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Fos-sur-Mer vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-81
19-16 22-18 19-18 16-29
Position#20
Record7-14
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Nantes 🏆
France
Position#17
Record6-15
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game85.3
FrancePro BRound 22· Halle des Sports Parsemain
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes
05 Feb 2027
FSM v NANT
upcoming
31 Jan 2025
FSM76
NANT81
06 Feb 2024
FSM83
NANT58
23 Oct 2020
FSM78
NANT83
08 Nov 2019
FSM64
NANT67
20 Oct 2017
FSM89
NANT76
08 Jun 2017
FSM74
NANT85
03 Jun 2017
FSM66
NANT75
21 Oct 2016
FSM70
NANT65
15 Mar 2016
FSM77
NANT67
28 Mar 2015
FSM64
NANT65
02 Mar 2014
FSM96
NANT65
12 Feb 2013
FSM71
NANT68
20 Apr 2012
FSM74
NANT70
07 Jan 2011
FSM78
NANT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Nantes
#17
L
70-100
70
100
-30
78avg 89
A08/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
94avg 89
H15/11
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
76-93
76
93
-17
81avg 89
A30/11
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
65-82
65
82
-17
78avg 89
H06/12
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
102avg 89
H13/12
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
L
80-84
80
84
-4
96avg 89
A20/12
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
73-79
73
79
-6
81avg 89
H27/12
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
73-78
73
78
-5
84avg 89
A11/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
120avg 89
H18/01
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
62-105
62
105
-43
68avg 89
A24/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
15-23
16-28
24-26
20-17
20-36
15-23
28-20
29-14
13-29
15-25
19-25
14-22
13-19
20-21
18-20
28-13
25-24
12-20
18-25
23-16
18-16
20-29
19-23
16-20
18-18
17-16
22-25
12-20
20-22
24-17
17-19
20-20
29-15
18-20
32-31
15-23
9-32
12-25
26-25
164.9Avg total
76.4Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)75.082.0156.9-7.033%
Season at home (10)77.477.9155.3-0.550%
Season away (11)72.785.6158.4-12.918%
Last 10 (10)76.488.5164.9-12.120%
Last 5 (5)77.486.4163.8-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)73.082.1155.1-9.126%
vs Similar (9)81.876.6158.3+5.256%
vs Weaker (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Rouen
#14
L
66-101
66
101
-35
74avg 94
A15/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
103-78
103
78
+25
102avg 94
H29/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
88-103
88
103
-15
96avg 94
A06/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
94avg 94
A10/12
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
97-84
97
84
+13
119avg 94
H13/12
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
77-87
77
87
-10
87avg 94
H20/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
78-89
78
89
-11
86avg 94
A27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
97-92
97
92
+5
118avg 94
H10/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
70-73
70
73
-3
83avg 94
A17/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
78-70
78
70
+8
91avg 94
H24/01
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-26
16-14
17-32
23-29
28-25
25-15
32-12
18-26
24-31
26-26
20-23
18-23
18-14
26-34
20-15
16-29
25-26
30-20
20-17
22-21
18-21
22-24
19-25
18-17
15-22
26-23
19-17
18-27
22-20
27-28
24-22
24-22
19-13
22-22
17-20
12-18
12-22
21-19
22-9
23-20
170.3Avg total
83.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.285.3166.6-4.129%
Season at home (11)85.782.6168.4+3.145%
Season away (10)76.388.3164.6-12.010%
Last 10 (10)83.486.9170.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)80.082.2162.2-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.486.7164.1-9.320%
vs Similar (11)83.991.3175.2-7.418%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)99.767.7167.3+32.0100%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -4.0-4.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: -5.4-5.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -4.0-4.0
Fos-sur-MerNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nantes
#17
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A08/11
Pro B
ASA
#5
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H15/11
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A30/11
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H06/12
Pro B
Antibes
#10
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H13/12
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A20/12
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H27/12
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A11/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H18/01
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
24-55
24
55
-31
A24/01
Pro B
79.4Avg total
37.2Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.677.1-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.237.673.8-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)36.843.380.1-6.619%-
