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Fos-sur-Mer vs Nantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-58
26-18 19-10 20-26 18-4
Position#16
Record5-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Position#13
Record11-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.7
FrancePro BRound 20· Halle des Sports Parsemain
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes
05 Feb 2027
FSM v NANT
upcoming
31 Jan 2025
FSM76
NANT81
06 Feb 2024
FSM83
NANT58
23 Oct 2020
FSM78
NANT83
08 Nov 2019
FSM64
NANT67
20 Oct 2017
FSM89
NANT76
08 Jun 2017
FSM74
NANT85
03 Jun 2017
FSM66
NANT75
21 Oct 2016
FSM70
NANT65
15 Mar 2016
FSM77
NANT67
28 Mar 2015
FSM64
NANT65
02 Mar 2014
FSM96
NANT65
12 Feb 2013
FSM71
NANT68
20 Apr 2012
FSM74
NANT70
07 Jan 2011
FSM78
NANT64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
89avg 79
H08/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
55-76
55
76
-21
49avg 79
A15/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
77-89
77
89
-12
87avg 79
H19/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
70-82
70
82
-12
86avg 79
A22/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
82-84
82
84
-2
98avg 79
H27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 79
A12/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
91-98
91
98
-7
99avg 79
H19/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
90-97 OT
90
97
-7
no box
H26/01
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
76-52
76
52
+24
74avg 79
A30/01
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
no box
A02/02
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
15-24
18-23
18-22
21-22
13-17
4-21
17-16
22-21
17-28
12-21
26-19
24-17
12-21
14-21
20-23
21-18
13-21
20-23
28-22
20-17
16-20
22-12
12-25
25-26
24-25
21-24
21-23
19-21
20-19
17-19
24-21
19-9
18-20
20-10
19-13
23-17
19-14
17-35
19-12
158.3Avg total
76.8Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.081.6158.6-4.626%
Season at home (9)79.784.4164.1-4.822%
Season away (10)74.679.0153.6-4.430%
Last 10 (10)76.881.5158.3-4.720%
Last 5 (5)82.080.6162.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.184.8160.9-8.718%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.581.5160.1-3.029%
vs Weaker (1)88.092.0180.0-4.00%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Rouen
#5
W
89-71
89
71
+18
87avg 86
H15/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
A19/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
82-70
82
70
+12
100avg 86
H22/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
70-66
70
66
+4
92avg 86
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
84-71
84
71
+13
96avg 86
H12/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
80avg 86
A16/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
78-89
78
89
-11
94avg 86
A19/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
92-79
92
79
+13
89avg 86
H26/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
70avg 86
A30/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
110-92
110
92
+18
124avg 86
H02/02
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
23-20
17-21
27-14
23-17
19-19
13-20
23-22
17-24
21-12
21-14
23-20
11-18
23-18
19-16
17-14
23-11
15-21
20-22
26-17
13-19
26-23
16-36
20-19
20-26
17-29
25-25
16-9
26-25
27-16
18-16
21-22
15-19
21-23
17-17
21-24
29-18
33-34
21-10
27-30
164.3Avg total
83.8Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.880.7161.4+0.155%
Season at home (10)83.076.7159.7+6.380%
Season away (10)78.684.6163.2-6.030%
Last 10 (10)83.880.5164.3+3.360%
Last 5 (5)85.888.0173.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.682.8153.4-12.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.079.9161.9+2.157%
vs Weaker (2)84.083.0167.0+1.050%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
Fos-sur-MerNantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/12
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H19/12
Pro B
Nantes
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A22/12
Pro B
Antibes
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H27/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H19/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/01
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A30/01
Pro B
Lille
#10
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A02/02
Pro B
77.3Avg total
38.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.577.7-1.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.838.477.1+0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)37.840.478.2-2.725%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.977.3-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.678.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.341.678.9-4.49%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.739.177.8-0.441%-
vs Weaker (1)32.038.070.0-6.00%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rouen
#5
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H15/12
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A19/12
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H22/12
Pro B
Lille
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A27/12
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/01
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A16/01
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
37-55
37
55
-18
A19/01
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H26/01
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A30/01
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
H02/02
Pro B
83.2Avg total
42.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.379.6-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.780.3+1.067%-
Last 30 away (15)35.942.978.8-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.883.2+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.491.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.440.975.3-6.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.241.482.6-0.157%-
vs Weaker (2)37.542.580.0-5.050%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.018.0
48.6%
51.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.5
37.3%
33.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.113.9
69.2%
72.2%13.9
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.523.1
58.5%
51.1%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.7
35.6%
33.5%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.414.7
68.7%
72.2%14.7
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
WWLLLLLLLL
Nantes
WLWLLWWWLW
#16
League position
#13
-10.4
Net rating
+7.8
98.8
Offensive rating
110.9
109.2
Defensive rating
103.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
56.7%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
21.2%
Turnover %
20.3%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.3%
3-point %
35.6%
64.3%
Assist %
65.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 110.9Defence109.2 · 103.1Shooting51.2% · 56.7%3-point %37.3% · 35.6%Ball care21.2% · 20.3%Off. rebounds25.3% · 30.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Nantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fos-sur-Mer wins
5
Nantes wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer82-70
11/06/21Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer71-89
23/10/20Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes78-83
04/02/20Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer77-80
08/11/19Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes64-67
06/02/18Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer70-76
20/10/17Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes89-76 OT
08/06/17Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes74-85
05/06/17Nantes v Fos-sur-Mer66-67
03/06/17Fos-sur-Mer v Nantes66-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24ALille83-82 OT
30/01/24AASA76-52
26/01/24HPau-Orthez90-97 OT
19/01/24HChalons-Reims91-98
12/01/24ADenain-Voltaire70-74
27/12/23HAntibes82-84
22/12/23ANantes70-82
19/12/23HASA77-89
15/12/23ALa Rochelle55-76
08/12/23HOrleans74-81
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/24HSt. Chamond110-92
30/01/24AChalons-Reims74-83
26/01/24HAix Maurienne92-79
19/01/24APau-Orthez78-89
16/01/24ABoulazac75-97
12/01/24HASA84-71
27/12/23ALille70-66
22/12/23HFos-sur-Mer82-70
19/12/23ADenain-Voltaire84-87 OT
15/12/23HRouen89-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW26%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayLLLWW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %26%22%30%
Points / game77.079.774.6
Allowed / game81.684.479.0
Point differential-4.6-4.8-4.4
Avg total158.6164.1153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %16%11%20%
Nantes
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLWLLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%80%30%
Points / game80.883.078.6
Allowed / game80.776.784.6
Point differential+0.1+6.3-6.0
Avg total161.4159.7163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 La Rochelle1917289%81.872.0+9.8
2 Vichy1915479%84.877.3+7.5
3 Boulazac2014670%81.375.5+5.8
4 Rouen1911858%82.679.8+2.8
5 Orleans1911858%81.981.1+0.8
6 Nantes2011955%80.880.7+0.1
7 Pau-Orthez1910953%79.577.7+1.8
8 Antibes1991047%81.282.1-0.9
9 Poitiers1991047%79.881.3-1.4
10 Denain-Voltaire1991047%77.079.8-2.8
11 St. Chamond1981142%83.483.1+0.3
12 Chalons-Reims1981142%80.380.6-0.3
13 Lille1981142%74.575.4-0.9
14 ASA1981142%75.378.2-2.9
15 Evreux1971237%78.181.9-3.9
16 Aix Maurienne1971237%78.784.4-5.6
17 Fos-sur-Mer1951426%77.081.6-4.6
18 Angers1951426%81.587.5-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer2619201883
Nantes181026458
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