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Minas vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 99-94
23-16 33-38 24-22 19-18
Position#3
Record29-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game81.2
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#14
Record13-25
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.4
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Cruzeiro
29 Apr 2026
MINA103
CRUZ93
21 Apr 2026
MINA99
CRUZ94
01 Apr 2026
MINA101
CRUZ88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
91avg 80
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 80
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
74avg 80
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
72avg 80
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-88
101
88
+13
99avg 80
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
109-88
109
88
+21
97avg 80
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 80
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
106-71
106
71
+35
109avg 80
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 80
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
87-56
87
56
+31
92avg 80
H14/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
27-21
34-16
10-24
24-29
18-16
21-9
18-21
31-20
12-19
18-18
17-9
22-29
26-24
14-15
23-23
22-21
31-12
25-27
23-28
26-24
31-19
29-24
23-21
23-24
16-20
26-24
28-18
28-28
32-15
23-14
23-14
13-17
22-21
19-27
23-15
25-9
24-21
24-15
14-11
169.2Avg total
90.9Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)88.081.2169.2+6.876%
Season at home (19)86.478.4164.7+8.084%
Season away (19)89.684.1173.7+5.668%
Last 10 (10)90.978.3169.2+12.680%
Last 5 (5)94.476.2170.6+18.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.295.2181.3-9.017%
vs Similar (7)86.689.0175.6-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.579.0170.5+12.588%
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
87avg 74
A10/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
71avg 74
A13/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 74
H17/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
66-67
66
67
-1
55avg 74
H19/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-101
88
101
-13
78avg 74
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
70-80
70
80
-10
69avg 74
A06/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
79avg 74
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 74
A11/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 74
H14/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
86-77
86
77
+9
86avg 74
H16/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
23-14
23-19
16-29
15-20
27-19
23-31
14-31
19-19
20-14
21-18
16-34
13-19
25-14
20-18
8-16
21-22
12-31
27-25
28-23
15-25
15-22
26-13
14-20
15-34
23-29
25-8
21-19
19-24
18-14
31-17
21-17
21-31
22-16
19-26
29-28
20-23
23-19
18-23
25-12
168.0Avg total
81.8Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)80.285.4165.7-5.234%
Season at home (19)81.885.2167.0-3.337%
Season away (19)78.685.7164.3-7.132%
Last 10 (10)81.886.2168.0-4.430%
Last 5 (5)84.084.0168.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)81.492.2173.7-10.812%
vs Similar (6)77.579.5157.0-2.033%
vs Weaker (8)86.175.9162.0+10.288%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -5.8-5.8Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.7-3.7
MinasCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H14/04
NBB
88.4Avg total
47.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.644.490.0+1.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.940.185.0+4.957%-
Last 30 away (16)46.248.294.4-2.125%-
Last 10 (10)47.441.088.4+6.460%-
Last 5 (5)48.039.687.6+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.748.288.8-7.50%-
vs Similar (7)44.949.794.6-4.914%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.640.988.6+6.765%-
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A06/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A11/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H14/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H16/04
NBB
82.8Avg total
39.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.443.482.8-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.342.684.9-0.354%-
Last 30 away (17)37.243.981.1-6.829%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.582.8-4.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.485.6-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.646.284.8-7.625%-
vs Similar (6)40.841.081.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)40.039.579.5+0.562%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.7
53.4%
52.2%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.3
38.3%
32.5%33.9
🏀 Free throws23.116.6
71.9%
72.8%16.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.8
53.2%
52.2%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.5
34.4%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
72.8%14.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WLWWWWLWWW
Cruzeiro
WLWLLLLLLW
#3
League position
#14
+15.1
Net rating
-3.6
103.1
Offensive rating
93.2
88.0
Defensive rating
96.8
55.2%
Effective FG%
52.6%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
16.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.3%
3-point %
34.4%
71.0%
Assist %
62.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 93.2Defence88.0 · 96.8Shooting55.2% · 52.6%3-point %38.3% · 34.4%Ball care13.3% · 16.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Minas   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Minas wins
0
Cruzeiro wins
DateGameScore
01/04/26Minas v Cruzeiro101-88
01/11/25Cruzeiro v Minas76-84
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26HCearense87-56
12/04/26HUnifacisa77-80
09/04/26ABotafogo106-71
06/04/26AFlamengo93-86
04/04/26AVasco109-88
01/04/26HCruzeiro101-88
24/03/26APinheiros85-91
22/03/26AOsasco78-66
19/03/26HCaxias do Sul81-75
17/03/26HUniao Corinthians92-82
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26HCearense86-77
14/04/26HUnifacisa91-101
11/04/26AVasco89-72
08/04/26AFlamengo84-90
06/04/26ABotafogo70-80
01/04/26AMinas88-101
19/03/26HUniao Corinthians66-67
17/03/26HCaxias do Sul76-85
13/03/26APinheiros79-101
10/03/26APaulistano89-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW76%
HomeWWWLW84%
AwayWLWWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %76%84%68%
Points / game88.086.489.6
Allowed / game81.278.484.1
Point differential+6.8+8.0+5.6
Avg total169.2164.7173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%32%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)62% (8)80% (5)
Overtime %8%11%5%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW34%
HomeWLLLW37%
AwayLLLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %34%37%32%
Points / game80.281.878.6
Allowed / game85.485.285.7
Point differential-5.2-3.3-7.1
Avg total165.7167.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%16%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3832684%90.876.9+13.9
2 Pinheiros3931879%85.574.2+11.3
3 Minas3829976%88.081.2+6.8
4 Brasilia38281074%81.672.0+9.6
5 Flamengo38281074%87.579.0+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista39281172%85.379.3+5.9
7 Paulistano38241463%83.378.1+5.1
8 Sao Jose38221658%82.180.6+1.5
9 Mogi38211755%76.571.3+5.2
10 Bauru38211755%81.079.8+1.1
11 Unifacisa39201951%81.580.6+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians38191950%80.281.9-1.7
13 Caxias do Sul38172145%74.076.8-2.8
14 Cruzeiro38132534%80.285.4-5.2
15 Rio Claro39122731%78.685.6-6.9
16 Botafogo38102826%73.583.8-10.3
17 Pato3873118%71.980.8-8.9
18 Osasco3873118%76.187.8-11.8
19 Cearense3873118%76.288.9-12.7
20 Vasco3863216%71.581.4-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2333241999
Cruzeiro1638221894
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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