Last 10 (10)37.242.279.4-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.040.476.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)34.242.776.8-8.511%-
vs Similar (9)40.736.377.0+4.356%-
vs Weaker (1)39.030.069.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rouen
#14
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A15/11
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H29/11
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A06/12
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A10/12
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H13/12
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H20/12
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#16
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H10/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A17/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/01
Pro B
87.7Avg total
43.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.543.583.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.343.185.5-0.840%-
Last 30 away (15)38.643.882.4-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)43.244.587.7-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.883.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.242.780.9-4.527%-
vs Similar (11)41.245.586.6-4.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)50.737.087.7+13.7100%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.2
53.0%
52.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.4
33.3%
33.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.512.8
69.2%
73.2%12.8
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.2
54.5%
52.3%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
33.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.716.0
81.2%
73.2%16.0
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LWLLLWLLLL
Nantes
WLWLLWLLWL
#20
League position
#17
-16.6
Net rating
-4.3
101.7
Offensive rating
105.4
118.3
Defensive rating
109.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
20.7%
Turnover %
19.4%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.3%
3-point %
30.7%
68.1%
Assist %
68.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 105.4Defence118.3 · 109.7Shooting51.9% · 51.4%3-point %33.3% · 30.7%Ball care20.7% · 19.4%Off. rebounds27.9% · 28.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fos-sur-Mer wins
5
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
08/11/24Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer100-70
06/02/24Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes83-58
22/12/23Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer82-70
11/06/21Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer71-89
23/10/20Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes78-83
04/02/20Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer77-80
08/11/19Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes64-67
06/02/18Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer70-76
20/10/17Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes89-76 OT
08/06/17Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes74-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25ADenain-Voltaire62-105
18/01/25HAix Maurienne99-86
11/01/25ARoanne73-78
27/12/24HCaen73-79
20/12/24AHyeres-Toulon80-84
13/12/24HAntibes83-82
06/12/24HSt. Chamond65-82
30/11/24ABoulazac76-93
15/11/24HASA83-96
08/11/24ANantes70-100
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HBoulazac78-70
17/01/25APau-Orthez70-73
10/01/25HDenain-Voltaire97-92
27/12/24AChalons-Reims78-89
20/12/24HSt. Chamond77-87
13/12/24HRoanne97-84
10/12/24AOrleans80-92
06/12/24APoitiers88-103
29/11/24HEvreux103-78
15/11/24ARouen66-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %33%50%18%
Points / game75.077.472.7
Allowed / game82.077.985.6
Point differential-7.0-0.5-12.9
Avg total156.9155.3158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nantes
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeWWLWW45%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%45%10%
Points / game81.285.776.3
Allowed / game85.382.688.3
Point differential-4.1+3.1-12.0
Avg total166.6168.4164.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boulazac2116576%81.274.4+6.9
2 Roanne2115671%87.682.1+5.5
3 Orleans2115671%84.880.0+4.9
4 Ada Blois2114767%88.381.0+7.3
5 Aix Maurienne2113862%90.586.6+3.9
6 St. Chamond2112957%86.483.8+2.6
7 Pau-Orthez2112957%81.579.7+1.8
8 Caen2112957%76.979.6-2.8
9 ASA21111052%86.282.6+3.6
10 Poitiers21111052%84.382.9+1.5
11 Rouen21101148%84.479.6+4.8
12 Denain-Voltaire21101148%82.280.0+2.3
13 Antibes21101148%78.679.5-0.9
14 Vichy2191243%78.878.5+0.3
15 Hyeres-Toulon2181338%74.980.6-5.7
16 Chalons-Reims2281436%81.286.5-5.4
17 Evreux2171433%80.485.1-4.8
18 Fos-sur-Mer2171433%75.082.0-7.0
19 Nantes2161529%81.285.3-4.1
20 Chartres2251723%77.691.4-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer1922191676
Nantes1618182981
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