Frankston vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Jun 2019

Tip-off: 04:30

Final 87-80

25-21 27-20 18-21 17-18

Position#3

Record6-6

FormWWLWL

Points / game89.6

Allowed / game90.1

Frankston 🏆

Ballarat

Position#1

Record10-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game95.2

Allowed / game74.5

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Frankston v Ballarat

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Frankston winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ballarat winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Frankston

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

77-72

H12/04

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

73-88

-15

A18/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

74-85

-11

H24/04

NBL 1

Nunawading

86-73

+13

A27/04

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

103-90

103

+13

H04/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

86-75

+11

H11/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

99-86

+13

H18/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

100-104 OT

100

104

-4

H25/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

101-100

101

100

A26/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

86-99

-13

A01/06

NBL 1

25-18

6-16

19-19

27-19

23-21

19-21

13-22

18-24

20-17

24-23

11-20

19-25

27-20

20-18

16-16

23-19

28-15

23-27

23-22

29-26

17-22

23-25

23-13

23-15

35-10

22-26

23-22

19-28

22-22

23-22

18-10

17-26

32-19

27-30

24-26

18-25

26-30

24-21

19-25

17-23

175.7Avg total

88.5Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	89.6	90.1	179.7	-0.5	50%
Season at home (7)	91.1	88.4	179.6	+2.7	57%
Season away (5)	87.4	92.4	179.8	-5.0	40%
Last 10 (10)	88.5	87.2	175.7	+1.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.4	92.8	187.2	+1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	83.3	88.7	172.0	-5.3	33%
vs Similar (6)	81.2	91.2	172.3	-10.0	17%
vs Weaker (12)	89.0	87.1	176.1	+1.9	67%

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ballarat

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

94-86

H06/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

80-73

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

90-68

+22

A27/04

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

126-63

126

+63

A04/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

87-71

+16

A11/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

104-80

104

+24

A12/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

77-80 OT

-3

H18/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

94-67

+27

H25/05

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

100-66

100

+34

A26/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

101-79

101

+22

H01/06

NBL 1

30-15

17-29

23-21

24-21

22-13

34-18

13-19

11-23

18-7

28-16

24-24

20-21

31-17

35-18

34-20

26-8

26-23

18-16

12-15

31-17

27-20

21-20

29-19

27-21

27-16

15-16

17-21

14-20

24-15

28-20

22-10

20-22

28-19

29-15

22-11

21-21

22-17

23-18

25-20

31-24

168.6Avg total

95.3Scored

73.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	95.2	74.5	169.7	+20.6	91%
Season at home (4)	91.5	78.0	169.5	+13.5	75%
Season away (7)	97.3	72.6	169.9	+24.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	95.3	73.3	168.6	+22.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	74.4	169.6	+20.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	81.0	87.0	168.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar (4)	95.8	91.2	187.0	+4.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	92.5	77.7	170.2	+14.7	82%

This opponent (Frankston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FrankstonBallarat

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.1	43.5	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	18.7	41.6	+4.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	23.8	45.6	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	19.4	44.9	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	20.6	47.0	+5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	24.1	20.0	44.1	+4.1	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	20.6	44.1	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	19.7	43.6	+4.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.3	21.3	44.6	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	16.2	41.7	+9.3	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	17.4	43.0	+8.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.2	26.0	45.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.5	22.8	46.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	24.4	19.2	43.5	+5.2	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.3	42.1	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.9	21.5	42.4	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.9	44.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.8	48.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	20.0	41.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	19.8	42.9	+3.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	18.5	41.3	+4.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.3	21.0	44.3	+2.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.8	18.6	43.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	17.8	41.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	24.0	43.8	-4.2	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	23.9	19.2	43.1	+4.7	77%	-

FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

31-34

-3

H12/04

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

42-42

A18/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

44-40

H24/04

NBL 1

Nunawading

47-38

A27/04

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

51-42

H04/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

40-47

-7

H11/05

NBL 1

Knox

#13

57-36

+21

H18/05

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

45-44

H25/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

59-49

+10

A26/05

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

50-51

-1

A01/06

NBL 1

88.9Avg total

46.6Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	42.4	85.6	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	40.2	83.9	+3.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	44.9	87.5	-2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.6	42.3	88.9	+4.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.2	45.4	95.6	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	41.3	43.4	84.8	-2.1	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	44.2	42.5	86.7	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.7	41.2	85.9	+3.4	67%	-

This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bendigo Braves

47-44

H06/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

56-31

+25

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

46-23

+23

A27/04

NBL 1

Albury-Wodonga Bandits

#12

66-35

+31

A04/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

44-39

A11/05

NBL 1

Eltham

#17

48-40

A12/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

42-32

+10

H18/05

NBL 1

NW Tasmania

#14

52-35

+17

H25/05

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

57-34

+23

A26/05

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

45-35

+10

H01/06

NBL 1

85.1Avg total

50.3Scored

34.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.6	40.4	87.0	+6.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.6	38.2	84.9	+8.4	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.6	42.3	88.9	+4.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.3	34.8	85.1	+15.5	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	35.2	84.0	+13.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.0	50.0	89.0	-11.0	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	45.2	41.8	87.0	+3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	48.3	38.4	86.7	+9.9	82%	-

