Bauru face Cruzeiro in the NBB on 3 November 2026, with the model favouring Bauru at 69% to 31% for Cruzeiro, projecting a 84-78 win for the home side and a total of 161.3 points; the home team's line is -5.5 with a 52% chance to cover, while the over on the 160.5 line has a 51% probability and a 5% chance of overtime. Bauru are 2-2 this season, scoring 75.2 points per game and allowing 77.8, and are 10th in the league; at home they are 1-1, 72.0 points per game and 73.5 allowed, with two wins and three losses in their last five games, including a 75-83 loss to Paulistano away, a 61-79 defeat to Mogi at home, and an 83-68 victory over Sao Jose at home. Cruzeiro are also 2-2, 75.5 points per game and 75.2 allowed, 9th in the league, 1-1 on the road with 73.0 points per game and 72.0 allowed, and in their last five games they beat Pato 76-68 at home, lost to Brasilia 80-89 at home, and lost to Uniao Corinthians 74-83 away. Their head-to-head record is even, 1-1, with Bauru's last meeting ending 80-77 on 6 February 2026.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 75.2 | 77.8 | 153.0 | -2.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 72.0 | 73.5 | 145.5 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 78.5 | 82.0 | 160.5 | -3.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.6 | 82.1 | 155.7 | -8.5 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.6 | 76.4 | 149.0 | -3.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 80.8 | 84.9 | 165.7 | -4.1 | 44% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 82.8 | 83.3 | 166.2 | -0.5 | 38% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 87.4 | 77.1 | 164.5 | +10.2 | 88% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 75.5 | 75.2 | 150.8 | +0.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 78.0 | 78.5 | 156.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 73.0 | 72.0 | 145.0 | +1.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.7 | 86.3 | 170.0 | -2.6 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 79.0 | 80.8 | 159.8 | -1.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 83.8 | 92.5 | 176.3 | -8.7 | 19% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 81.2 | 80.2 | 161.4 | +1.0 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 80.4 | 75.3 | 155.8 | +5.1 | 78% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.1 | 40.7 | 81.8 | +0.4 | 53% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 45.3 | 41.0 | 86.3 | +4.3 | 67% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 36.8 | 40.4 | 77.2 | -3.6 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.1 | 41.0 | 78.1 | -3.9 | 30% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.6 | 40.8 | 76.4 | -5.2 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 42.4 | 42.7 | 85.1 | -0.2 | 56% | 67% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 38.5 | 41.2 | 79.7 | -2.6 | 31% | 62% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 43.6 | 37.8 | 81.4 | +5.9 | 88% | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 78.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.2 | 42.2 | 82.5 | -2.0 | 43% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 42.3 | 41.0 | 83.3 | +1.3 | 58% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (18) | 38.8 | 43.1 | 81.9 | -4.2 | 33% | 44% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.3 | 43.0 | 85.3 | -0.7 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.6 | 36.6 | 77.2 | +4.0 | 60% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (16) | 40.7 | 46.2 | 86.9 | -5.6 | 25% | 75% |
| vs Similar ◀ (5) | 43.8 | 36.4 | 80.2 | +7.4 | 80% | 60% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 37.4 | 38.3 | 75.8 | -0.9 | 56% | 11% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bauru over 76.5 | 75.5% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro over 70.5 | 75.6% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Bauru over 77.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Lost |
| Bauru over 75.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | 1.28 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro over 71.5 | 72.5% | 1.36 | 1.37 | 1.35 | - | - | - | +6.2pp | Won |
| Bauru over 73.5 | 83.7% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +6.0pp | Won |
| Bauru over 71.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Bauru +14.5 | 95.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Bauru +19.5 | 98.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro +20.5 | 89.9% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Bauru over 72.5 | 86.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +5.5pp | Won |
| Bauru over 67.5 | 94.1% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Bauru over 69.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro +15.5 | 80.5% | 1.23 | 1.23 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Won |
| Over 151.5 | 71.8% | 1.38 | 1.40 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro over 67.5 | 83.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +5.1pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro over 66.5 | 86.2% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro over 63.5 | 91.7% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro over 69.5 | 78.6% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +4.6pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro over 65.5 | 88.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro +14 | 77.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Over 134.5 | 94.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Over 152 | 71.2% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Push |
