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France W vs Lithuania W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 83-61
35-14 21-17 15-14 12-16
Position#3
Record9-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game47.2
France W 🏆
vs
Lithuania W
Position#17
Record6-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game66.8
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenEuroBasket Women - Quarter-finals· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Women2024
Meetings · France W v Lithuania W
24 Jun 2025
FRAN83
LITH61
14 Nov 2021
FRAN83
LITH56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

France WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Germany W
#5
W
84-71
84
71
+13
76avg 88
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
W
81-75 OT
81
75
+6
70avg 88
H09/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
L
66-67
66
67
-1
50avg 88
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Israel W
#26
W
94-52
94
52
+42
95avg 88
H07/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#13
W
82-51
82
51
+31
71avg 88
A10/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
125-24
125
24
+101
142avg 88
H06/02
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
100-39
100
39
+61
115avg 88
A09/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
W
71-69
71
69
+2
64avg 88
A18/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
92-56
92
56
+36
96avg 88
H19/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
111-37
111
37
+74
116avg 88
H21/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
22-14
21-16
18-22
14-17
17-19
17-15
18-15
9-15
16-10
18-20
23-22
23-14
24-10
24-8
23-20
20-12
18-12
23-10
21-17
35-7
29-9
34-2
27-6
29-16
21-9
26-3
24-11
22-23
14-21
12-10
23-15
21-17
23-20
20-10
28-9
25-9
35-5
22-15
29-8
144.7Avg total
90.6Scored
54.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.047.2141.2+46.8100%
Season at home (5)98.643.6142.2+55.0100%
Season away (4)88.251.8140.0+36.5100%
Last 10 (10)90.654.1144.7+36.590%
Last 5 (5)99.845.0144.8+54.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.076.0143.0-9.00%
vs Similar (4)70.867.8138.5+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.855.2142.1+31.696%
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ukraine W
#11
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
99-62
99
62
+37
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
75-73 OT
75
73
+2
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
70-81
70
81
-11
73avg 72
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
108-47
108
47
+61
123avg 72
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
72-69
72
69
+3
67avg 72
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
69-70
69
70
-1
66avg 72
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
75avg 72
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
W
74-63
74
63
+11
72avg 72
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
51-65
51
65
-14
44avg 72
A21/06
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
30-19
8-23
15-8
22-18
24-19
30-11
23-14
15-28
17-14
20-10
14-14
15-19
20-22
14-25
21-15
23-16
30-13
24-13
31-5
18-22
22-13
16-15
16-19
13-15
25-20
17-13
14-22
27-19
15-15
16-21
19-16
16-14
14-16
24-19
20-14
14-18
9-16
19-12
9-19
143.2Avg total
76.0Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.266.8144.0+10.467%
Season at home (4)78.566.0144.5+12.575%
Season away (5)76.267.4143.6+8.860%
Last 10 (10)76.067.2143.2+8.860%
Last 5 (5)68.667.6136.2+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.077.1147.1-7.140%
vs Similar (5)60.667.8128.4-7.220%
vs Weaker (5)89.853.4143.2+36.4100%
This opponent (France W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +9.0+9.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +10.8+10.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +8.9+8.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +9.0+9.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: +10.8+10.8Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +8.9+8.9Q4: +3.6+3.6
France WLithuania W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
France WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany W
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A07/08
Olympic Games Women
Belgium W
#7
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H09/08
Olympic Games Women
USA W
#1
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H11/08
Olympic Games Women
Israel W
#26
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H07/11
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#13
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A10/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#35
W
64-16
64
16
+48
H06/02
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A09/02
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Greece W
#22
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H19/06
European Championship Women
Switzerland W
#20
W
60-14
60
14
+46
H21/06
European Championship Women
71.8Avg total
44.0Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.529.571.0+12.070%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.627.871.5+15.885%-
Last 30 away (17)39.930.770.6+9.259%-
Last 10 (10)44.027.871.8+16.270%-