This opponent (Frankston) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	22.6	42.6	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	23.0	43.1	-2.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	22.1	42.1	-2.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.5	38.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.1	22.5	43.6	-1.4	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.5	24.2	40.7	-7.7	0%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.8	21.8	42.7	-1.0	42%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	17.8	40.3	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	17.5	40.1	+5.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	18.1	40.5	+4.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.2	39.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	13.5	34.0	+7.0	75%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.5	20.2	44.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	22.5	18.2	40.6	+4.3	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	22.6	43.4	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	22.7	44.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	22.5	41.6	-3.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.8	22.2	42.1	-2.4	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.5	24.5	45.0	-4.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.7	43.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.8	42.3	+2.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.6	44.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.8	25.0	48.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	21.5	20.8	42.4	+0.7	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	45.2	86.0	-4.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.3	45.7	88.0	-3.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	44.6	83.7	-5.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	42.5	82.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	42.6	82.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	40.9	44.8	85.7	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (6)	37.0	48.7	85.7	-11.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.7	43.8	86.5	-1.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.3	39.6	83.9	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	40.2	85.4	+4.9	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.6	39.0	82.6	+4.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	37.8	82.4	+6.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	37.8	83.4	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.0	37.0	79.0	+5.0	75%	-
vs Similar (4)	48.2	45.2	93.5	+3.0	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Frankston wins

Ballarat wins

Date	Game	Score
29/07/17	Frankston v Ballarat	82-89
06/04/17	Ballarat v Frankston	99-94
10/07/16	Frankston v Ballarat	97-108
29/05/16	Ballarat v Frankston	99-76
26/07/15	Frankston v Ballarat	73-77
03/05/15	Ballarat v Frankston	115-80

Frankstonlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/19	A	Diamond Valley	86-99
26/05/19	A	Ringwood	101-100
25/05/19	H	Hobart Huskies	100-104 OT
18/05/19	H	Knox	99-86
11/05/19	H	Eltham	86-75
04/05/19	H	NW Tasmania	103-90
27/04/19	A	Nunawading	86-73
24/04/19	H	Dandenong	74-85
18/04/19	A	Bendigo Braves	73-88
12/04/19	H	Geelong	77-72

Ballaratlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/06/19	H	Ringwood	101-79
26/05/19	A	Southern Sabres	100-66
25/05/19	H	NW Tasmania	94-67
18/05/19	H	BA CoE	77-80 OT
12/05/19	A	Eltham	104-80
11/05/19	A	Kilsyth	87-71
04/05/19	A	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	126-63
27/04/19	A	Knox	90-68
13/04/19	A	Dandenong	80-73
06/04/19	H	Bendigo Braves	94-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Frankston

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	50%
Home	LWWWL	57%
Away	LLWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	50%	57%	40%
Points / game	89.6	91.1	87.4
Allowed / game	90.1	88.4	92.4
Point differential	-0.5	+2.7	-5.0
Avg total	179.7	179.6	179.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	43%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	8%	14%	0%

Ballarat

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	91%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	4	7
Win %	91%	75%	100%
Points / game	95.2	91.5	97.3
Allowed / game	74.5	78.0	72.6
Point differential	+20.6	+13.5	+24.7
Avg total	169.7	169.5	169.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	50%	71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	9%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	11	10	1	91%	95.2	74.5	+20.6
2	Nunawading	12	9	3	75%	91.7	80.9	+10.8
3	Geelong	14	9	5	64%	83.0	79.9	+3.1
4	Melbourne Tigers	11	7	4	64%	84.9	84.0	+0.9
5	Waverley	10	6	4	60%	88.4	89.3	-0.9
6	Kilsyth	11	6	5	55%	86.8	84.8	+2.0
7	Dandenong	13	7	6	54%	86.9	83.0	+3.9
8	BA CoE	14	7	7	50%	83.0	82.6	+0.4
9	Frankston	12	6	6	50%	89.6	90.1	-0.5
10	Bendigo Braves	13	6	7	46%	83.9	82.4	+1.5
11	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	11	5	6	45%	90.4	95.7	-5.4
12	Hobart Huskies	12	5	7	42%	88.5	91.4	-2.9
13	NW Tasmania	12	5	7	42%	87.3	91.2	-3.9
14	Eltham	12	5	7	42%	86.8	90.8	-4.0
15	Diamond Valley	13	5	8	38%	84.9	88.2	-3.2
16	Knox	11	4	7	36%	79.8	82.6	-2.8
17	Ringwood	12	4	8	33%	89.5	93.4	-3.9
18	Southern Sabres	12	2	10	17%	83.4	98.8	-15.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Frankston	25	27	18	17	87
Ballarat	21	20	21	18	80

← all games of the day

Frankston vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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