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Fos-sur-Mer vs Paris Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 65-72
21-14 14-24 18-18 12-16
Position#18
Record4-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Paris 🏆
France
Position#10
Record6-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game92.5
FranceLNBRound 16
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Paris
06 Jan 2023
FSM65
PRS72
12 Nov 2021
FSM65
PRS60
06 Mar 2021
FSM87
PRS75
11 Oct 2019
FSM68
PRS70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paris winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
65-94
65
94
-29
81avg 76
A06/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
68avg 76
A19/11
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
81-90
81
90
-9
no box
A23/11
French Cup
Roanne
#11
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
no box
H26/11
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
85-96
85
96
-11
70avg 76
A02/12
LNB
Cholet
#7
L
70-73
70
73
-3
69avg 76
A06/12
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
W
83-75
83
75
+8
76avg 76
H09/12
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
89-53
89
53
+36
94avg 76
H16/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
58-83
58
83
-25
56avg 76
A23/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
53-97
53
97
-44
38avg 76
H27/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-29
18-22
15-24
16-19
10-25
22-15
15-19
29-21
25-15
14-28
21-28
21-19
20-16
16-24
17-16
25-22
15-28
26-26
20-19
24-23
16-18
17-19
17-18
20-18
19-26
24-17
17-13
23-19
19-11
26-18
25-11
19-13
8-22
15-21
16-14
19-26
17-32
11-16
13-18
12-31
157.1Avg total
74.3Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.884.1158.9-9.327%
Season at home (7)77.181.9159.0-4.757%
Season away (8)72.886.1158.9-13.40%
Last 10 (10)74.382.8157.1-8.520%
Last 5 (5)70.676.2146.8-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)78.086.5164.4-8.527%
vs Similar (8)83.480.4163.8+3.062%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParis
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H30/11
Eurocup
Dijon
#4
L
85-95
85
95
-10
82avg 79
H03/12
LNB
Antibes
#4
L
84-95
84
95
-11
no box
A05/12
French Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
77-69
77
69
+8
73avg 79
A07/12
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
60-94
60
94
-34
44avg 79
A11/12
LNB
Promitheas
#7
L
71-74
71
74
-3
70avg 79
H14/12
Eurocup
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
71-91
71
91
-20
63avg 79
H17/12
LNB
London Lions
#14
W
93-80
93
80
+13
84avg 79
A21/12
Eurocup
Nancy
#13
W
87-83
87
83
+4
79avg 79
A23/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
98-96
98
96
+2
96avg 79
H27/12
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
21-21
34-15
20-26
26-29
19-25
16-20
24-21
27-30
22-23
23-18
12-24
24-16
21-17
25-19
7-17
12-30
18-27
12-15
18-22
17-14
17-22
13-15
24-23
16-18
23-24
17-24
15-25
16-19
28-18
33-20
16-23
28-21
27-22
19-22
13-18
23-22
19-17
27-24
29-33
167.4Avg total
81.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.192.5180.7-4.440%
Season at home (8)87.490.1177.5-2.838%
Season away (7)89.095.3184.3-6.343%
Last 10 (10)81.386.1167.4-4.850%
Last 5 (5)84.084.8168.8-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)83.586.9170.4-3.440%
vs Similar (17)87.190.1177.1-3.047%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)84.077.5161.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.4-5.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -5.4-5.4
Fos-sur-MerParis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A06/11
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A19/11
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A23/11
French Cup
Roanne
#11
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H26/11
LNB
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A02/12
LNB
Cholet
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/12
LNB
Pau-Orthez
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H09/12
LNB
Nancy
#13
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H16/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A23/12
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
H27/12
LNB
78.2Avg total
35.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.041.581.5-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.942.283.2-1.346%-
Last 30 away (17)39.340.980.2-1.635%-
Last 10 (10)35.442.878.2-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.074.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.442.682.0-3.232%-