Last 5 (5)50.827.278.0+23.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.547.081.5-12.50%-
vs Similar (4)35.532.868.2+2.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.127.570.5+15.683%-
This opponent (Lithuania W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lithuania WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ukraine W
#11
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A12/11
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#36
W
53-29
53
29
+24
A10/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#15
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/02
European Championship Women
Belgium W
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H09/02
European Championship Women
Slovenia W
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A18/06
European Championship Women
Serbia W
#14
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H19/06
European Championship Women
Italy W
#6
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A21/06
European Championship Women
73.8Avg total
38.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)36.035.871.8+0.245%-
Last 30 at home (10)36.733.470.1+3.350%-
Last 30 away (10)35.338.173.4-2.840%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.773.8+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)34.539.874.3-5.330%-
vs Similar (5)32.437.469.8-5.020%-
vs Weaker (5)42.626.068.6+16.6100%-
This opponent (France W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
France Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

France W: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.8
52.7%
45.4%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.3
35.5%
30.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.316.3
84.5%
72.4%16.3
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lithuania Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lithuania W: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.121.2
48.1%
45.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.45.3
30.6%
30.0%16.0
🏀 Free throws24.317.9
73.5%
72.4%17.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 24 Jun 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
France W
WWWWWWWLWW
Lithuania W
LWWLWWLWWL
#3
League position
#17
+47.0
Net rating
+13.1
115.6
Offensive rating
98.1
68.6
Defensive rating
85.0
52.9%
Effective FG%
47.5%
33.5%
Opp. effective FG%
40.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
21.9%
37.6%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
35.5%
3-point %
30.6%
78.5%
Assist %
76.2%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 98.1Defence68.6 · 85.0Shooting52.9% · 47.5%3-point %35.5% · 30.6%Ball care17.2% · 21.9%Off. rebounds37.6% · 34.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ France W   ■ Lithuania W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
France W wins
0
Lithuania W wins
DateGameScore
09/02/23Lithuania W v France W75-83
14/11/21France W v Lithuania W83-56
France Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25HSwitzerland W111-37
19/06/25HGreece W92-56
18/06/25ATurkey W71-69
09/02/25AIsrael W100-39
06/02/25HIreland W125-24
10/11/24ALatvia W82-51
07/11/24HIsrael W94-52
11/08/24HUSA W66-67
09/08/24HBelgium W81-75 OT
07/08/24AGermany W84-71
Lithuania Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25AItaly W51-65
19/06/25HSerbia W74-63
18/06/25ASlovenia W77-71
09/02/25HBelgium W69-70
06/02/25HPoland W72-69
10/11/24AAzerbaijan W108-47
07/11/24ABelgium W70-81
12/11/23APoland W75-73 OT
09/11/23HAzerbaijan W99-62
12/02/23AUkraine W65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.098.688.2
Allowed / game47.243.651.8
Point differential+46.8+55.0+36.5
Avg total141.2142.2140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lithuania W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game77.278.576.2
Allowed / game66.866.067.4
Point differential+10.4+12.5+8.8
Avg total144.0144.5143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W990100%94.047.2+46.8
2 Spain W990100%76.459.3+17.1
3 Belgium W98189%85.155.6+29.6
4 Turkey W98189%82.061.8+20.2
5 Italy W97278%68.859.4+9.3
6 Sweden W97278%75.466.6+8.9
7 Lithuania W96367%77.266.8+10.4
8 Slovenia W96367%77.668.3+9.2
9 Croatia W64267%76.067.8+8.2
10 Luxembourg W64267%63.257.2+6.0
11 Slovakia W64267%71.565.7+5.8
12 Germany W96367%71.968.8+3.1
13 Portugal W96367%60.058.8+1.2
14 Latvia W64267%75.076.5-1.5
15 Serbia W95456%74.859.4+15.3
16 Poland W63350%79.862.3+17.5
17 Hungary W63350%73.567.7+5.8
18 Great Britain W94544%72.363.8+8.6
19 Czech Republic W94544%66.467.2-0.8
20 Montenegro W94544%65.466.8-1.3
21 Switzerland W94544%62.269.1-6.9
22 Greece W93633%68.872.7-3.9
23 Bulgaria W62433%76.381.5-5.2
24 Ukraine W62433%64.270.0-5.8
25 Netherlands W62433%63.770.3-6.7
26 Israel W62433%71.880.2-8.3
27 Finland W62433%62.577.3-14.8
28 Denmark W61517%66.773.8-7.2
29 Iceland W61517%68.877.7-8.8
30 Romania W61517%66.588.3-21.8
31 Estonia W61517%51.577.8-26.3
32 Austria W6060%53.074.0-21.0
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W6060%54.083.2-29.2
34 North Macedonia W6060%56.086.8-30.8
35 Ireland W6060%55.597.2-41.7
36 Azerbaijan W6060%41.0105.5-64.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France W3521151283
Lithuania W1417141661
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