Ball care17.6% · 15.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fos-sur-Mer wins
5
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
31/01/25Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes76-81
08/11/24Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer100-70
06/02/24Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes83-58
22/12/23Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer82-70
11/06/21Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer71-89
23/10/20Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes78-83
04/02/20Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer77-80
08/11/19Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes64-67
06/02/18Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer70-76
20/10/17Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes89-76 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HChalons-Reims73-80
06/11/26ALevallois74-78
30/10/26HSt. Chamond74-63
24/10/26AQuimper50-72
21/10/26HPoitiers67-80
16/10/26HAntibes78-76
09/10/26ALe Havre79-94
02/10/26AEvreux77-95
25/09/26HHyeres-Toulon76-82
13/09/25HHyeres-Toulon69-71
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AAix Maurienne94-93
06/11/26HVichy74-75
30/10/26ADenain-Voltaire72-96
23/10/26HASA99-90
20/10/26AEvreux97-82
16/10/26HRouen83-78
09/10/26APoitiers73-90
02/10/26HQuimper76-62
26/09/26AAntibes73-81
09/06/26APoitiers75-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%40%0%
Points / game72.073.670.0
Allowed / game80.076.284.8
Point differential-8.0-2.6-14.8
Avg total152.0149.8154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nantes
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game82.383.081.8
Allowed / game83.076.288.4
Point differential-0.7+6.8-6.6
Avg total165.3159.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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