vs Similar (8)41.638.580.1+3.162%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paris) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#16
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H30/11
Eurocup
Dijon
#4
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H03/12
LNB
Antibes
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A05/12
French Cup
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/12
Eurocup
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
30-57
30
57
-27
A11/12
LNB
Promitheas
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H14/12
Eurocup
Boulogne-Levallois
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H17/12
LNB
London Lions
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A21/12
Eurocup
Nancy
#13
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A23/12
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H27/12
LNB
85.3Avg total
41.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.086.8+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.841.483.2+0.440%-
Last 30 away (15)45.844.590.3+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.785.3-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.482.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.842.584.3-0.740%-
vs Similar (17)44.343.687.9+0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)47.035.082.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.7
51.2%
53.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.1
29.0%
35.3%18.3
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
75.2%13.1
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paristheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paris: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.7
55.0%
53.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.39.4
32.1%
35.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws20.413.9
68.1%
75.2%13.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLWWLLLLLL
Paris
WWWLLLWLLW
#18
League position
#10
-16.5
Net rating
-2.5
95.8
Offensive rating
102.4
112.3
Defensive rating
104.9
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
24.5%
Turnover %
20.2%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
29.0%
3-point %
32.1%
57.8%
Assist %
63.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.8 · 102.4Defence112.3 · 104.9Shooting48.5% · 51.9%3-point %29.0% · 32.1%Ball care24.5% · 20.2%Off. rebounds34.6% · 26.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Paris
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fos-sur-Mer wins
1
Paris wins
DateGameScore
12/04/22Paris v Fos-sur-Mer75-93
12/11/21Fos-sur-Mer v Paris65-60
21/05/21Paris v Fos-sur-Mer92-102
06/03/21Fos-sur-Mer v Paris87-75
11/10/19Fos-sur-Mer v Paris68-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/22HMonaco53-97
23/12/22AGravelines-Dunkerque58-83
16/12/22HNancy89-53
09/12/22HPau-Orthez83-75
06/12/22ACholet70-73
02/12/22ABoulogne-Levallois85-96
26/11/22HRoanne83-87 OT
23/11/22ALe Portel81-90
19/11/22AStrasbourg76-80
06/11/22ALyon-Villeurbanne65-94
Parislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/22HGravelines-Dunkerque98-96
23/12/22ANancy87-83
21/12/22ALondon Lions93-80
17/12/22HBoulogne-Levallois71-91
14/12/22HPromitheas71-74
11/12/22ALyon-Villeurbanne60-94
07/12/22ASlask Wroclaw77-69
05/12/22AAntibes84-95
03/12/22HDijon85-95
30/11/22HHamburg87-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL27%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %27%57%0%
Points / game74.877.172.8
Allowed / game84.181.986.1
Point differential-9.3-4.7-13.4
Avg total158.9159.0158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Paris
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeWWLLW38%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game88.187.489.0
Allowed / game92.590.195.3
Point differential-4.4-2.8-6.3
Avg total180.7177.5184.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco1512380%90.980.9+10.0
2 Boulogne-Levallois1511473%88.783.3+5.3
3 Cholet1511473%83.579.0+4.5
4 Dijon1510567%89.284.1+5.1
5 Lyon-Villeurbanne159660%86.279.2+7.0
6 JL Bourg159660%87.588.1-0.5
7 Le Mans158753%86.983.7+3.2
8 Limoges158753%78.177.8+0.3
9 Roanne157847%92.791.5+1.2
10 Strasbourg157847%77.579.2-1.7
11 Pau-Orthez156940%79.881.5-1.7
12 Nanterre156940%80.582.3-1.8
13 Gravelines-Dunkerque156940%80.182.7-2.7
14 Paris156940%88.192.5-4.4
15 Le Portel1551033%79.979.8+0.1
16 Nancy1551033%80.186.5-6.4
17 Ada Blois1551033%81.689.7-8.1
18 Fos-sur-Mer1541127%74.884.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer2114181265
Paris1424181672
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