| Bauru +4.5 | 80.4% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Bauru +9.5 | 90.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +4.1pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro +13 | 74.7% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +3.9pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 84.3% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro +12 | 71.7% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | - |
| Cruzeiro +13.5 | 75.4% | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 90.6% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 75.8% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +3.5pp | Won |
| Bauru under 93.5 | 83.8% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Won |
| Bauru +2.5 | 75.3% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Lost |
| Bauru under 95.5 | 88.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +3.1pp | Won |
| Bauru +2 | 74.4% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro +12.5 | 72.6% | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Won |
| Bauru under 92.5 | 81.2% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Bauru under 91.5 | 78.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +2.3pp | Won |
| Bauru +1 | 71.2% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Lost |
| Bauru +1.5 | 71.9% | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Lost |
| Cruzeiro under 91.5 | 90.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 91.6% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 87.5 | 82.6% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +1.2pp | Won |
| Bauru under 89.5 | 72.3% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 89.5 | 86.9% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 86.5 | 80.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 86.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | -0.2pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 85.5 | 77.4% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 79.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | -0.4pp | Won |
| Cruzeiro under 83.5 | 71.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -1.0pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.1 | 20.4 | 49.9% | 40.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.5 | 7.3 | 31.7% | 21.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.2 | 11.5 | 71.2% | 11.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.3 | 20.4 | 49.9% | 40.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 8.0 | 31.7% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 13.1 | 71.2% | 13.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 | Bauru v Cruzeiro | 80-77 |
| 03/11/25 | Cruzeiro v Bauru | 76-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/26 | A | Paulistano | 75-83 |
| 23/10/26 | H | Mogi | 61-79 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Sao Jose | 83-68 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Flamengo | 82-81 |
| 29/04/26 | A | Paulistano | 62-71 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Paulistano | 88-75 |
| 24/04/26 | H | Paulistano | 80-95 |
| 21/04/26 | A | Paulistano | 77-80 |
| 18/04/26 | A | Brasilia | 65-94 |
| 16/04/26 | A | Rio Claro | 63-95 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLL | 50% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 75.2 | 72.0 | 78.5 |
| Allowed / game | 77.8 | 73.5 | 82.0 |
| Point differential | -2.5 | -1.5 | -3.5 |
| Avg total | 153.0 | 145.5 | 160.5 |
| Over 157.75 | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLW | 50% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 75.5 | 78.0 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 75.2 | 78.5 | 72.0 |
| Point differential | +0.2 | -0.5 | +1.0 |
| Avg total | 150.8 | 156.5 | 145.0 |
| Over 157.75 | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 88.0 | 65.8 | +22.2 |
| 2 | Pinheiros | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 83.6 | 66.8 | +16.8 |
| 3 | Unifacisa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 86.0 | 74.0 | +12.0 |
| 4 | Flamengo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 80.5 | 69.2 | +11.2 |
| 5 | Mogi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 78.8 | 73.5 | +5.2 |
| 6 | Paulistano | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 75.2 | 75.5 | -0.2 |
| 7 | Brasilia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 84.2 | 84.4 | -0.2 |
| 8 | Franca | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 72.5 | 69.0 | +3.5 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 75.5 | 75.2 | +0.2 |
| 10 | Bauru | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 75.2 | 77.8 | -2.5 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 80.0 | 83.0 | -3.0 |
| 12 | Uniao Corinthians | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 73.8 | 80.0 | -6.2 |
| 13 | Corinthians Paulista | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 81.0 | 78.7 | +2.3 |
| 14 | Osasco | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 79.0 | 84.7 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Sao Jose | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.5 | 80.8 | -4.2 |
| 16 | Pato | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 74.0 | 82.5 | -8.5 |
| 17 | Caxias do Sul | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 64.2 | 80.4 | -16.2 |
| 18 | Cearense | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 61.7 | 95.7 | -34.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bauru | 24 | 21 | 15 | 14 | 74 |
| Cruzeiro | 16 | 23 | 13 | 26 | 78 |
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