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Cruzeiro vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 86-77
20-23 23-19 18-23 25-12
Position#14
Record12-25
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#19
Record7-30
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game89.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Dona Salome
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cruzeiro v Cearense
16 Nov 2026
CRUZ v CEAR
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
CRUZ86
CEAR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
W
92-84
92
84
+8
95avg 74
A07/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
87avg 74
A10/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
71avg 74
A13/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 74
H17/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
66-67
66
67
-1
55avg 74
H19/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-101
88
101
-13
78avg 74
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
70-80
70
80
-10
69avg 74
A06/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
84-90
84
90
-6
79avg 74
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
89-72
89
72
+17
84avg 74
A11/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 74
H14/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
23-17
24-26
28-24
27-26
23-14
23-19
16-29
15-20
27-19
23-31
14-31
19-19
20-14
21-18
16-34
13-19
25-14
20-18
8-16
21-22
12-31
27-25
28-23
15-25
15-22
26-13
14-20
15-34
23-29
25-8
21-19
19-24
18-14
31-17
21-17
21-31
22-16
19-26
29-28
169.3Avg total
82.4Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)80.185.6165.7-5.632%
Season at home (18)81.685.6167.2-4.033%
Season away (19)78.685.7164.3-7.132%
Last 10 (10)82.486.9169.3-4.530%
Last 5 (5)84.488.8173.2-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.492.2173.7-10.812%
vs Similar (7)77.482.3159.7-4.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.175.7161.9+10.486%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
70-107
70
107
-37
56avg 66
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 66
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
49-81
49
81
-32
33avg 66
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
54avg 66
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
76avg 66
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 66
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-116
71
116
-45
56avg 66
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
94-93
94
93
+1
84avg 66
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
83-107
83
107
-24
76avg 66
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
56-87
56
87
-31
45avg 66
A14/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-32
21-25
20-25
15-25
20-21
28-12
11-27
18-23
14-24
4-15
23-21
8-21
20-27
11-20
26-21
15-25
16-18
16-17
23-19
21-22
24-24
24-23
18-23
11-21
16-34
15-26
17-23
23-33
19-20
26-21
30-29
19-23
20-23
18-36
22-25
23-23
9-25
21-24
15-24
11-14
168.6Avg total
73.8Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)76.289.0165.2-12.819%
Season at home (19)76.386.6162.9-10.326%
Season away (18)76.091.6167.6-15.611%
Last 10 (10)73.894.8168.6-21.010%
Last 5 (5)76.298.8175.0-22.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.691.9166.4-17.38%
vs Similar (5)80.278.2158.4+2.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -6.6-6.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -5.5-5.5Q1: -7.6-7.6Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +3.8+3.8Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: -6.6-6.6
CruzeiroCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A07/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A10/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A13/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H17/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A01/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A06/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A08/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A11/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H14/04
NBB
81.7Avg total
39.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.682.5-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.242.784.9-0.450%-
Last 30 away (18)36.744.380.9-7.628%-
Last 10 (10)39.042.781.7-3.750%-
Last 5 (5)36.249.685.8-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)38.646.284.8-7.625%-
vs Similar (7)39.042.381.3-3.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.639.178.7+0.457%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H06/04
NBB
Minas
#3
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A14/04
NBB
82.3Avg total
35.6Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.545.482.9-7.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.243.981.2-6.729%-
Last 30 away (13)37.947.285.2-9.323%-
Last 10 (10)35.646.782.3-11.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.451.289.6-12.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.246.883.9-9.620%-
vs Similar (5)39.438.477.8+1.060%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.420.6
52.3%
52.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.7
36.2%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.015.1
71.9%
72.8%15.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.0
47.1%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.26.8
29.3%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws24.115.4
63.9%
72.8%15.4
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cruzeiro
LWLLLLLLWW
Cearense
LLWLLLLLLL
#14
League position
#19
-3.7
Net rating
-23.5
93.6
Offensive rating
82.6
97.4
Defensive rating
106.1
53.1%
Effective FG%
46.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
59.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.2%
3-point %
29.3%
61.8%
Assist %
56.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 82.6Defence97.4 · 106.1Shooting53.1% · 46.0%3-point %36.2% · 29.3%Ball care16.8% · 17.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Cruzeiro   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cruzeiro wins
0
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
29/12/25Cearense v Cruzeiro78-86
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26HUnifacisa91-101
11/04/26AVasco89-72
08/04/26AFlamengo84-90
06/04/26ABotafogo70-80
01/04/26AMinas88-101
19/03/26HUniao Corinthians66-67
17/03/26HCaxias do Sul76-85
13/03/26APinheiros79-101
10/03/26APaulistano89-88
07/03/26AOsasco92-84
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/26AMinas56-87
06/04/26HCaxias do Sul83-107
04/04/26HUniao Corinthians94-93
22/03/26AFranca71-116
19/03/26APaulistano77-91
17/03/26AOsasco89-90 OT
13/03/26HRio Claro72-93
11/03/26HBrasilia49-81
07/03/26APinheiros77-83
05/03/26ABauru70-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLLW32%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %32%33%32%
Points / game80.181.678.6
Allowed / game85.685.685.7
Point differential-5.6-4.0-7.1
Avg total165.7167.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL19%
HomeWLLWL26%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %19%26%11%
Points / game76.276.376.0
Allowed / game89.086.691.6
Point differential-12.8-10.3-15.6
Avg total165.2162.9167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%5%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3832684%90.876.9+13.9
2 Pinheiros3729878%85.274.6+10.6
3 Minas3829976%88.081.2+6.8
4 Flamengo38281074%87.579.0+8.5
5 Brasilia37271073%81.372.2+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista37261170%85.079.4+5.6
7 Paulistano37231462%83.078.3+4.7
8 Sao Jose37221559%81.980.1+1.8
9 Mogi37211657%76.671.1+5.5
10 Bauru37211657%81.479.5+1.9
11 Unifacisa38201853%81.680.4+1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians37181949%79.781.7-2.0
13 Caxias do Sul37172046%73.876.4-2.5
14 Cruzeiro37122532%80.185.6-5.6
15 Rio Claro38122632%78.685.3-6.7
16 Botafogo37102727%73.283.2-10.1
17 Pato3672919%72.480.3-7.9
18 Cearense3773019%76.289.0-12.8
19 Osasco3763116%76.188.2-12.2
20 Vasco3753214%70.681.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cruzeiro2023182586
Cearense2319231277
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